F1MG Austria Grand Prix Betting Tips and Preview S.2 E.9

Welcome to Austrian GP and another episode with the F1MG( F1 Money Gang). We try to give you the best insight and help you place smart bets.

FREE SQUARE if you sign or have signed up with our Underdog Fantasy link for the Austria GP.

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**Race Preview:**

- The Austrian Grand Prix is set to take place, marking the ninth episode of the F1 Money Gang podcast.
- The race will be held at the Red Bull Ring, known for its high altitude, which can affect car performance.
- Tire degradation is expected to be high, and rain is forecasted for the weekend.

**Free Money Friday Picks:**

- Charles Leclerc to finish in the top three in FP1 (+150 odds)
- Both Ferraris to finish in the top eight in the sprint race (-125 odds)
- Esteban Ocon to beat Pierre Gasly in the head-to-head FP1 session (-120 odds)

**Qualifying and Sprint Race Bets:**

- Russell over 2.7 seconds for the first pit stop
- Piastri over 2.75 seconds for the first pit stop
- Alex Alban over 2.95 seconds for the first pit stop
- Norris over 2.75 seconds for the first pit stop
- Sainz under 2.35 seconds for the first pit stop

**Race Bets:**

- Ferrari to finish ahead of Mercedes in the top six (+110 odds)
- Mercedes to finish in the top six (-125 odds)
- Lando Norris to finish on the podium (+150 odds)

**Additional Insights:**

- The McLaren team may perform better at the Red Bull Ring due to its high altitude, which could benefit their draggy car.
- Mercedes has been consistent in qualifying this season, while Russell has struggled at this track in the past.
- Ferrari has a strong chance of performing well, given their previous success at the Red Bull Ring and their recent upgrades.

The Formula 1 Money Gang podcast episode discussed betting strategies and predictions for the upcoming Austrian Grand Prix. The hosts analyzed the performance history of drivers and teams at the Red Bull Ring, highlighting Lando Norris' consistent top-ten finishes and Oscar Piastri's potential to perform well given his experience at the track. They also considered the impact of Haas' recent focus on qualifying over race day performance, concluding that it could affect their chances of securing a high starting position.

The podcasters discussed potential betting opportunities, including Norris to finish in the top ten, Piastri to perform well, and Charles Leclerc to finish in the top two. They also mentioned the trend of Logan Sargeant finishing in 17th and a half position in recent races, suggesting it could be a profitable bet if it continues. The hosts also debated the likelihood of Max Verstappen leading after the first lap of the sprint race, considering the expected tire strategies and the length of the race.

The episode concluded with the hosts encouraging listeners to join their Discord server for real-time updates and insights during qualifying and the race. They also expressed gratitude to their sponsors, including Fan Amp, Betstamp, and Grid Rivals, for their support and collaboration.

[00:00.000 -> 00:07.000] Race week is here with the F1 MG fam F1 money game fam, I should say.
[00:07.000 -> 00:08.680] Austrian Grand Prix.
[00:08.680 -> 00:11.240] I don't know what episode this is.
[00:11.240 -> 00:12.080] Number nine.
[00:12.080 -> 00:13.120] Is this nine?
[00:13.120 -> 00:14.400] Episode nine.
[00:14.400 -> 00:19.160] Guys, I feel like we're getting into the thick of the summertime.
[00:19.160 -> 00:21.480] We have one more month before the summer break.
[00:21.480 -> 00:23.680] It's been pretty exciting so far.
[00:23.680 -> 00:26.160] Well, it depends on who you ask.
[00:26.160 -> 00:27.760] But yeah, before we get started,
[00:27.760 -> 00:29.600] I wanted to talk about a new partnership
[00:29.600 -> 00:30.800] we have with FanAmp.
[00:30.800 -> 00:33.600] So FanAmp is a new partner that we have,
[00:33.600 -> 00:37.540] which provides all the social news, interactive features,
[00:37.540 -> 00:39.560] basically all the features you want
[00:39.560 -> 00:40.880] to get the most out of what you love,
[00:40.880 -> 00:42.240] which is F1 right now.
[00:42.240 -> 00:46.640] So you can find us now, F1 Money Gang, in there as well.
[00:46.640 -> 00:50.600] So you can get the live action updates from our articles to pics
[00:50.880 -> 00:52.720] and even just having a discussion.
[00:52.720 -> 00:58.480] So you can stay in the conversation up to speed within one app 24 seven.
[00:58.480 -> 00:59.920] You can private message.
[00:59.920 -> 01:01.680] It's got groups, it's got communities.
[01:01.680 -> 01:05.340] You can find really cool things in there related to F1 news,
[01:05.700 -> 01:08.680] even fantasy as well outside of even us.
[01:09.200 -> 01:11.400] But yeah, that is our new partnership.
[01:11.400 -> 01:14.180] I wanted to let you all know, as we are in there,
[01:14.180 -> 01:19.220] we are discussing everything live action as we have a couple of weeks here of races.
[01:19.220 -> 01:21.320] But let's get started.
[01:21.820 -> 01:24.660] So Austrian Grand Prix.
[01:24.660 -> 01:28.600] So one of the biggest features here
[01:28.600 -> 01:30.960] is going to be the high altitude.
[01:30.960 -> 01:33.640] I do like to call that out.
[01:33.640 -> 01:35.840] First race that we're going to have high altitude.
[01:35.840 -> 01:39.120] So you'll get to see some of the cars struggle a little bit
[01:39.120 -> 01:40.760] when it comes to grip.
[01:40.760 -> 01:43.400] Doesn't matter how much downforce you have.
[01:43.400 -> 01:46.520] We're going to see the C3, C4, C5 compounds.
[01:46.520 -> 01:50.320] So probably we'll see the softest compound
[01:50.320 -> 01:53.260] degrade pretty quick in this situation.
[01:53.260 -> 01:58.720] So I think the traction is going to be pretty medium to low.
[01:58.720 -> 02:01.320] I would say downforce just depends on the team.
[02:01.320 -> 02:04.400] Mid, high, depends on the team.
[02:04.400 -> 02:06.700] So track evolution should be pretty average.
[02:07.740 -> 02:10.760] And then tires tire degradation could be high,
[02:10.760 -> 02:14.120] just depends on how the temperatures may settle for us.
[02:14.120 -> 02:17.160] But it is calling for rain yet again.
[02:17.400 -> 02:19.580] But let's get to the crew.
[02:19.580 -> 02:21.180] We are back, fellas.
[02:21.180 -> 02:23.600] How are we feeling?
[02:23.660 -> 02:24.560] Feeling good, man.
[02:24.560 -> 02:25.800] Good to be back in like three weeks. Yeah, it feels How are we feeling? Feeling good, man. Good to be back.
[02:25.800 -> 02:27.200] Been like three weeks.
[02:27.200 -> 02:29.240] Yeah, it feels like forever, right?
[02:29.240 -> 02:32.040] Yeah, man, work gets in the way, but that's why we gamble.
[02:32.040 -> 02:33.280] Trying to get rid of that job.
[02:33.280 -> 02:33.780] Yeah.
[02:33.780 -> 02:35.520] Done with this.
[02:35.520 -> 02:37.960] This is the degeneracy right here.
[02:37.960 -> 02:40.240] You know, when I go into my meetings
[02:40.240 -> 02:42.000] and I just talk about F1, and they're like,
[02:42.000 -> 02:42.800] what are you doing?
[02:42.800 -> 02:43.840] What?
[02:43.840 -> 02:44.680] What?
[02:44.680 -> 02:46.560] Yeah, and we got Renegade.
[02:46.560 -> 02:48.840] I don't think we have we had you?
[02:48.840 -> 02:50.120] Did we have you the last one?
[02:50.120 -> 02:51.440] Yeah, he was on.
[02:51.440 -> 02:51.960] Oh, he was.
[02:51.960 -> 02:53.200] I don't remember.
[02:53.200 -> 02:55.840] See, this is how long it's been, guys.
[02:55.840 -> 02:57.000] It's been so long.
[02:57.000 -> 02:58.280] I feel it's been like forever.
[02:58.280 -> 03:00.680] But yes, glad to have you back, man.
[03:00.680 -> 03:04.520] And in our one and only, our producer,
[03:04.520 -> 03:08.160] you'll see him as Call of Footy here, but his actual
[03:08.160 -> 03:10.600] name is Dolcetto in the Discord.
[03:10.600 -> 03:11.960] How are you doing, man?
[03:11.960 -> 03:12.960] Good.
[03:12.960 -> 03:18.080] I'm trying to breathe because as you know, we're the worst air pollution at the moment
[03:18.080 -> 03:21.520] where I'm located in Detroit.
[03:21.520 -> 03:25.520] But there's a golf tournament right now,
[03:25.520 -> 03:26.400] Rocket Mortgage.
[03:26.400 -> 03:29.160] So it's a lot of buzz going around.
[03:29.160 -> 03:30.860] But I could care less about that.
[03:30.860 -> 03:33.060] We got racing this weekend.
[03:33.060 -> 03:36.480] We got lots of stuff to catch up on.
[03:36.480 -> 03:40.080] Simrace, I want to say that I missed it.
[03:40.080 -> 03:42.240] And the only reason why Matt got on the podium
[03:42.240 -> 03:44.520] is because I wasn't there.
[03:44.520 -> 03:46.240] But I said it was a fun race
[03:48.640 -> 03:52.760] Actually, I didn't I told we didn't even have this on the agenda but this
[03:53.360 -> 03:55.360] This is the number one call out
[03:55.680 -> 04:02.040] Everyone was just knocking on Mac saying he's gonna get last man. I got meaned
[04:02.720 -> 04:04.720] mean hard
[04:04.720 -> 04:05.200] I got my girl saw that shit hard. I got my girl.
[04:05.200 -> 04:06.720] I got my girl saw that shit, man.
[04:06.720 -> 04:07.960] I'm not even explaining this.
[04:07.960 -> 04:08.760] Like, look at this.
[04:08.760 -> 04:10.520] Look at what they've done to me.
[04:10.520 -> 04:11.560] Extra motivation.
[04:11.560 -> 04:14.680] Now I'm coming in this weekend, though, a podium winner.
[04:14.680 -> 04:15.160] Yeah.
[04:15.160 -> 04:17.080] I just believe these bets are hitting.
[04:17.080 -> 04:20.600] Not only did both Alpines get double points, which
[04:20.600 -> 04:25.360] you would have cashed on just saying we got double podium double
[04:25.360 -> 04:31.240] podium just saying we got a rocket again I think it has to happen yeah I'm just
[04:31.240 -> 04:37.680] saying I I could not watch it but I I told you guys that that adding the
[04:37.680 -> 04:43.200] damage I know peepee peepee was a crush but it's a lot it adds a lot more fun
[04:43.200 -> 04:45.640] you know to like no actually
[04:52.040 -> 04:52.960] It I did but there was at one point where the safety car brake checked one
[04:56.540 -> 04:57.880] That was a good one. I would say this just lost it
[05:03.460 -> 05:05.320] So this was our that was our third race and we're gonna keep doing this every every week and we're going to hold one.
[05:05.320 -> 05:06.320] Of course anyone's invited.
[05:06.320 -> 05:08.840] But yeah, that was probably a top ten moment this year.
[05:08.840 -> 05:13.680] One of the guys just absolutely smacked the safety car.
[05:13.680 -> 05:15.040] Which was just a good time.
[05:15.040 -> 05:16.800] Just a good time.
[05:16.800 -> 05:17.800] Let's get on to it.
[05:17.800 -> 05:21.920] Well, before we go on, I want to mention Underdog.
[05:21.920 -> 05:27.520] We have a huge, huge promo this week and we got a free square.
[05:28.040 -> 05:30.600] And if you want to talk more about it, Cap, go ahead.
[05:31.280 -> 05:35.480] No, I mean, we obviously have this partnership with Underdog.
[05:35.480 -> 05:40.440] And this week we have a special F1 Money Gang promotion
[05:40.440 -> 05:42.280] happening with Underdog Fantasy.
[05:42.280 -> 05:45.880] If you use our link or the QR code right there
[05:45.880 -> 05:51.600] you can use as well or just use F1MoneyGang in the signup code. Not only
[05:51.600 -> 05:58.000] do you get a $100 match deposit bonus but we're giving a free Max Verstappen
[05:58.000 -> 06:03.120] card. Obviously you want to pick lower, do not pick higher please. You pick lower
[06:03.120 -> 06:05.680] and you are getting a free square
[06:05.680 -> 06:12.080] it is absolutely free get in here it should drop what Friday I think we said
[06:12.080 -> 06:16.280] that this one should drop with usually underdog just drops them on Friday so
[06:16.280 -> 06:20.560] I'm just excited about this this is the first one of the year for us so
[06:20.560 -> 06:25.720] hopefully it's one of many but please again, again, use our code, F1MoneyGang.
[06:25.720 -> 06:28.240] Use the QR code or use the links.
[06:28.240 -> 06:29.080] They're everywhere.
[06:29.080 -> 06:31.320] We've been blasting it on all the socials.
[06:31.320 -> 06:33.080] But free card.
[06:33.080 -> 06:33.960] It's free money.
[06:33.960 -> 06:34.560] Free money.
[06:34.560 -> 06:37.400] And also, it's also for the people
[06:37.400 -> 06:39.480] who have already signed up using our code.
[06:39.480 -> 06:40.980] It won't be available for everybody.
[06:40.980 -> 06:41.480] Oh, yes.
[06:41.480 -> 06:42.120] That's correct.
[06:42.120 -> 06:43.880] Only the people who have already signed with our code as well.
[06:43.880 -> 06:44.400] Yeah.
[06:44.400 -> 06:48.000] If you've used the code already and you signed up, you will
[06:48.000 -> 06:52.000] already automatically get it. I'm super excited about
[06:52.000 -> 06:56.000] that. I mean, usually, Underdog can be challenging
[06:56.000 -> 07:00.000] but you get a free one. It's easy. And you guys
[07:00.000 -> 07:04.000] right before we went to Underdog, we talked about Alpine
[07:04.000 -> 07:06.960] you know, you guys got on podium, double points.
[07:06.960 -> 07:09.140] And let's talk about community bet.
[07:09.140 -> 07:16.940] Last week, we are up to 6-2 on the season, 20-5 overall.
[07:16.940 -> 07:20.340] Our bet last week was probably the luckiest bet that we ever won.
[07:20.340 -> 07:21.860] I would say the sweatiest bet.
[07:21.860 -> 07:25.240] It was the Alpine top 12
[07:27.240 -> 07:27.800] but uh, you know from
[07:35.200 -> 07:37.840] From you know, I'll con driving without a back a back wing almost the last three laps. I was just waiting Oh, maybe it was a little luck on that. All right
[07:39.560 -> 07:45.840] Yeah, and then the penalty from Norris but I think think that, you know, we had a lot of choices.
[07:45.840 -> 07:51.560] I know that the race was at a different than the normal time, so we didn't get as many
[07:51.560 -> 07:54.080] votes, but there was lots of choices.
[07:54.080 -> 07:59.680] But I think the team N also did the math again, and even if you picked the top two or three,
[07:59.680 -> 08:01.920] you would have won all of them.
[08:01.920 -> 08:09.120] So just make sure you guys join the discord and you know put your favorite play
[08:09.120 -> 08:15.040] out there let the people vote and then it usually happens about hour and a half renegade our man
[08:15.040 -> 08:26.960] here he gets it done so shout out to him again for doing it every week. I appreciate that. Shout out. Shout out to Renegade for hosting that for us, for sure.
[08:27.240 -> 08:28.400] They go.
[08:28.960 -> 08:29.600] For sure.
[08:29.600 -> 08:33.760] Well, yeah, we got lots of lots of activity this weekend.
[08:33.800 -> 08:36.840] So I know we will have some fantasy content
[08:36.840 -> 08:39.880] and some prize picks later in the week as well.
[08:39.880 -> 08:41.520] So be on the lookout for that.
[08:41.520 -> 08:43.520] But let's go ahead and get started.
[08:43.520 -> 08:49.600] I want to start us off with the usual, Free Money Friday.
[08:49.600 -> 08:51.880] So you know who I'm looking at.
[08:51.880 -> 08:53.560] It's going to be you, Mech.
[08:53.560 -> 08:55.080] What do you have, man?
[08:55.080 -> 08:57.640] The sweet, sweet words, Cap.
[08:57.640 -> 09:00.040] It's been, I think it's three races now
[09:00.040 -> 09:03.600] that I have yet to say this sweet Free Money Friday.
[09:03.600 -> 09:05.000] But it's here
[09:06.480 -> 09:10.360] All right So we got two plays one's a little chalk one's got some good value
[09:11.000 -> 09:15.920] Start off with the chalk when we got bonus over his teammate Joe. That's priced up minus 170
[09:17.020 -> 09:18.720] Joe was just pretty bad here last year
[09:18.720 -> 09:23.920] It was really off pace compared to bonus pretty much the entire time and going back to last race
[09:23.920 -> 09:25.960] I think we were talking before this
[09:26.720 -> 09:30.880] Botas is almost at a 70 70 percent win rate over his teammate this year and
[09:31.600 -> 09:35.740] Free practice like we always say turns of your friend and that's a fucking good one to have
[09:36.880 -> 09:38.360] so
[09:38.360 -> 09:43.240] Yep, so the boat is over. So that's gonna be the first one. We're gonna 1.7 to win one a
[09:44.160 -> 09:46.180] Little pricey, but it's I think the first one. We're gonna it's 1.7 to win one Little pricey, but I think the values still there
[09:47.660 -> 09:49.340] Then we're gonna go to
[09:49.340 -> 09:54.020] Our boys and the Ferrari the ponies and dancing ponies the champions here last year
[09:54.640 -> 09:58.620] Charles top three plus 150 also located on bovada
[09:59.500 -> 10:01.500] These are both these are all for fp1
[10:02.060 -> 10:03.300] so
[10:03.300 -> 10:07.560] We're looking and we already know max is gonna get his his P1, that's just, you know, that's
[10:07.560 -> 10:09.920] gifted to him at this point.
[10:09.920 -> 10:15.040] Alonzo has talked about this week how Ashton Martin really didn't get enough testing that
[10:15.040 -> 10:19.560] they wanted to and are kind of worried about the sprint with not getting the data they
[10:19.560 -> 10:20.560] need.
[10:20.560 -> 10:24.480] So I'm kind of expecting them to take it a little easy on FP1, you know, sprint their
[10:24.480 -> 10:29.120] car down, get all the a test now and all that good stuff. So we're knocking down
[10:29.680 -> 10:34.600] Checo was also bad here last year. He's been bad. Let us I mean just face basketball weeks. He's just not been that great
[10:35.680 -> 10:36.720] so
[10:36.720 -> 10:38.600] Charles think he had
[10:38.600 -> 10:42.360] P2 every single session last year and then of course he got the win
[10:43.040 -> 10:46.760] So like one plus 150 I'm all over it.
[10:46.760 -> 10:50.360] But right now, I have it at point six, seven to win one.
[10:50.360 -> 10:52.160] I think I'm going to take it up to one unit
[10:52.160 -> 10:54.680] and just get the one and a half back.
[10:54.680 -> 10:56.200] Feeling really good about that one.
[10:56.200 -> 11:00.360] But yeah, Ferrari don't let me down as usual.
[11:00.360 -> 11:04.440] Yeah, that's a tall ask for Ferrari for sure.
[11:04.440 -> 11:06.500] However, I do agree.
[11:06.500 -> 11:10.200] I kind of want to get in on that one, too, especially both of them.
[11:10.200 -> 11:15.800] Actually, we were talking before the price on Botas, which is at
[11:15.800 -> 11:18.400] minus 170 right now.
[11:18.400 -> 11:21.000] That's the best odds out there on the head to head, even though
[11:21.000 -> 11:24.300] there's not a lot of head to head markets, but even bet 365 that
[11:24.300 -> 11:27.500] basically mimics Bovada or vice versa.
[11:27.540 -> 11:29.600] The other way. Yeah.
[11:29.600 -> 11:34.340] They even had it higher by, I mean, three dollars, whatever you want to call it.
[11:35.180 -> 11:38.600] And I think it's definitely fair value because
[11:39.640 -> 11:43.640] what we saw was the last three FPI sessions.
[11:44.600 -> 11:49.680] Botas had a 67% win rate over Zhou.
[11:49.680 -> 11:53.640] So that should be about a minus 200.
[11:53.640 -> 11:55.120] So you're getting value there.
[11:55.120 -> 12:00.400] MGM has a price that minus 190, so it's close to that 67%.
[12:00.400 -> 12:11.140] So I think the minus 170 fits, especially as you called out last year. He basically lost all sessions to Botas FP1 qualifying everything sprint
[12:11.140 -> 12:12.720] by a wide margin as well.
[12:12.740 -> 12:14.200] Yeah, it was not like it was close.
[12:14.220 -> 12:14.900] Yeah.
[12:14.900 -> 12:18.060] And then Ferrari, you know, they won last year.
[12:18.060 -> 12:19.460] There's a reason why they won here.
[12:19.460 -> 12:21.740] Long straights, high speed sections.
[12:21.740 -> 12:23.860] That's kind of their thing with the car.
[12:23.860 -> 12:26.240] So you expect that Ferrari should show up.
[12:26.240 -> 12:27.920] And let's not forget last week.
[12:27.920 -> 12:33.080] Yes, the hell they had, I would say, very good results
[12:33.160 -> 12:35.160] given their circumstances.
[12:35.160 -> 12:36.600] And they actually had hidden pace.
[12:36.600 -> 12:37.800] I think that carries over.
[12:37.800 -> 12:41.240] So, yeah, Charles Leclerc, there seems to be some value there.
[12:42.440 -> 12:49.160] Yeah. Renegade, I know. I know Ferrari's your team, right? What do you feel
[12:49.160 -> 12:50.160] about that?
[12:50.160 -> 12:51.160] Not this week.
[12:51.160 -> 12:52.160] Not this week?
[12:52.160 -> 12:53.160] I don't know.
[12:53.160 -> 12:58.600] Wow. Wow. Okay. Well, it doesn't have to be free money Friday if you don't have a Friday
[12:58.600 -> 13:00.080] bet, but if you do...
[13:00.080 -> 13:07.680] No, I don't have a Friday, but I do have one place bet which I'll quickly try and look to because I
[13:07.680 -> 13:17.680] remember I had Fernando Alonso podium finish. The price is sort of gone. But if you can get around
[13:32.540 -> 13:41.800] or minus 120, I would take that because it looks like 50-50 a wet qualifying and if it's a wet qualifying that position is sort of important here. So I do like Fernando Alonso podium finish and I think he's finished on
[13:41.800 -> 13:44.800] all podiums apart from two this season.
[13:44.800 -> 13:45.480] Mm-hmm. Yep. Yep. been finished and I think he's finished on all podiums apart from two this season.
[13:45.480 -> 13:46.480] Yep.
[13:46.480 -> 13:52.720] I think last year he started last right because of the issue that they had and he's still
[13:52.720 -> 13:53.720] finishing the points.
[13:53.720 -> 13:55.760] He couldn't even start his car.
[13:55.760 -> 13:57.360] Yeah, I remember that.
[13:57.360 -> 14:00.080] Which was so unfortunate and still made it up.
[14:00.080 -> 14:05.240] Although, I mean, being in the back, you're just passing bottom feeders in this track.
[14:05.240 -> 14:08.240] But yes, it's still a hard task, right?
[14:08.240 -> 14:11.480] You're going from what was it, 19th, 20th,
[14:11.480 -> 14:12.440] or whatever he was at.
[14:12.440 -> 14:13.840] I think it was 19th.
[14:13.840 -> 14:17.120] And he pulled all the way up to 10th to the points.
[14:17.120 -> 14:20.200] So but it's a good call out on the weather.
[14:20.200 -> 14:22.520] We didn't really talk about that that much.
[14:22.520 -> 14:24.760] And quite honestly, I don't know what's wrong with me.
[14:24.760 -> 14:28.160] I haven't even really checked the latest update but
[14:28.760 -> 14:31.880] It says yeah Saturday could be some rain
[14:32.280 -> 14:39.240] I don't know about Friday and I don't know about Sunday Friday's pretty dry Friday's dry. Okay
[14:40.000 -> 14:41.680] It's not our
[14:41.680 -> 14:43.160] you know
[14:43.160 -> 14:45.520] best app, uh, Apple.
[14:46.680 -> 14:47.160] Well, yeah, I prefer it with her. I have Apple.
[14:47.560 -> 14:48.000] Okay. Okay.
[14:48.920 -> 14:49.360] Okay.
[14:49.600 -> 14:53.680] That it's been telling me it's going to rain every day this past week.
[14:53.680 -> 14:58.160] And all it's been is 105 degrees in Texas and just sunny.
[14:58.260 -> 15:00.040] Let's just, let's just, yeah.
[15:00.200 -> 15:01.960] It's something that's just a run a joke at this point.
[15:02.640 -> 15:05.760] My, my guys, my weathermen are saying.
[15:05.780 -> 15:11.520] So we have even I think but butchering his name, but he has
[15:11.520 -> 15:14.400] Fp 120% chance of rain.
[15:14.400 -> 15:18.680] So that's pretty low qualifying on Friday, though.
[15:18.680 -> 15:21.160] 70% is what he's saying.
[15:21.160 -> 15:28.880] So there's a 70% chance, 50% chance of rain on the sprint shootout, 30% on the sprint
[15:28.880 -> 15:32.600] Saturday, 40% for rain Sunday.
[15:32.600 -> 15:35.040] It's looking dicey.
[15:35.040 -> 15:37.880] There's a change.
[15:37.880 -> 15:38.640] Who knows, right?
[15:38.640 -> 15:40.480] Like, this is what we're going to have to deal with.
[15:40.480 -> 15:42.320] We are going to have to maneuver through it.
[15:42.320 -> 15:44.720] So it's a good call.
[15:44.720 -> 15:45.400] Do you not
[15:45.400 -> 15:51.320] believe wait, Renegade, let me ask you this, though. Do you not believe in Leclerc or signs
[15:51.320 -> 15:57.640] just because of the rain? Like if there was no rain, would you be more bullish on the
[15:57.640 -> 16:08.320] Ferraris? No, so I don't think this is particularly rain dependent Because it's cause he knows how to manage a race. You know how to manage your times. I
[16:09.280 -> 16:10.880] Think there's more
[16:10.880 -> 16:13.880] Like I think if you want to bet on retiring
[16:13.880 -> 16:20.640] I think you have to wait just to wait till just before fp1 just to see if it's gonna rain for qualifying
[16:34.220 -> 16:41.120] qualifying well let's let's move on to del cheddo I like one that though we talked on Monday when just our team I'd not share it and of course all the smart
[16:41.120 -> 16:47.940] betters in a discord saw it and posted it because that's the kind of people we have in discord very sharp betters
[16:48.700 -> 16:55.020] But mine was and it moved down a little bit. It was it was minus 105, which is
[16:56.100 -> 16:57.660] 195 odds
[16:57.660 -> 17:03.060] It's both Ferraris to finish in the top eight in the sprint race
[17:03.740 -> 17:04.980] and
[17:04.980 -> 17:08.500] We saw last race the Ferraris were, you know,
[17:08.500 -> 17:12.000] improved a lot after all the upgrades that I have done.
[17:12.000 -> 17:17.000] Last year here, I always go back and look at how drivers and teams have done
[17:17.000 -> 17:21.000] the previous years at whatever track it is the race is going on.
[17:21.000 -> 17:29.040] But last year, the Ferraris were 2 and 3 in qualifying like Max said they you know Charles was in P2 the whole weekend
[17:29.040 -> 17:34.840] they were 2 and 3 on the qualifying they during the spree the spring
[17:34.840 -> 17:41.240] qualification they were also 2 and 3 and they just you know last last year
[17:41.240 -> 17:46.680] qualifier was a little bit different. I mean the spring qualifying and the spring race matter where you start
[17:47.840 -> 17:53.860] This year it won't again, but I feel like you know, like looking at the weather again. Hopefully we have no
[17:54.640 -> 17:56.560] like weather issues
[17:56.560 -> 18:01.200] like we saw even during the race Charles won, of course, but
[18:01.840 -> 18:03.840] science was in p2 almost
[18:09.840 -> 18:14.960] 55 plus laps until his car got on fire um i like that a lot at those odds when i saw it at first i was like maybe it's an error or something but
[18:14.960 -> 18:22.560] the odds went down a little bit i think they're at minus 125 now uh but um is it 120 okay yeah so
[18:22.560 -> 18:25.160] so the odds went down so people have backed it
[18:25.160 -> 18:30.360] It looks like and a lot of the tipsters in the discord also like it as well
[18:30.360 -> 18:35.000] So that's the only one I usually don't like to take anything before a race day
[18:35.000 -> 18:38.360] But uh, I'm I can't miss that opportunity at those odds
[18:39.160 -> 18:46.640] Well, yeah and full disclosure. I think all of us except except for maybe Renegade, who might be getting the last laugh.
[18:46.640 -> 18:50.080] And it could very well be.
[18:50.080 -> 18:52.880] I think I know a lot of people on that same bet.
[18:52.880 -> 18:54.320] And just...
[18:54.320 -> 18:55.280] Go ahead.
[18:55.280 -> 18:58.000] Well, I mean, I was going to say, it's 1.20 right now.
[18:58.000 -> 19:01.600] If Ferrari comes out and has a good Friday...
[19:01.600 -> 19:05.000] Ooh, whatever that was.
[19:05.000 -> 19:06.000] Whatever that was.
[19:06.000 -> 19:07.000] Yeah.
[19:07.000 -> 19:10.600] But if Ferrari comes out of a good Friday, there's no chance in hell it's going to be
[19:10.600 -> 19:11.920] minus 120 on Saturday.
[19:11.920 -> 19:12.920] Yeah.
[19:12.920 -> 19:19.040] And unless unless one of them guys, you know, crash or something happens, I just can't see
[19:19.040 -> 19:21.440] it, especially with this fast track.
[19:21.440 -> 19:26.600] I can't see anybody like you're just asking for just like you're
[19:26.600 -> 19:32.160] asking for a lot to happen I think so I at those odds I can I can't pass it up
[19:32.160 -> 19:38.160] yeah it's very interesting after I've just read the weather report I kind of
[19:38.160 -> 19:45.240] nervous why Ferrari too but yes I'm always cautious when I bet them.
[19:48.240 -> 19:49.040] Those odds, though, like let's just if we just
[19:53.840 -> 19:53.900] go look at the macro of it all, like Ferrari has a top eight car.
[19:56.440 -> 19:56.740] If there was no rain factor, they should.
[20:00.680 -> 20:04.780] I don't want to consider DNFs any of that because you can sit there and use DNFs as as an implication to any of your bets.
[20:04.780 -> 20:10.720] It doesn't matter. Exactly. Like if we just look at the top eight. They are in the top eight, especially at this track
[20:11.040 -> 20:13.040] Yeah, I mean he's gonna come in no con
[20:13.800 -> 20:19.900] Right. It's really the only shot you got like you're you're fighting the Mercedes you're fighting
[20:19.900 -> 20:23.520] I would say last role, but you're fighting
[20:24.280 -> 20:26.280] Alonso and then you're fighting
[20:26.800 -> 20:31.240] And maybe Perez you can mix in there. Yes, of course in the top 80
[20:31.240 -> 20:35.880] I mean, I'm gonna be fair. He is a top a driver in that situation. So yes, it should
[20:36.320 -> 20:38.200] The there is value for sure
[20:38.200 -> 20:42.720] And then if any of you have bet us or bet us or whatever you call it
[20:42.960 -> 20:49.000] They made a big mistake and they actually put those odds for the actual race points
[20:49.000 -> 20:50.040] finish.
[20:50.040 -> 20:53.120] So if you're lucky, you might be able to log in.
[20:53.120 -> 20:54.040] And it's still there.
[20:54.040 -> 20:55.960] But I think they've corrected it since.
[20:55.960 -> 20:59.160] And if you're the badass market guy who puts out the lines,
[20:59.160 -> 21:00.440] just don't listen to this.
[21:00.440 -> 21:01.400] Just kind of look away.
[21:01.400 -> 21:04.760] No, I want to say thank you for giving me
[21:04.760 -> 21:06.000] Mercedes at minus 150 points. Thank you. Thank you so much. to this, just kind of look away. No, I want to say thank you for giving me Mercedes
[21:06.000 -> 21:07.880] at minus 150 points.
[21:07.880 -> 21:08.800] Thank you.
[21:08.800 -> 21:09.800] Thank you so much.
[21:09.800 -> 21:12.560] It's like minus 250 everywhere else, I think, right?
[21:12.560 -> 21:15.480] Oh, it's like minus 300 in some places.
[21:15.480 -> 21:16.100] It's like, wow.
[21:16.100 -> 21:17.940] And they're still honoring it, so we'll see.
[21:17.940 -> 21:19.360] We'll see what happens.
[21:19.360 -> 21:21.560] Yeah, I should have backed the Brinks truck on that.
[21:21.560 -> 21:27.760] But OK, so moving on, I'm really only have those two bets,
[21:28.040 -> 21:28.320] right?
[21:28.320 -> 21:30.480] The Ferrari and whatnot.
[21:30.480 -> 21:32.520] But I haven't put that on my card or anything.
[21:32.520 -> 21:35.520] I think it's just everyone has blasted it already at this
[21:35.520 -> 21:39.800] point. But I do want to give out a free money Friday pick.
[21:39.800 -> 21:44.680] I am going back to the well here with Ocon over Gasly head
[21:44.680 -> 21:45.120] to head.
[21:46.120 -> 21:49.800] It's Bovada has a price at minus 120.
[21:49.800 -> 21:53.720] I still want to stick with this theme again, just going back to the last three
[21:53.720 -> 21:56.160] races on FP1 sessions.
[21:56.720 -> 22:00.600] He has a 58 percent win rate over his teammate.
[22:00.840 -> 22:03.840] I want to say last week he didn't win, but
[22:10.000 -> 22:19.000] I still think minus 120 is is a little bit with FP1. Also with FP1 in this session, we got to treat FP1 this session as you've got to window dress your car and get it ready.
[22:19.000 -> 22:27.960] This isn't like your typical FP1 where you can kind of tweak the car, mess with it, and then you can tweak it again in FP2.
[22:27.960 -> 22:32.840] You gotta get it ready because you gotta qualify after a couple hours.
[22:32.840 -> 22:35.000] I don't see him being a slouch here.
[22:35.000 -> 22:37.740] He's been pretty strong at this track.
[22:37.740 -> 22:39.920] Always had improved results.
[22:39.920 -> 22:43.000] Gasly, very mixed.
[22:43.000 -> 22:45.000] You guys know how I feel about Ghastly.
[22:45.000 -> 22:48.280] The dude just, just gives you headaches.
[22:48.280 -> 22:52.080] Jinx, if he was here, I just wish he would just pop that meme up.
[22:52.080 -> 22:54.080] I don't have to talk too much about that.
[22:54.080 -> 23:01.520] Okon over Ghastly, I just think at the minus 120, so if you want a free money Friday outside of just Botas over Joe,
[23:01.520 -> 23:06.100] LeClair plus 150 for for podium and FP one.
[23:06.660 -> 23:07.760] Here's another one.
[23:07.760 -> 23:10.020] Ocon over Gasly.
[23:10.020 -> 23:12.160] So, yeah, that's my that's my pick.
[23:13.000 -> 23:14.900] So, yeah. All right.
[23:15.860 -> 23:19.200] Now that we will be diving in for a qualifying after practice.
[23:19.500 -> 23:21.800] Oh, yeah. Getting. Oh, got to see what happens.
[23:22.160 -> 23:23.400] Good point.
[23:23.620 -> 23:25.200] If you guys are listening
[23:25.240 -> 23:32.680] Normally in our discord we are doing live chat. There has been we've been hitting on some live bets while in play here
[23:33.240 -> 23:38.540] Qualifying FPS everything if you're listening to this get into discord during the session
[23:38.680 -> 23:41.760] you might capitalize on some long shots, we've had a
[23:42.480 -> 23:47.920] 50 to 133 to had a 50 to one, 33 to one, 100 to one, all just because we
[23:47.920 -> 23:52.360] are all paying attention and it's just working out in our favor. So got the sharpest guys
[23:52.360 -> 23:58.680] in the in the play on the planet here in discord. So all right, well, now that we got free money
[23:58.680 -> 24:05.600] Friday out of the way, love free money Friday. Let's circle back and see what bets you have for the actual race
[24:05.840 -> 24:09.960] or qualifying or sprint race, whatever else they have going on,
[24:09.960 -> 24:12.640] whatever dog and pony show they've created for this race.
[24:13.800 -> 24:15.920] Let's go back. Let's let's run it with you, Dolce.
[24:15.960 -> 24:17.560] I don't even know if you have anything.
[24:17.560 -> 24:23.240] Well, I, I was looking at a few things, but I'm going to just wait until
[24:23.240 -> 24:26.160] even lean. Yes, I... I'm gonna do something
[24:26.160 -> 24:30.840] different here I'm gonna honor my friend who is out of town Lights Out who has
[24:30.840 -> 24:37.520] posted some price pick lines here and full disclosure I want to read off what
[24:37.520 -> 24:46.900] he said this is not my words this is all Lights words so he's got a total of five over-unders for the first pit stop he's
[24:46.900 -> 24:54.000] got Russell over 2.5 over 2.7 seconds he says that this has fit this has hit a
[24:54.000 -> 25:00.400] 75% over the season so far the team has gone over five out of the last six
[25:00.400 -> 25:05.300] occasions in the last three races so that was Russell over 2.7
[25:05.300 -> 25:12.120] seconds. The other one is Piastri over 2.75 seconds. Again, same exact stats as
[25:12.120 -> 25:18.560] the Russell hit in the in the last five out of six in the last three races. The
[25:18.560 -> 25:28.820] other one is Alex Alban. He's got over 2.95 seconds, he has hit a 71% overrate this season and a 67% rate
[25:28.820 -> 25:36.800] at the last three races. The fourth one is Landon Norris over 2.75 seconds, so
[25:36.800 -> 25:42.380] far it has hit a hundred percent in the last three races and 86% for a season
[25:42.380 -> 25:45.160] that was again over 2.75.
[25:45.200 -> 25:49.560] And last but not least, he has Paris under 2.35 seconds.
[25:50.080 -> 25:54.400] Uh, he says that he cannot believe this line has got to be lower than that.
[25:54.800 -> 25:58.440] Uh, but he says that, uh, he has only gone over two out of the eight times
[25:58.440 -> 26:00.680] this season at this line.
[26:01.040 -> 26:05.360] And, uh, the team has gone under five out of the six occasions in the last
[26:05.360 -> 26:12.260] three races so again I'm gonna read them off quickly Russell over 2.7 seconds
[26:12.260 -> 26:20.680] Piastri over 2.75 seconds Alban 2.9 seconds over Norris over 2.75 and Paris
[26:20.680 -> 26:25.400] under 2.35 and this is on price pick and shout out to lights out
[26:25.800 -> 26:30.720] This was on this court again, and I'm sure he's gonna have more as the weekend goes on. So
[26:31.560 -> 26:37.560] Just wanna put that out there. Yeah, and looks like you actually just jumped on the Leclerc top 3 fp1 as well
[26:37.560 -> 26:41.620] Yeah, I saw that I saw that he real-time breaking news
[26:42.320 -> 26:46.120] Lights is also on Leclerc. Top three FP one.
[26:46.120 -> 26:48.640] He got it at plus 175 on MGM.
[26:48.640 -> 26:49.440] That's kind of nice.
[26:49.440 -> 26:50.680] Dog.
[26:50.680 -> 26:51.560] Yeah, yeah.
[26:51.560 -> 26:53.160] Look, yes.
[26:53.160 -> 26:55.800] But yes, going back to the price picks underdog,
[26:55.800 -> 27:01.320] we are going to try to do a podcast on Friday,
[27:01.320 -> 27:04.560] maybe spaces something so where we can do some live action
[27:04.560 -> 27:05.300] picks for you guys
[27:06.240 -> 27:08.240] But yeah, let's continue on
[27:09.240 -> 27:15.480] Yeah renegade you got you got other Betsy. I know you got some other sneaky bets. What what bets do you got?
[27:15.480 -> 27:17.200] What is your yours?
[27:17.200 -> 27:22.560] second favorite bet if Alonzo wasn't your first I just been looking at the market and
[27:23.760 -> 27:31.480] You can get Ferrari double top six. Yeah plus 100. Yeah plus 100. I like that
[27:33.280 -> 27:38.880] They had oh, but you like it for the top six though why not? Yeah. Yeah
[27:39.480 -> 27:44.200] Okay, but keep going for the top six. They have to be Lance Stroll and
[27:44.180 -> 27:44.920] But keep going for the top six. They have to be lunch throw and
[27:49.520 -> 27:52.520] Someone else right George Russell anyone. Did you say Lance?
[27:58.880 -> 28:02.200] He's not gonna be close to top six right evil hands really are we really thinking he's gonna be there no
[28:06.000 -> 28:10.000] Daddy did say that he might spank him if he doesn't show up. That's true. He's threatening to kick him out the house finally.
[28:10.000 -> 28:15.000] And maybe you got Fernando Alonso this week, he's staying behind Lundström, that's the deal.
[28:15.000 -> 28:17.000] And then you got the top 6.
[28:17.000 -> 28:19.000] For Ryan.
[28:19.000 -> 28:23.000] They should be. They should be doing well here.
[28:23.000 -> 28:25.440] They did work very well last year, so there's no reason why.
[28:26.080 -> 28:29.520] It's funny you bring up those odds though, in all seriousness.
[28:29.520 -> 28:35.520] I was trying to look at those, the sprint top 8 odds that we were doing,
[28:35.520 -> 28:38.960] and I was freaking out a second ago because I was like, did it drop to plus 110?
[28:39.520 -> 28:43.680] Not realizing what I was looking at was the top 6, and immediately in my mind I was like,
[28:43.680 -> 28:45.300] well, that are still pretty good
[28:45.760 -> 28:47.760] So now that you're calling it out. I
[28:48.320 -> 28:51.400] Kind of like it. I kind of like want to do that
[28:53.400 -> 28:56.160] But then you have mercy I feel like Mercedes are a bit
[28:57.280 -> 29:02.240] Don't know what they showed. What do so you have which one do you have?
[29:04.080 -> 29:09.040] So, I don't have any yet, but I'd put Ferrari over Mercedes.
[29:09.040 -> 29:12.240] Okay, so you would lean Ferrari that,
[29:12.240 -> 29:15.800] so what odds did you see though, that you were talking about?
[29:15.800 -> 29:20.800] So I can see plus one, 110, yeah, plus 110.
[29:21.760 -> 29:24.040] What about Mercedes minus 140 though, top six?
[29:24.040 -> 29:25.480] Why don't you like that?
[29:25.480 -> 29:29.800] Or whatever odds you're seeing it, if it's at like minus 125, I'd be all over that.
[29:29.800 -> 29:31.040] We got minus 140.
[29:31.040 -> 29:32.040] Yeah, I can see it.
[29:32.040 -> 29:35.840] I can see it at minus 125 as well.
[29:35.840 -> 29:38.680] Are you kidding me?
[29:38.680 -> 29:39.680] I think even is okay.
[29:39.680 -> 29:40.680] You're really just paying for the DNF, aren't you?
[29:40.680 -> 29:41.680] Or something goes wrong.
[29:41.680 -> 29:46.080] But if you're doing that, I think you're preferred to be for the DNF, aren't you? Or something goes wrong. But if you're doing that,
[29:46.080 -> 29:49.680] I think you're preferred to be on the bigger price.
[29:51.160 -> 29:54.340] So you don't, I mean, you believe Hamilton
[29:54.340 -> 29:57.760] will be in a top four position, right?
[29:57.760 -> 29:58.760] Yeah. Yeah.
[29:58.760 -> 30:02.100] Russell, what's your thoughts on him this weekend?
[30:04.080 -> 30:11.240] I was looking last year, he was 16 seconds off I'm 10 last last year so it's not his greatest track
[30:12.880 -> 30:18.860] Yeah, it's just about track position if you do think Ferrari can qualify well pick Ferrari if not
[30:20.160 -> 30:27.100] Say it and Mercedes have been well, I said Ferrari Mercedes have been qualifying very consistently this year
[30:28.420 -> 30:31.940] Russell has been kind of last race. Yeah, but yeah
[30:32.460 -> 30:38.260] I still believe like from a strategy because we're talking about two or three pit stops
[30:39.140 -> 30:41.000] There is one
[30:41.000 -> 30:46.980] benefit to Mercedes over Ferrari is all wonder, tyre deg is usually pretty superior
[30:46.980 -> 30:49.340] compared to them.
[30:49.340 -> 30:51.620] They do a pretty good job with their strategy.
[30:51.620 -> 30:54.740] They rarely fuck that up and get that right.
[30:54.740 -> 30:57.660] This is the type of track you can pass, right?
[30:57.660 -> 31:00.820] This is a track that you can easily get up there.
[31:00.820 -> 31:05.040] I'm struggling a little bit.
[31:05.040 -> 31:10.400] Against the tie where it's probably a two-stop race, so it's not like they're on the ties
[31:10.400 -> 31:11.400] forever.
[31:11.400 -> 31:12.400] Yeah.
[31:12.400 -> 31:18.600] Okay, but you would lean over that Ferrari top six over Mercedes.
[31:18.600 -> 31:21.440] But would you bet the Mercedes minus 125?
[31:21.440 -> 31:28.080] I'm just trying to find any reason to, and everyone just knows that you're my F1 therapist.
[31:28.080 -> 31:28.640] I would.
[31:28.640 -> 31:30.720] I would bet the minus 125.
[31:30.720 -> 31:31.800] Yeah, OK.
[31:31.800 -> 31:32.480] OK.
[31:32.480 -> 31:33.920] Just checking.
[31:33.920 -> 31:34.600] Just checking.
[31:34.600 -> 31:37.560] Because you're for coin.
[31:37.560 -> 31:38.400] We'll see.
[31:38.400 -> 31:39.200] We'll see.
[31:39.200 -> 31:41.680] All right.
[31:41.680 -> 31:49.640] I mean, yeah, the only other race bet that I have was that I got lucky with the minus
[31:49.640 -> 31:51.880] 150 Mercedes podium.
[31:51.880 -> 31:55.860] I mean, assuming no DNFs, that should be free money.
[31:55.860 -> 31:58.720] I actually and we talked about this.
[31:58.720 -> 32:05.760] I actually feel like the McLarens are going to finally get a break here.
[32:05.760 -> 32:09.600] Their draggy ass car may actually be OK here just
[32:09.600 -> 32:11.600] because of that high altitude.
[32:11.600 -> 32:13.760] Norris is usually pretty strong here.
[32:13.760 -> 32:18.440] I think he's he's been in the top 10 just about every race
[32:18.440 -> 32:19.640] he's done here.
[32:19.640 -> 32:22.200] And let me just go back and validate that.
[32:22.200 -> 32:24.760] But right now, his odds, at least from Bovada,
[32:24.760 -> 32:26.340] were showing it was even money.
[32:26.340 -> 32:31.240] I think across the board, there were some sites that were showing minus 110.
[32:31.240 -> 32:35.720] I'm not saying there's value there, but I'm pretty sure it's a safe pick.
[32:35.720 -> 32:48.240] Yeah, finished 2019, 6, 2020, both races in 2020, 3rd and 5th, 2021, 5th, 3rd, 7th. seventh last year he qualified eleventh to and ended up seventh.
[32:48.640 -> 32:51.280] So it's not like he's some slouch at this track.
[32:51.440 -> 32:56.220] And in Renegade, you brought up Piastri, which is also not a bad play, too,
[32:56.480 -> 33:00.660] because if Norris, if we feel like the car is going to be doing well,
[33:00.980 -> 33:04.560] the two drivers, I don't see them struggling at this track.
[33:04.820 -> 33:05.680] Piaststra should have
[33:05.680 -> 33:11.560] experience here, especially with his F2 days. Red Bull Ring is a pretty common track for
[33:11.560 -> 33:19.000] a lot of these drivers anyways. So you pointed out the odds at, I believe, 225, 250?
[33:19.000 -> 33:22.320] Yeah, around that.
[33:22.320 -> 33:27.220] So that's a lean that I'm going with I would say
[33:28.520 -> 33:30.520] And I think that
[33:31.280 -> 33:36.160] We're getting a bit used to in our brain thinking that all the all 20 cars are gonna finish
[33:36.440 -> 33:39.760] There's my own I can North get into the top 10
[33:40.280 -> 33:41.840] but yeah
[33:41.840 -> 33:48.520] Especially here. They don't all finish. So if one goes out of the top ten, no one should be there.
[33:48.520 -> 33:51.120] Or if two goes, it should be comfortable enough.
[33:51.120 -> 33:58.440] Because there isn't, apart from the top four, Alpine and McLaren, there's not really anyone
[33:58.440 -> 34:01.160] else challenging for the top ten consistently.
[34:01.160 -> 34:02.160] Yeah.
[34:02.160 -> 34:03.160] Yuki.
[34:03.160 -> 34:04.160] I'm joking.
[34:04.160 -> 34:06.900] Well,
[34:06.900 -> 34:08.700] this brings up a good point. I
[34:08.700 -> 34:10.300] do wanna I do wanna ask about
[34:10.300 -> 34:11.900] Haas. Like, we've we've talked
[34:11.900 -> 34:13.100] at lengths about Haas. Like,
[34:13.100 -> 34:15.600] forget about race. We know last
[34:15.600 -> 34:18.800] year they did fine but do you
[34:18.800 -> 34:20.800] guys believe Haas will still
[34:20.800 -> 34:23.100] challenge and be up there for
[34:23.100 -> 34:25.440] qualifying or the sprint. No
[34:26.000 -> 34:29.520] So I guess steiner was talking about this week how they've been kind of
[34:30.060 -> 34:33.360] Sacrificing race day for qualifying and they're gonna turn that down some
[34:34.000 -> 34:37.120] But a lot more reason they even had a chance because they were doing so well in qualifying
[34:37.200 -> 34:39.520] So if they're gonna be starting at 15, they got no shot
[34:40.400 -> 34:42.080] Yeah
[34:42.080 -> 34:44.080] um, yeah, so like
[34:44.240 -> 34:47.440] Thinking about the race because I was thinking about the race odds with Norris,
[34:47.440 -> 34:52.120] that means if they don't qualify high enough, that's one less team that they have to worry
[34:52.120 -> 34:53.120] about.
[34:53.120 -> 34:59.680] I do worry about what do we expect with Lance Stroll, but we'll see there.
[34:59.680 -> 35:02.560] So I don't know what that guy does.
[35:02.560 -> 35:04.560] Man, he's just a fucking mixed bag.
[35:04.560 -> 35:08.540] Excuse my French out there for anyone that doesn't like that word feeble hands
[35:09.240 -> 35:14.780] Just don't understand him. Okay. Well, that is one of the ones that I'm eyeing for this weekend
[35:14.780 -> 35:18.060] I think that Mercedes or Mercedes McLaren
[35:18.640 -> 35:29.060] Actually has a car that's a little bit better suited for this weekend compared to other races. Again, the high altitude, you can put as much wing
[35:29.060 -> 35:32.140] as you want, but the thin air is still
[35:32.140 -> 35:34.140] going to make some teams struggle.
[35:34.140 -> 35:36.380] Some teams are going to struggle with traction.
[35:36.380 -> 35:38.100] Norris is no slouch here.
[35:38.100 -> 35:41.060] Piastri seems like he can also do a pretty good run
[35:41.060 -> 35:42.820] at this at this place as well.
[35:42.820 -> 35:48.640] So yeah, very quickly, there was two FP1.
[35:48.640 -> 35:52.520] So coming back to free money Friday, I forgot to mention this.
[35:53.400 -> 35:57.200] Two lines that I do like that I don't have access to on MGM very quickly.
[35:57.200 -> 36:01.720] Head to head Norris over Gasly minus 120 for FP1.
[36:02.200 -> 36:04.560] Ocon over Stroll minus 120.
[36:02.400 -> 36:05.520] minus 120 for FP1. Ocon over stroll minus 120.
[36:05.520 -> 36:09.840] The theme is Norris and Ocon with me.
[36:09.840 -> 36:10.680] Anyways.
[36:11.540 -> 36:12.600] I see one for the race.
[36:12.600 -> 36:15.880] That's something that's worth some pizza money on.
[36:15.880 -> 36:19.560] Charles plus Charles top two plus 1200.
[36:19.560 -> 36:20.400] Yeah.
[36:20.400 -> 36:22.640] I mean, it's 1200.
[36:22.640 -> 36:24.920] You spend 15 bucks and you can bet 200 in your pocket.
[36:24.920 -> 36:26.480] Pay your phone bill. Yeah
[36:27.320 -> 36:33.220] Or you can put like a thousand dollars or yeah, I don't know whatever you also
[36:33.560 -> 36:37.620] On underdog they've been having this trend with Logan sergeant on race day
[36:38.440 -> 36:43.360] His finished position has been 17 and a half. I think want to say the last three weeks
[36:44.080 -> 36:48.300] And he's coming in last everything one time like 17 and a half is like almost a gift
[36:48.640 -> 36:54.620] So if they're if they're gonna run that back for hitting that once again, yeah, absolutely. All right. Well
[36:56.440 -> 37:01.720] Let's let's start wrapping up I just want to add one thing before yeah up here
[37:02.900 -> 37:05.040] We're getting close on time too.
[37:05.040 -> 37:07.560] But I know that in the Discord, a couple of guys
[37:07.560 -> 37:11.320] mentioned about sprint race, about leader
[37:11.320 -> 37:12.800] after the first lap.
[37:12.800 -> 37:20.520] And Max was at minus 125, which is 183, I think it is.
[37:20.520 -> 37:22.120] What do we think about that?
[37:22.120 -> 37:23.680] Just quick.
[37:23.680 -> 37:24.800] For the sprint?
[37:24.800 -> 37:27.000] Leader after first lap. Yes.
[37:27.000 -> 37:29.000] Sprint race.
[37:29.000 -> 37:31.500] I absolutely love it at plus odds because...
[37:31.500 -> 37:35.500] It's not plus odds. It's a minus one to 120.
[37:35.500 -> 37:36.500] It's minus one to one.
[37:36.500 -> 37:39.500] Is it saying that Max is going to be the leader at the first lap or anyone?
[37:39.500 -> 37:42.000] Leader after the first lap, Max Verstappen.
[37:42.000 -> 37:43.000] Okay.
[37:43.000 -> 37:44.500] Do you like that?
[37:44.500 -> 37:45.000] Yeah, I do, man. I don't see any other reason not to like it. Later after the first lap, Max first happened. Okay. Do you like that?
[37:45.000 -> 37:46.000] Yeah, I do, man.
[37:46.000 -> 37:47.000] I'm like...
[37:47.000 -> 37:51.000] I don't see any other reason not to like it.
[37:51.000 -> 37:59.160] If he qualifies for the sprint shootout, whatever the hell we're calling that thing, he's expected
[37:59.160 -> 38:00.400] to get first.
[38:00.400 -> 38:01.400] Yeah.
[38:01.400 -> 38:04.680] That's why I saw the odds and I was like...
[38:04.680 -> 38:06.960] Even if it was like a Leclerc, how many laps do they have to do?
[38:06.960 -> 38:07.960] 20?
[38:07.960 -> 38:10.960] No, it's like 34, isn't it?
[38:10.960 -> 38:13.680] 30 or not 31, whatever.
[38:13.680 -> 38:14.680] High 20s.
[38:14.680 -> 38:18.760] So I expect all of them to be on mediums because they are.
[38:18.760 -> 38:23.240] I know if you've tried to do soft, you're just you're completely fucking yourself in the sprint race.
[38:23.240 -> 38:25.660] So they're going to go on mediums.
[38:25.660 -> 38:32.880] I would expect even if like LeClaire ended up there, he might he might just if he gets
[38:32.880 -> 38:36.080] clear shot ahead of him, like he'll still he'll be.
[38:36.080 -> 38:37.880] I think anyone it doesn't matter.
[38:37.880 -> 38:38.880] Max for anyone.
[38:38.880 -> 38:39.880] I still believe in it.
[38:39.880 -> 38:40.880] OK, yeah.
[38:40.880 -> 38:42.280] All right, let's wrap up.
[38:42.280 -> 38:43.280] Yeah.
[38:43.280 -> 38:47.680] No, I just wanted to see one last round see if anyone has anything
[38:48.280 -> 38:52.580] To say about a bet or a trend or anything before we wrap up
[38:53.840 -> 39:01.460] No, I just want to say get in a discord. That's a lot of information being shared there and like capper said
[39:02.200 -> 39:09.440] the life chat during qualifiers or race or practice, it's been
[39:09.440 -> 39:10.440] very big.
[39:10.440 -> 39:13.640] So if you're in there, you would have catched any of those plays.
[39:13.640 -> 39:18.200] And it can happen at any time, at any race.
[39:18.200 -> 39:20.880] But I'm excited about the race.
[39:20.880 -> 39:24.400] And it's a holiday weekend for us in North America.
[39:24.400 -> 39:27.000] In the US, I should say.
[39:27.000 -> 39:33.000] It's a nice early noon qualifier so I'm looking forward to it.
[39:33.000 -> 39:34.560] I'm in.
[39:34.560 -> 39:37.560] Fourth of July.
[39:37.560 -> 39:41.000] We all know history started in 1776.
[39:41.000 -> 39:42.000] Renegade.
[39:42.000 -> 39:43.000] Sorry Renegade.
[39:43.000 -> 39:45.000] Renegade's about to hang up.
[39:45.000 -> 39:46.000] He's about to hang up.
[39:46.000 -> 39:47.000] Yeah get the Discord.
[39:47.000 -> 39:48.000] Yeah get the Discord, get the Fanamp.
[39:48.000 -> 39:49.000] We're going to be in there all weekend.
[39:49.000 -> 39:50.000] Yes.
[39:50.000 -> 39:51.000] We're going to try to drop a pick and Fanamp exclusive.
[39:51.000 -> 39:52.000] Make sure you get in that.
[39:52.000 -> 39:53.000] Of course Discord's going to be bumping all weekend.
[39:53.000 -> 39:54.000] That thing never stops.
[39:54.000 -> 39:55.000] And also Underdog, even if you already sign up, you're going to be in there all weekend.
[39:55.000 -> 39:56.000] Yeah.
[39:56.000 -> 39:57.000] Yeah.
[39:57.000 -> 39:58.000] Yeah.
[39:58.000 -> 39:59.000] Yeah.
[39:59.000 -> 40:00.000] Yeah.
[40:00.000 -> 40:01.000] Yeah.
[40:01.000 -> 40:02.000] Yeah.
[40:02.000 -> 40:03.000] Yeah.
[40:03.000 -> 40:04.000] Yeah.
[40:04.000 -> 40:27.080] Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. the and take the lower. The lower, yes. Lower, lower, absolutely.
[40:27.080 -> 40:30.560] But yes, I wanted to say thanks to Fan Amp.
[40:30.560 -> 40:33.280] They've done an awesome job of just collaborating with us.
[40:33.280 -> 40:36.360] So looking forward to our partnership with them.
[40:36.360 -> 40:37.940] Betstamp as well.
[40:37.940 -> 40:40.120] We do have a partnership with them as well.
[40:40.120 -> 40:41.440] Wanted to say thanks to them.
[40:41.440 -> 40:43.520] They've been helpful for odd shopping,
[40:43.520 -> 40:45.760] and as well as giving us some promo codes.
[40:45.760 -> 40:47.960] If you don't have access to a specific book,
[40:47.960 -> 40:50.600] you will be able to find it in your state.
[40:50.600 -> 40:51.840] Of course, underdog.
[40:51.840 -> 40:53.280] Thank you for this promotion.
[40:53.280 -> 40:55.600] And yeah, did I miss anyone?
[40:56.040 -> 40:57.640] Grid rivals. Grid rivals.
[40:57.640 -> 40:58.840] Grid rivals.
[40:58.840 -> 41:01.280] Oh, Rizzy. Yes. Grid rivals.
[41:01.280 -> 41:05.280] Thank you so much for giving us an awesome platform for the fantasy,
[41:06.280 -> 41:07.640] for the F1 fantasy stuff.
[41:07.640 -> 41:09.000] I really do enjoy that app.
[41:09.000 -> 41:12.600] Not going to lie, guys, like I played F1 fantasy on the F1 site.
[41:12.640 -> 41:14.160] Grid Rivals is so much better.
[41:14.160 -> 41:15.440] Yeah, so much better.
[41:15.440 -> 41:16.880] It's so bad. It's bad.
[41:16.880 -> 41:20.800] It's bad. But the Grid Rivals one, it is primo chef's kiss.
[41:22.160 -> 41:28.080] Yeah. So, well, guys, looking forward to the weekend. Let's catch some bass. See
[41:28.080 -> 41:29.600] ya. Alrighty. See ya.