F1 Money Gang Singapore GP Ep.5

Early leans/bets for Singapore GP. Underdog Fantasy Promo Code F1MONEYGANG and Free Discord: http://discord.gg/nT4wb3ayHU

**Race Predictions and Betting Tips for Singapore Grand Prix:**

- The Singapore Grand Prix is expected to have rain, with chances increasing throughout the weekend.
- The track is the highest downforce track on the calendar and has not been raced on since 2019 with these new cars.
- Ferrari has dominated Friday and Saturday sessions but has struggled on Sundays.
- It is recommended to fade veteran drivers in FP1, as they tend to not push as hard.
- Lance Stroll has historically performed worse than Sebastian Vettel on Sundays.
- Charles Leclerc is predicted to win the race, continuing his dominance on Friday and Saturday.

**Free Money Friday Picks:**

- Kevin Magnussen to beat Valtteri Bottas in head-to-head (FP1) at +110 odds.
- Pierre Gasly to finish in the top six and be fastest in FP1 at 14-1 odds.

**Race Day Tips:**

- Lando Norris is a good pick for Best of the Rest at 2.25 odds.
- Pole position to win has a high probability, with odds at Evens.
- Charles Leclerc is favored to win the race and qualify first at +500 odds.

**Additional Betting Insights:**

- Mick Schumacher, Nicholas Latifi, Yuki Tsunoda, and Guanyu Zhou have never raced at the Singapore track.
- Half of the track has been resurfaced, creating uncertainty about grip levels and track evolution.
- The 2017 Singapore Grand Prix was the only wet race held at this track.
- Virtual safety car odds have not yet been determined.

**Second Bets and Additional Picks:**

- Pierre Gasly to beat Sebastian Vettel in head-to-head (FP1) at -115 odds.
- Sebastian Vettel to beat Lance Stroll in head-to-head (race) at -135 odds.
- Over 2.5 race leaders at -110 odds.
- Over 15.5 classified drivers at -150 odds.

**Qualifying Odds and Rain Impact:**

- Qualifying odds for Fernando Alonso to get pole position have drifted to evens due to the increased likelihood of rain.
- Rain may benefit Alonso's chances of securing pole position.

**Interactive Live Streaming and Chatting:**

- The podcast hosts plan to do live streaming or live chatting on Discord during the Japanese Grand Prix, which will take place late in the evening.

[00:00.000 -> 00:06.840] And welcome to the F1 money gang podcast.
[00:06.840 -> 00:11.200] We are back for episode five sponsored by underdog fantasy sports app.
[00:11.600 -> 00:16.360] Use our promo code F1 money gang to get a hundred percent deposit match and tune
[00:16.360 -> 00:20.080] into our discord for some of our underdog and bets that we're making for the race
[00:20.080 -> 00:27.440] week, uh, got lots of action going on in our discord, uh, the discord and underdog links are available in the description, or you
[00:27.440 -> 00:32.360] can find it on our Twitter handles at F1 cappers, one of them you can just go to
[00:32.360 -> 00:36.960] right now and you can capture those links, but yeah, let's get right to it.
[00:37.020 -> 00:42.360] We had talked about a little bit about Singapore last week, now that we're
[00:42.360 -> 00:46.480] getting closer to the race weekend, let's go ahead and get an update on the track.
[00:46.700 -> 00:50.420] Um, looks like there is some rain expected.
[00:51.460 -> 00:54.260] I think the percentages are dropping between Friday.
[00:54.260 -> 00:58.340] We're looking at FP one session, having 20% FP two, having 40%
[00:58.340 -> 01:03.900] rain chances, potential Saturday, 20% qualifying 40.
[01:04.000 -> 01:07.160] And then Sunday we're seeing a 60% chance of rain.
[01:07.160 -> 01:09.800] That's the highest percentage we've seen so far.
[01:09.800 -> 01:12.320] So it looks like we could be seeing chaos.
[01:12.320 -> 01:15.720] As far as everything else, we're looking at the softest compounds,
[01:15.720 -> 01:17.800] the C3, C4, C5.
[01:17.800 -> 01:22.400] And, you know, this track right here, highest downforce track
[01:22.400 -> 01:23.080] you're going to see.
[01:23.080 -> 01:26.800] We haven't been here since 2019 new cars.
[01:27.280 -> 01:28.920] Everything is completely new.
[01:29.640 -> 01:32.740] Uh, just going to be a tough one, hard to predict as we are just
[01:32.740 -> 01:34.340] going in with some uncertainty.
[01:34.700 -> 01:37.560] And just to recap from our, our pod last week, where we did.
[01:38.060 -> 01:39.640] Briefly touch on Singapore.
[01:40.220 -> 01:45.640] Some of the things we did, uh, discuss, um,, Lights Out did bring up how the algos were not strong
[01:45.640 -> 01:48.120] on FP odds.
[01:48.120 -> 01:52.040] As we get to the race, we see some slight improvement into the odds.
[01:52.040 -> 01:56.680] The books are basically getting sharper as we get into the race week.
[01:56.680 -> 02:03.200] Again, to follow up on that trend, Ferrari should not be a dog unless it's the race.
[02:03.200 -> 02:07.320] We are seeing that Ferrari always dominates Friday, maybe Saturday
[02:07.700 -> 02:08.820] and then Sunday they fade.
[02:08.820 -> 02:14.380] So until that trend breaks, that's kind of the thing we're, we are always chasing.
[02:14.760 -> 02:16.740] Fade the vets on FP one.
[02:17.060 -> 02:22.140] Um, usually we see like guys like Botas, Fetal, they don't really try to push
[02:22.140 -> 02:24.080] as much into the FP one session.
[02:24.080 -> 02:28.000] And as we all know, FP one is not really the session that you want to push.
[02:28.000 -> 02:33.000] It's more of testing, trying to get the car aligned and just, just getting it, uh, dialed in for the weekend.
[02:33.000 -> 02:37.000] Uh, stroll as we get through the weekend gets worse.
[02:37.000 -> 02:47.240] He gets beat by Vettel usually on Sundays. And then, Renny had a very awesome, convincing prediction
[02:47.240 -> 02:51.880] where he did think that Charles LeClair will actually win this one.
[02:51.880 -> 02:55.000] So not only is he going to be Mr. Friday and Saturday,
[02:55.000 -> 02:57.200] he's going to be Mr. Sunday to him.
[02:57.200 -> 03:00.720] So there's lots of bold predictions that have been going on in the Discord.
[03:00.720 -> 03:03.720] We have been talking for, I don't know, two weeks.
[03:03.720 -> 03:06.240] It feels like a mini summer break that we just went
[03:06.240 -> 03:10.520] through. I know that there's a lot of action. So, you know
[03:10.520 -> 03:14.040] what, we're just going to hand it off to our man, Tegrity.
[03:14.040 -> 03:18.480] He's got some action for us. We do want to kick it off. Free
[03:18.480 -> 03:20.640] Money Friday. What you got for us, man?
[03:21.080 -> 03:24.480] Well, you know, always ready for Free Money Friday. I think we
[03:24.480 -> 03:26.040] got a pretty nice record so far in the year.
[03:26.040 -> 03:27.720] I think we're sitting at three and one or four,
[03:27.720 -> 03:30.900] one of the two, doing pretty solid so far.
[03:31.760 -> 03:34.240] But I'm glad you brought up the fade to vet thing
[03:34.240 -> 03:35.400] earlier on the free practice,
[03:35.400 -> 03:37.240] because that's exactly what I'm going to do.
[03:37.240 -> 03:38.840] I'm going to fade my guy, Botas,
[03:38.840 -> 03:40.640] and take Jinx's guy, Kmag.
[03:41.560 -> 03:43.240] That's sitting at plus 110 right now.
[03:43.240 -> 03:44.440] I'm going to put one unit on that,
[03:44.440 -> 03:45.800] and it's located on Bovada.
[03:46.840 -> 03:48.600] K-Mag against Botas on the years,
[03:48.600 -> 03:49.800] sitting at seven and four.
[03:49.800 -> 03:54.000] So you get a nice little 64% chance hitting on that.
[03:54.000 -> 03:55.760] K-Mag in general, just been pretty,
[03:55.760 -> 03:57.500] just a little better than Botas on the street track
[03:57.500 -> 03:58.440] so far this year.
[03:59.320 -> 04:02.120] I know pretty much both of them kind of looked like trash
[04:02.120 -> 04:03.640] the past couple of races.
[04:03.640 -> 04:05.760] So it's kind of picking out the best trash out of the two.
[04:06.960 -> 04:09.440] But K-Mag does have some decent success here.
[04:09.440 -> 04:13.120] He actually owns the lap record here from 2018.
[04:13.920 -> 04:18.480] And even back with Mercedes, this was not one of his better tracks.
[04:19.200 -> 04:23.920] So yeah, we're going to take K-Mag head to head over both this one unit.
[04:23.920 -> 04:24.960] And that's plus 110.
[04:25.160 -> 04:29.440] Yeah. I mean, and that's your guy too that you, you just love.
[04:29.440 -> 04:30.960] Hey, he won me some money last race.
[04:30.960 -> 04:31.960] He's my guy.
[04:31.960 -> 04:32.960] Definitely, definitely.
[04:32.960 -> 04:38.000] And maybe some stats just to kind of back some of this up.
[04:38.000 -> 04:39.600] And this is when he was at Mercedes.
[04:39.600 -> 04:45.620] So if we look at 2018, 2019 with that dominant Mercedes car, uh, he
[04:45.620 -> 04:50.620] qualified fifth and 2019 ended up fourth on the grid finished fifth.
[04:51.040 -> 04:51.940] 2018.
[04:52.020 -> 04:54.880] He was fourth through qualifying finished fourth.
[04:55.360 -> 04:58.200] It just kind of shows that he kind of just stays the track.
[04:58.280 -> 05:02.600] And then even 27, uh, 2016, he had a DNF 2015.
[05:02.600 -> 05:03.340] He just did.
[05:03.340 -> 05:03.600] Yeah.
[05:03.660 -> 05:04.860] Wasn't, wasn't that great.
[05:04.860 -> 05:07.260] Although he did finish well in 2015.
[05:07.260 -> 05:10.600] So, yeah, so I see you're just,
[05:10.600 -> 05:12.680] at least you're going trash over trash, right?
[05:12.680 -> 05:15.000] So that's a good, that's it.
[05:15.000 -> 05:15.840] That's it.
[05:15.840 -> 05:16.660] That's it.
[05:16.660 -> 05:19.040] It's pretty much fun, I just gotta pick what you get.
[05:19.040 -> 05:23.320] Well, yeah, and it's tough, you know,
[05:23.320 -> 05:26.400] when we're looking at these race head- heads to heads and just like I mentioned,
[05:26.400 -> 05:29.440] a lot of us are still kind of hesitant about this track.
[05:29.440 -> 05:30.440] What do we expect?
[05:30.440 -> 05:35.060] The rain now is a, is a possibility, humid conditions in this track.
[05:35.060 -> 05:39.880] We haven't seen it with these cars and just, just so much uncertainty going in.
[05:39.880 -> 05:48.160] So what I think that, you know, playing it safe, sort, in this way, it's pretty awesome, but I'm glad that there is an FP pick
[05:48.160 -> 05:50.360] because I actually don't have any FP picks.
[05:50.360 -> 05:53.800] So yeah, I know someone else does though,
[05:53.800 -> 05:56.660] I believe so, and his name is Jinx.
[05:56.660 -> 05:58.240] Jinx, what do you have?
[05:58.240 -> 06:01.360] Yeah, I got a free bet this week.
[06:01.360 -> 06:03.700] I'm pretty sure everyone does on MGM.
[06:03.700 -> 06:07.400] There's a free $50 bet until October 13th on MGM.
[06:07.680 -> 06:10.700] If you're a regular user, so no urge the people to go there.
[06:10.700 -> 06:12.340] Check your promos.
[06:12.340 -> 06:14.680] And I'm using my promo on Pierre Gasly.
[06:14.940 -> 06:16.580] Top six and FB1.
[06:16.580 -> 06:19.880] It's got 14 to one odds, and that's a pretty big misprice.
[06:20.380 -> 06:23.780] I mean, looking back to last year at Monaco, it was P4 and FB1.
[06:24.100 -> 06:26.000] Baku last year was P6.
[06:26.000 -> 06:28.000] Jeddah, he was P6.
[06:28.000 -> 06:31.000] This year, in FP1 at Jeddah, he was P5.
[06:31.000 -> 06:33.000] Miami, P5.
[06:33.000 -> 06:34.000] Monaco, he was P6.
[06:34.000 -> 06:37.000] And then, Baku, he was P9.
[06:37.000 -> 06:38.000] But in FP2, he was P6.
[06:38.000 -> 06:40.000] And then, FP3, P7.
[06:40.000 -> 06:43.000] So, I mean, we're getting, I mean, plus 14 to 1.
[06:43.000 -> 06:46.280] And out of a guy in the last 7 street circuits
[06:46.280 -> 06:50.120] and fp1 to finish top 6 to 6 of 7 that's that's a huge
[06:51.200 -> 06:55.560] Huge edge we got I mean I'm doing a unit because I have a free bet for that
[06:55.560 -> 07:01.540] But I mean I would recommend no more than you know a half unit to the listeners, but it's just it's a big edge
[07:01.540 -> 07:03.260] I mean pure Ghazali
[07:03.260 -> 07:06.320] He's regressed and so is the car, but he's shown this
[07:06.320 -> 07:10.680] year on the street circuits, he still has the pace because Monaco, he had a
[07:10.680 -> 07:14.600] bad, bad qualifying effort because of the rain, but it didn't show his
[07:14.720 -> 07:15.960] practice pace that he had.
[07:16.560 -> 07:20.160] Yeah, no, it's, it's definitely at those odds.
[07:20.160 -> 07:21.100] It's definitely juicy.
[07:21.100 -> 07:23.200] And I think we were talking about it a little bit.
[07:23.220 -> 07:30.840] I've seen you guys talking about Ghaz and you know me, I've hated backing Alpha Tori Gasly this year,
[07:30.840 -> 07:36.320] but I feel like that might be one that I want to sprinkle on here. I also did notice that
[07:36.320 -> 07:42.800] they started adding more odds and they have, um, I think it is the winner without the big
[07:42.800 -> 07:47.800] six. So that means no remove for Stappan Perez, Hamilton, Russell,
[07:47.800 -> 07:51.040] LeClaire signs, and they have the odds there.
[07:51.120 -> 07:55.000] And I mean, Pierre Gasly is at 1400.
[07:55.600 -> 08:00.800] I don't know if, uh, if you guys were eyeing him for the race or not, but.
[08:01.240 -> 08:02.840] Racist races, different story.
[08:02.840 -> 08:06.040] But I mean, you know, we've seen, I mean, last year and this year, you know, he's
[08:06.040 -> 08:09.840] six and one, you know, out of the, in the seven street circuits and even this year,
[08:09.840 -> 08:10.600] he's three in one.
[08:10.640 -> 08:12.880] So, I mean, those are, you know, good odds.
[08:12.880 -> 08:14.400] I mean, really, really good odds.
[08:14.400 -> 08:19.320] And, you know, it seems like Alvitari does let them turn up the engine at the street
[08:19.320 -> 08:22.580] circuits, you know, cause maybe they feel he can qualify better.
[08:22.640 -> 08:23.720] So we'll see.
[08:23.720 -> 08:25.240] I mean, like I said, I got a free bet on it.
[08:25.680 -> 08:30.340] So, I mean, it's, you know, a small risk, large reward and everyone else.
[08:30.340 -> 08:32.720] I mean, maybe a third of a unit to a half unit.
[08:32.720 -> 08:37.040] I mean, definitely don't go crazy on it, but I mean, it shouldn't be 14 to one,
[08:37.040 -> 08:39.600] maybe at most four to five to one.
[08:40.080 -> 08:46.180] And just full disclosure for all you folks that are listening, just be careful when you're
[08:46.180 -> 08:48.720] going into a Friday and Saturday.
[08:48.720 -> 08:51.560] Just take it easy, especially this weekend.
[08:51.560 -> 08:53.760] We don't know what's going to actually happen.
[08:53.760 -> 08:58.640] Friday will probably, tomorrow I should say, will tell us the full entire story of what
[08:58.640 -> 09:00.480] we can expect on Saturday.
[09:00.480 -> 09:06.080] And then Sunday could be completely different from Saturday too. So just take it easy.
[09:06.080 -> 09:12.820] Don't blow your load on Friday unless you're integrity and you want to win free money.
[09:12.820 -> 09:16.340] So always, always.
[09:16.340 -> 09:18.460] All right, Renegade, what's going on, man?
[09:18.460 -> 09:26.400] Has your tune changed from last week or are we still feeling that this is the LeClaire race?
[09:26.400 -> 09:30.520] Well, I still think it's the LeClaire race.
[09:30.520 -> 09:34.560] When I saw the lightning bolts next to the weather forecast for Saturday and Sunday,
[09:34.560 -> 09:36.040] I wasn't feeling it.
[09:36.040 -> 09:40.520] But they've gone back to showers now, so it's back to normal.
[09:40.520 -> 09:53.520] I have a few more race day tips. I like Norris' Best of the Rest and you can get him at 2.25
[09:53.520 -> 10:02.320] at William Hill but I'm sure most will come up at the other books nearer the time.
[10:02.320 -> 10:07.040] This track should suit McLaren with the slow corners. Really the only opposition
[10:08.000 -> 10:12.160] is Alpine and I can't see the car suiting it more than McLaren this weekend.
[10:15.840 -> 10:22.000] Also pole position to win, you get it at Evens at Bet365.
[10:27.200 -> 10:35.920] at that three, six, five. Uh, I think we were discussing in the last podcast, it was around 60% and there's so much more that's unlucky to happen to the leader, like Alonzo and his
[10:35.920 -> 10:43.140] team fixing the race, Hamilton breaking down, but it should be in the 70. So 2.0 it's happening
[10:43.140 -> 10:47.920] more than 50% of the time. So I think that's a good sprinkle as well to have one.
[10:47.920 -> 10:49.920] Yeah.
[10:49.920 -> 10:55.000] And, you know, I've thought so hard about this Norse bet, man.
[10:55.000 -> 10:59.200] I think that's been one I've been eyeing and I've been going back and forth.
[10:59.200 -> 11:03.520] I'm glad you brought this up because I had been eyeing him for a top six.
[11:03.520 -> 11:08.800] I probably should have placed it earlier this week, but just because I'm being
[11:08.800 -> 11:12.240] very cautious going into the weekend, I could have had it at, I think it was
[11:12.240 -> 11:13.560] like plus one 30.
[11:14.060 -> 11:15.920] It's now dropped to even on Bovada.
[11:15.960 -> 11:20.840] So if you can still get it at plus one 30, I think I would, I'd go back in time and
[11:20.840 -> 11:21.400] take that.
[11:22.320 -> 11:28.240] Um, but for one thing I, that does kind of scare me about Lando is
[11:28.240 -> 11:34.160] on street circuits. I think this year he has not performed as well, given that these were
[11:34.160 -> 11:38.240] a little different. I think Baku was one of only finished like ninth or 10th or something
[11:38.240 -> 11:45.160] like that. But I think he was best of the rest in Monaco, Monaco. I think so. He was.
[11:48.760 -> 11:49.160] But I mean, that's where I my I keep coming back to it. Right.
[11:49.360 -> 11:53.760] And I looked at twenty nineteen and he was best in the rest in twenty nineteen as well.
[11:53.960 -> 11:54.560] Yeah.
[11:54.760 -> 11:57.080] So I you know what?
[11:57.080 -> 11:59.640] Now that you're on it, you're just two weeks in a row.
[11:59.720 -> 12:01.360] You're just convincing me to take on a pick.
[12:01.560 -> 12:02.440] I hope they come in.
[12:02.640 -> 12:03.880] They come in.
[12:04.080 -> 12:08.560] But the only thing with this street circuit, if he loses, like save Alonzo
[12:08.560 -> 12:13.480] starts one position behind and he gets ahead, you just spend the whole race for
[12:13.480 -> 12:15.720] that for Alpine is just to finish ahead of Norris.
[12:16.120 -> 12:16.480] Yeah.
[12:17.320 -> 12:22.400] And with the street track and hard to pass, that's just the one thing that worries me.
[12:23.840 -> 12:28.000] Yeah, no, I, I actually really dig that.
[12:28.000 -> 12:33.000] Still haven't placed it anything yet on Norris, but I definitely do dig it.
[12:33.000 -> 12:48.000] Yeah, so I guess I'm the last here to go with my gut on one that I usually feel.
[12:48.000 -> 12:51.920] And not to say that this one is a guaranteed winner or anything,
[12:53.360 -> 12:57.760] but I couldn't stop thinking about our conversations last week in the Discord,
[12:57.760 -> 13:04.320] Ferrari, we always talk about it. We seem to always talk about it. And, you know, Renegade,
[13:06.480 -> 13:14.960] We seem to always talk about it and, you know, renegade we've I've I'm so aligned with you on this. Like it's just there's got to be a point in time where Charles and Ferrari will get it
[13:14.960 -> 13:20.000] together, right? Like they've just messed it up on. We could just claim every damn race.
[13:20.000 -> 13:26.400] They've messed it up. Yeah, but a blind squirrel can catch a nut every once in a while, right? So
[13:26.400 -> 13:32.400] maybe this is that time. And going back to the statistic, fastest qualifier, we've already
[13:32.400 -> 13:40.000] talked about the trends. Ferrari is always Mr. Saturday on there. I think that he might pull
[13:40.000 -> 13:47.920] it together and he's going to get the win. So fastest qualifier and win the race plus 500.
[13:48.080 -> 13:51.040] Again, I'm only just throwing in like a quarter of a unit.
[13:51.980 -> 13:57.600] Just, just to show you how confident I am, which is not that much, but because
[13:57.600 -> 14:01.920] of the purpose of, of our podcast and just the dialogue behind it, I mean,
[14:01.920 -> 14:04.100] again, it just goes back to the trends we've talked about.
[14:04.320 -> 14:09.360] I mean, this might be the time. I know there are some other odds in there that you can throw in.
[14:10.080 -> 14:14.960] I mean, you could talk about Sergio Perez and all that. Don't want to go there. That's probably not
[14:14.960 -> 14:22.720] the right one, but Charles Leclerc for sure. I think that's the one I would stick as my first
[14:22.720 -> 14:26.120] bet going into the weekend.
[14:27.720 -> 14:30.240] Any comments, thoughts? I know that Renegade doesn't have any.
[14:30.240 -> 14:33.120] You would imagine this would be a perfect track for them.
[14:34.200 -> 14:36.640] So it's not like a long shot by any means.
[14:36.640 -> 14:38.000] No, no, it's not.
[14:38.000 -> 14:41.720] And I just think the trend makes me wanna do it this way,
[14:41.720 -> 14:44.920] which is he should qualify first,
[14:44.920 -> 14:45.520] and assuming we don't have any this way, which is he should qualify first and assuming we
[14:45.520 -> 14:50.360] don't have any safety cars, of course, and any problems where it's, they
[14:50.360 -> 14:51.680] got to get the pit stop, right?
[14:51.720 -> 14:52.640] I mean, I just don't see it.
[14:52.640 -> 14:53.400] They've had two weeks.
[14:53.400 -> 14:54.320] Come on, get it right.
[14:54.320 -> 14:56.000] Ferrari, get your shit together.
[14:57.320 -> 14:57.720] So that's
[14:57.720 -> 15:01.320] I mean, at the same time, I just hope that Stein is, doesn't get it together
[15:01.320 -> 15:04.320] on the same week because he was, it's quite fine.
[15:04.320 -> 15:05.800] Has been decent.
[15:05.800 -> 15:08.040] I, you know what?
[15:08.040 -> 15:12.360] Yeah. And I look back at that and I was I was just trying to see about the trend
[15:12.360 -> 15:14.600] with signs at this at this track.
[15:14.600 -> 15:17.480] He hasn't actually been all that great,
[15:17.480 -> 15:19.520] which gives me more confidence in Leclerc.
[15:19.520 -> 15:20.080] But you're right.
[15:20.080 -> 15:23.720] Like, I've been backing signs since after Austria.
[15:23.720 -> 15:26.000] That car was just amazing, right?
[15:27.720 -> 15:31.560] So I'm not overly concerned, but it makes me want to sprinkle,
[15:31.560 -> 15:33.160] but I just don't, no.
[15:33.160 -> 15:36.560] I'm just, you know, if I lose quarter of a unit, that's fine.
[15:36.560 -> 15:39.240] That's not gonna impact me, so.
[15:40.840 -> 15:43.800] But yeah, so just one quick note
[15:43.800 -> 15:46.040] that people need to know about this track.
[15:46.040 -> 15:49.320] I mean, we haven't been there since 2018.
[15:49.320 -> 15:56.980] You know, some of the things we haven't discussed, which is like Mick, Latifi, Sonoda, Joe, none
[15:56.980 -> 15:58.640] of them have ever raced there.
[15:58.640 -> 16:00.080] So that's number one.
[16:00.080 -> 16:03.100] Gotta think about that going into the weekend.
[16:03.100 -> 16:06.240] Number two, they actually had half the track
[16:06.240 -> 16:11.280] resurface, so we don't actually know how half the track will be. Half of it may be bumpy,
[16:11.280 -> 16:17.480] half of it may not. And then we haven't even seen it with like, what will the track evolution
[16:17.480 -> 16:25.540] be like with that new surface? And then if we're going to see rain this weekend,
[16:25.540 -> 16:27.840] which it sounds like we might see rain,
[16:27.840 -> 16:32.460] we've only had one wet race here, 2017.
[16:32.460 -> 16:36.260] If you do watch it with floodlights and rain,
[16:36.260 -> 16:39.620] and then you have the condensed walls,
[16:39.620 -> 16:43.380] you just, the visibility is even worse.
[16:43.380 -> 16:48.100] You may see a lot of chaos if we do get a lot of rain.
[16:48.100 -> 16:50.960] So just something to point out to the folks.
[16:50.960 -> 16:53.580] I know we did briefly talk about safety cars
[16:53.580 -> 16:56.640] and virtual safety cars in the Discord.
[16:56.640 -> 16:58.980] We had been eyeing virtual safety cars.
[17:00.760 -> 17:02.960] We still haven't come to a conclusion on that yet though.
[17:02.960 -> 17:07.640] So, yeah, but let's go.
[17:07.640 -> 17:08.720] Yeah, go ahead.
[17:08.720 -> 17:12.240] I was just going to say, with you saying about
[17:12.240 -> 17:14.340] the people that have raised their,
[17:14.340 -> 17:18.360] I think MGM have a price boost for some head-to-heads.
[17:18.360 -> 17:23.360] They have Bottas de Bijot, Vettel de Bistrol,
[17:24.120 -> 17:27.200] Gasly de Bissonaude and Magnussen to beat Schumacher
[17:27.200 -> 17:29.640] at plus 600.
[17:29.640 -> 17:32.800] I thought that's pretty good price.
[17:32.800 -> 17:34.000] That is.
[17:34.000 -> 17:35.480] Is that race?
[17:35.480 -> 17:36.320] Yeah, race.
[17:37.600 -> 17:39.440] It's not, yeah, I mean.
[17:39.440 -> 17:40.880] I gotta jump in on that.
[17:40.880 -> 17:41.720] Yeah.
[17:42.880 -> 17:44.040] That's a great bet.
[17:48.320 -> 17:50.240] Just gotta watch the DNF because they had that at Monaco and
[17:56.080 -> 18:01.840] I put four units on that and I was cruising, you know, to get a 20 unit profit and then Magda retired. So, I mean, definitely, you know, it's a good play, but I mean, to the listeners,
[18:01.840 -> 18:06.440] don't do anything more than a unit or two on it because those parlays can get wild.
[18:07.760 -> 18:09.560] Oh, yeah, definitely.
[18:09.560 -> 18:14.520] I've I finally got my book to allow me to do some parlays
[18:14.520 -> 18:18.840] and one in one so far on it, on the parlay action.
[18:19.520 -> 18:21.040] Might have to chalk it up again.
[18:21.040 -> 18:26.920] It's just when you put like ones like Alvin to beat Latifi and then the DNS, they're the most annoying ones.
[18:26.920 -> 18:27.960] Yeah, yeah.
[18:29.360 -> 18:31.920] Yeah, so yeah, we got a lot of interesting things
[18:31.920 -> 18:35.040] that are going for us into the weekend.
[18:35.040 -> 18:38.000] Again, tomorrow morning, we're gonna be starting the FP1.
[18:38.000 -> 18:39.960] So what about second bets?
[18:39.960 -> 18:43.080] Do you guys have other lanes or likes
[18:43.080 -> 18:45.400] that you've already placed?
[18:45.400 -> 18:49.180] Yeah, so just tailing off of Jinx's first pick with Gasly,
[18:50.120 -> 18:51.220] even like if you,
[18:52.760 -> 18:56.200] like if you think he can even get close to top six,
[18:56.200 -> 18:58.360] there's no way you can think Vettel gets top five.
[18:58.360 -> 19:01.340] And right now Gasly is paired with Vettel head to head.
[19:01.340 -> 19:03.320] It's a minus 115 split.
[19:03.320 -> 19:05.280] So I think Gasly is a pretty safe one right there.
[19:06.560 -> 19:07.260] Which one was it?
[19:07.260 -> 19:07.600] Gasly?
[19:07.600 -> 19:07.800] What?
[19:08.240 -> 19:09.600] Uh, head to head on Vettel.
[19:10.200 -> 19:11.400] Head to head on Vettel.
[19:11.960 -> 19:12.540] Yeah.
[19:12.580 -> 19:16.320] I seen a lot of action with the race head to head.
[19:16.360 -> 19:17.320] Is this race, right?
[19:17.320 -> 19:18.000] Or is this a piece?
[19:18.000 -> 19:18.960] No, this is for practice.
[19:19.020 -> 19:19.920] Oh, it is free practice.
[19:19.920 -> 19:20.280] Okay.
[19:20.760 -> 19:21.080] All right.
[19:21.920 -> 19:23.520] Just writing that down.
[19:23.660 -> 19:25.200] I mean.
[19:25.200 -> 19:27.200] It's a lean, it's nothing I've put in.
[19:27.200 -> 19:29.680] It kind of correlates to stroll
[19:29.680 -> 19:31.000] or to what we talked about,
[19:31.000 -> 19:32.400] which is fade the vets, right?
[19:32.400 -> 19:34.320] On an FP1.
[19:34.320 -> 19:37.800] Maybe he comes out, he's just doing some minor testing,
[19:37.800 -> 19:40.080] doesn't want to even push it.
[19:40.080 -> 19:41.480] Just trying to see what,
[19:41.480 -> 19:43.720] get a feel of the car before FP2,
[19:43.720 -> 19:46.200] where they really got to try to dial it in.
[19:46.200 -> 19:48.200] Well, I'm sure we'll come out with those ridiculous sensors
[19:48.200 -> 19:49.320] in the front of the car first.
[19:49.320 -> 19:50.040] Yeah.
[19:50.040 -> 19:53.480] You know, spray paint and all that crap or whatever they put on there.
[19:56.200 -> 19:58.480] OK, I like that one, too.
[19:58.480 -> 20:00.720] You're giving me some ideas for FP one.
[20:00.720 -> 20:02.640] Well, something like that.
[20:02.640 -> 20:03.280] Yeah.
[20:03.720 -> 20:07.900] Gene, so you have another one. Yeah. Gene, so you have another one?
[20:09.820 -> 20:10.620] Yeah, this time we're going for the race,
[20:13.100 -> 20:13.420] putting one point three units to win a unit.
[20:15.820 -> 20:16.980] I got a Vettel over stroll for the race.
[20:19.980 -> 20:24.600] Yeah, I mean, you're laying minus one thirty five juice, but, you know, I was talking to some some of the sharps in our discord and it's just, in my opinion,
[20:24.600 -> 20:25.480] it's a misprice.
[20:25.980 -> 20:29.180] You'll get the two, um, technical street circuits this year.
[20:29.480 -> 20:33.680] If you want to call them that Baku and Monaco stroll was out in Q1 and
[20:33.680 -> 20:36.500] Vettel made it into Q3 and started P9.
[20:36.740 -> 20:42.460] Um, I know Baku, I think they said, you know, Vettel had a shot at T6 top six,
[20:42.460 -> 20:48.000] but I know he got caught in a DRS train, but stroll was just awful in the race at Baku.
[20:48.000 -> 20:53.780] And I mean, I know, you know, it's been the running joke about seven qualifying
[20:53.780 -> 20:57.620] as he's been knocked out in Q one, six of the last seven, but I mean, even
[20:57.620 -> 21:02.320] last week at Monza where it was just an all out track, you know, stroll shit the
[21:02.320 -> 21:02.660] bed.
[21:02.660 -> 21:06.280] So I mean, we're on, we're back on a street circuit where, you know,
[21:06.280 -> 21:07.340] strolls weaknesses.
[21:07.340 -> 21:09.920] So, I mean, I'll take, I'll take several.
[21:10.920 -> 21:12.320] Yeah, no, I love that one.
[21:12.400 -> 21:18.920] I think that it's, uh, man, I just, I try, I'm trying not to go against my rule for
[21:18.920 -> 21:19.160] this.
[21:19.400 -> 21:24.860] I mean, not even just this week, which is, I'd love to go like two or three units on
[21:24.860 -> 21:25.320] that, but I'd love to go like two or three units on that, but
[21:25.320 -> 21:29.920] I'm going to wait just because we know how this works every Friday, Saturday,
[21:30.140 -> 21:34.200] somehow federal disappoints, but definitely agree.
[21:34.200 -> 21:38.000] I think we were talking about the performance for stroll, which I'll
[21:38.000 -> 21:43.280] quickly run through that for everyone, which is 2019 qualified, 17th finished
[21:43.280 -> 21:47.740] 13th, 2018 qualified 20th did finish 14th.
[21:48.320 -> 21:53.380] And in 2017, 20, 20, 17 qualified 18th.
[21:53.740 -> 21:58.160] He did finish eight, but that was like rec fest.
[21:58.180 -> 22:02.040] I think half the grid was out turn one on that one.
[22:02.060 -> 22:03.700] So he ended up in eighth spot.
[22:04.540 -> 22:08.160] It just kind of shows he, he doesn't really, he doesn't really like
[22:08.160 -> 22:08.640] this track.
[22:08.640 -> 22:09.640] Vettel.
[22:09.640 -> 22:11.640] I mean, I can go back to 2008.
[22:11.640 -> 22:17.080] I mean, he's been in the top five just about for every single
[22:17.080 -> 22:21.160] position of this rate from qualifying to finishing, except
[22:21.160 -> 22:23.160] for 2017, where he did not finish.
[22:23.160 -> 22:25.900] We all know what happened there.
[22:25.900 -> 22:30.260] And then in 2016, he was in the back of the grid and still made it to fifth.
[22:30.260 -> 22:32.720] So, it shows how dominant he is here.
[22:32.720 -> 22:35.600] I may have to actually jump in on this.
[22:35.600 -> 22:38.900] I do recall we were talking in the Discord about it.
[22:38.900 -> 22:41.520] Again, if you haven't joined our Discord, you should get in there.
[22:41.520 -> 22:46.760] You can get into these early bets if you just go and click the link, get in,
[22:46.760 -> 22:49.800] you can find all the fun topics
[22:49.800 -> 22:50.960] that we've been talking about.
[22:50.960 -> 22:52.060] So yes, love it.
[22:54.080 -> 22:57.200] Let's see, Renegade, what else do you have?
[22:57.200 -> 23:02.200] I mean, we've had the hots for Leclerc for a week.
[23:02.240 -> 23:04.720] What is outside of Ferrari that you are eyeing,
[23:04.720 -> 23:06.000] if there is something.
[23:06.000 -> 23:11.000] Outside of Ferrari, I'd say, so Alex Algen,
[23:11.000 -> 23:14.280] we know he's recovering from his operation and he's back,
[23:15.280 -> 23:18.760] but I want to look at his free practice performance.
[23:18.760 -> 23:21.720] Cause if it's like, he's really struggling,
[23:21.720 -> 23:24.320] then I think like some head-to-head team bet
[23:24.320 -> 23:29.660] with their Metro Pass or Alfa Romeo because Latifi shouldn't be doing anything at
[23:29.660 -> 23:35.520] this track so if there's like some good odds on Haas to beat Williams I think
[23:35.520 -> 23:41.780] I'm gonna want to take that if Albon's struggling in free practice. Okay let's
[23:41.780 -> 23:45.240] see Albon, I can't even parlay any of the FPs. I don't Albon, Latifi. Oof. Ugh.
[23:45.240 -> 23:47.760] I can't even parlay any of the FPs.
[23:47.760 -> 23:52.760] I don't think I bet Latifi to be Albon even if he's half it.
[23:52.760 -> 23:53.760] But.
[23:53.760 -> 23:57.240] I'm just saying it's plus 275 Latifi over Albon.
[23:57.240 -> 23:58.240] He's coming off of surgery.
[23:58.240 -> 24:02.040] Oh, that's crazy.
[24:02.040 -> 24:03.840] That's crazy.
[24:03.840 -> 24:04.360] All right.
[24:04.360 -> 24:06.000] Well, that's an. That's crazy. All right.
[24:06.000 -> 24:08.000] Well, that's an interesting one for sure.
[24:08.000 -> 24:12.000] You came right to it with the Williams.
[24:12.000 -> 24:14.000] From Ferrari to Williams.
[24:14.000 -> 24:16.000] I love it.
[24:16.000 -> 24:18.000] See, this is the one thing I love about this crew is
[24:18.000 -> 24:22.000] we have a pretty wide horizon.
[24:22.000 -> 24:28.960] We just have lenses across the grid from the top of the grid to
[24:28.960 -> 24:34.400] the shittiest of the shittiest drivers. And I'm so glad you guys are the ones that focus
[24:34.400 -> 24:40.320] on like Alfa Romeo and Alfa Tauri because I have literally zero interest in looking
[24:40.320 -> 24:47.580] into Gasly's performance anymore. Thanks. You're the true MVP for doing the homework for us.
[24:48.840 -> 24:49.680] Yeah.
[24:49.680 -> 24:50.960] As an alpha fan, I only like,
[24:50.960 -> 24:52.120] I don't have very many options.
[24:52.120 -> 24:53.320] I only look at midfield.
[24:54.680 -> 24:57.240] I mean, as our buddy, like Seth says,
[24:57.240 -> 24:59.200] it's just money, you know.
[24:59.200 -> 25:01.360] You got five races left, you know.
[25:01.360 -> 25:02.200] Fun coupons.
[25:02.200 -> 25:03.020] We're up on the air.
[25:03.020 -> 25:04.080] So worst case scenario,
[25:04.080 -> 25:05.720] we lick our wounds and we come back next week. Yeah, exactly, exactly.
[25:06.760 -> 25:10.680] Yeah, no, so one I did wanna talk about,
[25:10.680 -> 25:12.920] which I kind of talked a little bit about,
[25:12.920 -> 25:14.880] which was the race leaders.
[25:16.080 -> 25:18.800] The odds are not up, at least I'm not seeing it.
[25:18.800 -> 25:19.840] Bavada doesn't have it.
[25:19.840 -> 25:23.040] I don't know if it's up on MGM or DK or anywhere else,
[25:23.920 -> 25:27.320] but I am
[25:27.320 -> 25:33.320] eyeing to take the over, uh, two and a half on the, the race leaders for this track.
[25:33.780 -> 25:40.040] I think that we will probably see it assuming that this is what we're going
[25:40.040 -> 25:45.660] to see, which is Ferrari is going to be up top. Potentially they could struggle.
[25:46.160 -> 25:51.340] I mean, for, for the most part, we've seen it to where Max then ends up
[25:51.340 -> 25:55.760] taking over Ferrari, uh, like lap five or 10 or something like that.
[25:56.540 -> 25:57.420] So that's one.
[25:57.480 -> 26:00.940] And then he pits, and then we're going to see that cycle
[26:00.940 -> 26:02.560] happen in the top three or four.
[26:02.820 -> 26:06.660] Um, it just seems like the trend has happened that way, although.
[26:07.540 -> 26:09.460] It hasn't always gone as smooth.
[26:09.880 -> 26:11.880] I can go back and see here.
[26:12.260 -> 26:13.560] Give me one second.
[26:14.700 -> 26:15.000] Thank you.
[26:15.000 -> 26:15.720] 2019.
[26:15.720 -> 26:20.380] We had four, four different lap leaders, 2018, four different lap leaders,
[26:20.380 -> 26:23.920] 2017, we only had one, but again, that was the, the wet race.
[26:23.920 -> 26:25.420] And in 2016, we had three.
[26:25.920 -> 26:30.280] So I am going to be eyeing the over two and a half race leaders for this, this race.
[26:31.180 -> 26:32.800] One thing that does scare me is yes.
[26:32.800 -> 26:39.200] If like Max does qualify first and he's just way faster than everyone.
[26:39.360 -> 26:44.880] We may not hit on that, but I'm kind of going with the, we might, we're going to
[26:44.880 -> 26:47.860] probably see them closer than we think, so.
[26:49.500 -> 26:53.620] I think the Mercedes will go out long anyway,
[26:53.620 -> 26:55.480] looking what they did in 2019.
[26:56.340 -> 26:57.180] Yeah.
[26:57.180 -> 26:58.980] They just kept Hamilton out forever.
[26:58.980 -> 26:59.820] Yeah.
[26:59.820 -> 27:00.660] And lost two positions,
[27:00.660 -> 27:02.140] but if they're not going to go forward,
[27:02.140 -> 27:04.740] then that's really their only hope for a safety car.
[27:05.240 -> 27:06.240] Yeah, and then I'm going to go forward, then that's really their only hope for a safety car. Yeah.
[27:06.240 -> 27:09.840] And then I'm going to be eyeing the classification of drivers.
[27:09.840 -> 27:12.240] I think that there's an opportunity there.
[27:12.240 -> 27:14.680] It's going to be very boom or bust.
[27:14.680 -> 27:21.280] I think it's one of those, you're either going to see just mass chaos or everyone just seems
[27:21.280 -> 27:26.440] to have a clean race and we just see maybe two, three DNFs, but I
[27:26.440 -> 27:30.560] may be taking the over 15 and a half at minus one 50.
[27:31.040 -> 27:32.240] It's very possible.
[27:32.260 -> 27:33.280] I do love that.
[27:34.520 -> 27:38.360] It is very scary knowing that if it is raining and there's a huge chance of rain.
[27:38.360 -> 27:42.000] So that's the only reason why I haven't also jumped on it.
[27:42.000 -> 27:45.840] So I haven't jumped on those yet, but those are two that I'm eyeing just
[27:45.840 -> 27:50.680] something for, for the listeners to, I mean, last time there was a wet race,
[27:50.680 -> 27:53.480] the top three, not themselves out before term one.
[27:53.520 -> 27:54.120] So, yeah.
[27:54.400 -> 27:54.720] Yeah.
[27:55.880 -> 28:00.080] Um, I mean, you could take the under 15 and a half plus one 10.
[28:00.720 -> 28:09.460] If you really wanted to, but now I think that, uh, I think we, we tend to go into a race
[28:09.460 -> 28:16.780] with the, like, this is going to be totally mass chaos, but you know, I think that lately
[28:16.780 -> 28:22.920] I haven't seen, we haven't really seen a massive, just big turn one chaos, except for silver
[28:22.920 -> 28:23.920] stone.
[28:23.920 -> 28:25.280] And it was, I think that was the last time we did see one.
[28:25.280 -> 28:28.640] So that's one race out of the entirety that we've seen.
[28:28.640 -> 28:30.640] So I kind of like it.
[28:32.920 -> 28:34.280] I know we are about time.
[28:34.280 -> 28:37.200] We think we've gone through 30 minutes here.
[28:37.200 -> 28:40.200] So let's do one quick round table.
[28:40.200 -> 28:41.520] Any thoughts, trends,
[28:41.520 -> 28:44.040] something you want to bring to the viewers?
[28:44.040 -> 28:47.440] It's open, Mike.
[28:50.720 -> 28:53.200] Uh, one thing I would just add, if the more rain there is, it probably benefits for staffing.
[28:54.280 -> 29:01.280] And if I think I see qualifying odds have drifted to about evens 2.0.
[29:01.840 -> 29:05.240] So if it is a lot of rain for stuff, it's very good in the rain
[29:06.000 -> 29:08.000] I'm sure the car get pole
[29:09.000 -> 29:11.000] So the more rain
[29:11.360 -> 29:17.540] Willing to read for more. Hey, you mean on qualifying for Saturday? Yeah. Okay. Yeah
[29:18.840 -> 29:24.040] Yeah, that's why I'm only doing a quarter unit on my LeClaire bet plus we got cloned. Oh, no
[29:24.040 -> 29:30.320] I call him clone. Oh no now because he's a clown, but anyways, anyone else?
[29:32.000 -> 29:34.120] Jinx integrity.
[29:35.080 -> 29:35.400] Yeah.
[29:35.440 -> 29:35.760] All right.
[29:36.920 -> 29:37.600] That's good.
[29:37.620 -> 29:38.200] All right.
[29:39.600 -> 29:41.240] Well, thanks everyone for listening.
[29:41.360 -> 29:46.040] Uh, tune in for our next podcast, probably next week, where we're actually,
[29:46.040 -> 29:50.760] we're going to have the Japanese grand prix. This one is going to be a fun one. I think
[29:50.760 -> 29:56.080] just because of the timing of it all, it's basically midnight our time, you know, 1am
[29:56.080 -> 30:03.520] or something like that here in the U S. So look for potential like live streaming or
[30:03.520 -> 30:05.000] live chatting Discord
[30:05.660 -> 30:08.180] through the FP sessions qualifying or race.
[30:09.020 -> 30:10.040] Yeah, it should be fun.
[30:10.040 -> 30:12.580] I wanna try to be a little more interactive
[30:12.580 -> 30:14.700] since it's gonna be late in the evening
[30:14.700 -> 30:17.180] with a few adult beverages, it's allowed.
[30:17.180 -> 30:18.100] Of course.
[30:18.100 -> 30:20.520] Of course, but yeah.
[30:20.520 -> 30:22.140] Thanks for listening, everyone.
[30:22.140 -> 30:23.340] We'll see you next week.
[30:20.660 -> 30:22.580] Thanks for listening, everyone.
[30:22.580 -> 30:24.100] We'll see you next week.