F1 Money Gang Mexico GP Ep.9

Our leans, likes, and tips for F1 Mexico GP bets!  Underdog Fantasy Promo Code F1MONEYGANG or Signup Link: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-lights-out-f1 and Free Discord: http://discord.gg/nT4wb3ayHU

## Overview

- The Formula One Money Gang podcast discusses F1 betting strategies and provides insights for the upcoming Mexican Grand Prix.
- Listeners are encouraged to join the podcast's Discord channel for exclusive betting tips and discussions.

## Free Money Friday Picks

### Tegrity

- Recommends betting on Ricardo over Vettel in FP1 at -105 odds.
- Backs up the pick with statistics showing Ricardo's dominance in head-to-head matchups and better average finishing positions.

### Jinx

- Expresses frustration with the challenging F1 season and his recent betting struggles.
- Suggests a value pick on Carlos Sainz last place finish at 50-60 to 1 odds, given his six 20th place finishes and back-to-back last place finishes.
- Highlights Alpha Romeo's potential for double DNF at 165 to 1 odds.

### Lights Out

- Favors Sergio Perez to win FP1 or finish in the top three at 600 to 1 odds.
- Recommends betting on Lewis Hamilton over George Russell in various markets, emphasizing Hamilton's recent resurgence and Russell's struggles.
- Considers a sprinkle on Lance Stroll for top three at 25,000 to 1 odds, given his improving performance.

### Renegade

- Picks Gasly points finish at 2.5 or +150 odds, citing the team's recent form and the uncertainty in the top 10 positions.

### Dolcetto (via Renegade)

- Favors Alpine double points at -122 or 1.82 odds, expressing confidence in both Alonso and Ocon's ability to score points.

## Additional Picks and Insights

- The hosts discuss the significance of the Mexican Grand Prix for team revenue and positioning in the championship standings.
- They also mention Vettel wearing a Red Bull helmet during the weekend, which is seen as a lack of integrity and could potentially impact his performance.
- Hamilton is considered a strong pick against Russell, given his recent form and experience at the Mexican Grand Prix.
- The hosts suggest targeting Joe Magnussen for a top 10 finish at +200 odds, considering his motivation and Haas' unpredictable performances.
- The potential for a 10-second winning margin is briefly discussed, but no specific recommendations are made.

The podcast centered around Formula One racing, particularly the upcoming Mexican Grand Prix. The hosts discussed various betting strategies and predictions for the race.

For the Free Practice 1 (FP1) winning margin, the suggestion was to bet on a margin between 0.1 and 0.25 seconds at odds of +200. The hosts also considered the possibility of a late safety car affecting the race outcome, which could potentially benefit the Mercedes team.

Regarding Sergio Perez, the hosts recommended leaning against him winning the race outright, given his inconsistent performances and the inflated odds of +450. They also advised against betting on Perez to win, especially considering the high odds.

The hosts discussed the number of classified drivers in the race, with the over/under set at 16.5 and 17.5. They suggested that taking both the over 16.5 and over 17.5 bets could be a profitable strategy, as it covers a range of possible outcomes.

The conversation then shifted to other sports betting options, including NHL, NBA, NFL, horse racing, NASCAR, tennis, and darts. The hosts mentioned that they have experts in these sports who share their insights and picks in their Discord channel.

The podcast concluded with a brief discussion about the final round of the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs at Martinsville, where the championship will be decided among the top four drivers. The hosts acknowledged the dominance of Chase Elliott on short tracks but emphasized the unpredictable nature of the race, especially with a late-race restart likely to determine the outcome.

[00:00.000 -> 00:08.000] Welcome to the F1 Money Gang podcast, where we will break down F1 betting, everything
[00:08.000 -> 00:10.600] you need to get ready for the weekend.
[00:10.600 -> 00:19.400] If you're just a fantasy player, DFS, or you're just here to listen in, you are in the right
[00:19.400 -> 00:20.400] place.
[00:20.400 -> 00:21.560] You got the right sharps over here.
[00:21.560 -> 00:28.400] They will give you all the insights into the weekend. Last week we had the U S grand Prix in Austin, Texas.
[00:28.420 -> 00:32.060] It was a record breaking crowd actually last week.
[00:32.060 -> 00:34.520] I don't remember how many people they said, but like somewhere around
[00:34.520 -> 00:39.960] 420,000 people showed up, I think on the race day was an actual entertaining race.
[00:40.040 -> 00:47.700] Lots of activity, um, from penalties to overtakes, Alonzo doing a two wheel
[00:47.700 -> 00:53.720] spin into the wall, it was pretty, pretty crazy, but we are now off to
[00:53.740 -> 01:01.440] Mexico city where we're in the high altitude, high downforce C2, C3, C4
[01:01.440 -> 01:07.040] compounds, and this is going to be an interesting race. I think the weather is
[01:07.040 -> 01:10.800] not going to impact us as much. I think there are a lot of different scenarios where it
[01:10.800 -> 01:15.400] can impact the bets or whatever decisions you're going to make. But before we get into
[01:15.400 -> 01:21.200] that, this is sponsored by Underdog Fantasy Sports. Our promo is F1 Money Gang. Again,
[01:21.200 -> 01:25.000] you'll get a $100 deposit match if you use that promo code.
[01:25.000 -> 01:27.500] Again, that's F1MoneyGang.
[01:27.500 -> 01:33.300] But to kick things off, I did want to come back to the US Grand Prix because we did catch
[01:33.300 -> 01:37.500] something last week that was actually pretty incredible.
[01:37.500 -> 01:49.440] It was during the practices. If you didn't notice, FP2 had an extra 30 minutes on the time for that FP session.
[01:49.440 -> 01:53.840] The reason being that they had the Pirelli tire testing.
[01:53.840 -> 02:01.040] What we found out was in FP1, there were some drivers that did not go.
[02:01.040 -> 02:07.080] I can't remember which ones off the top of my head, but I do remember, uh, what was it?
[02:07.240 -> 02:09.840] Um, Ricardo.
[02:11.640 -> 02:11.880] All right.
[02:11.880 -> 02:12.180] Who else?
[02:12.180 -> 02:13.120] The way it is.
[02:13.200 -> 02:15.380] Botas and then LeClaire.
[02:15.400 -> 02:15.800] That's right.
[02:16.800 -> 02:21.320] So those were the three guys that were, they didn't race, uh,
[02:21.320 -> 02:23.440] they didn't do their FP one session.
[02:23.620 -> 02:24.920] So it allowed them.
[02:25.320 -> 02:28.900] Was it 30 minutes or whatever time that they could use for
[02:28.900 -> 02:30.420] any tire of their choice?
[02:31.880 -> 02:33.540] That was actually pretty awesome guys.
[02:33.800 -> 02:36.100] Uh, we all capitalized on that.
[02:36.100 -> 02:39.640] We realized that after having a discussion in our discord, which by the way, if
[02:39.640 -> 02:43.640] you're not in our discord channel, use the link below, get in there.
[02:43.680 -> 02:48.100] We're constantly talking about. about odds, everything you need.
[02:48.240 -> 02:52.360] So yeah, I wanted to get y'all's opinion on that thoughts.
[02:53.080 -> 02:57.840] Even if you just had a comment or you want to just tout your win, let's, uh,
[02:58.560 -> 03:01.560] that was a pretty incredible beat that we had there.
[03:03.560 -> 03:07.880] I think that's the longest I've watched FB2 for, and nothing's happened and I've been
[03:07.880 -> 03:11.240] really interested just to see the result.
[03:11.240 -> 03:15.680] That is kind of funny, actually. I sat there and was watching, I'm like, I don't know why
[03:15.680 -> 03:20.360] I'm still watching this. We know the results are not going to change in the next hour,
[03:20.360 -> 03:21.360] but I'm still watching.
[03:21.360 -> 03:26.000] It's like, we couldn't believe that next flight. We're like, is it going to work?
[03:26.000 -> 03:28.000] And then it's just like two seconds later.
[03:28.000 -> 03:29.000] It's fine.
[03:29.000 -> 03:31.000] So Stefan's not even driving.
[03:31.000 -> 03:32.000] He's talking to Brad Pitt.
[03:32.000 -> 03:34.000] Yeah, that's right.
[03:34.000 -> 03:36.000] That's right.
[03:36.000 -> 03:41.000] And what in the best part about it was, you know what?
[03:41.000 -> 03:47.200] We actually had an opportunity to so some books, they'll post FP1, just the winner odds,
[03:47.200 -> 03:49.800] and then they'll push the head to head.
[03:49.800 -> 03:51.880] For a minute there, we actually had opportunity
[03:51.880 -> 03:55.800] to slam the head to head, but immediately was taken down.
[03:55.800 -> 03:58.600] I mean, we could have really exploited that
[03:58.600 -> 03:59.440] across the books.
[03:59.440 -> 04:00.260] And then there's some people
[04:00.260 -> 04:02.440] that actually had top three bets.
[04:02.440 -> 04:06.160] I think someone in the discord had Botas at like,
[04:07.120 -> 04:12.000] I don't know, 200 or something. 250, yeah. 250 to one, top three.
[04:12.560 -> 04:19.040] I know there was a Ricardo one too. Yeah, it's incredible. Just imagine if we had that,
[04:19.040 -> 04:24.480] we would have probably put, we would have taken the books to the woodshed if we had that opportunity.
[04:24.480 -> 04:28.480] Yeah, it's almost like they just drop like the generic lines immediately after everyone
[04:28.480 -> 04:34.400] and you just got to catch it right then. Yeah. I mean, so yeah. So for our listeners,
[04:35.200 -> 04:39.600] this is why you want to come to our discord. This is why you want to listen to the podcast
[04:39.600 -> 04:45.760] is because of things like this. We catch this news and we're on it. We are on it. A lot of us capitalized on it
[04:47.200 -> 04:51.120] and we have the same opportunity this weekend, I believe. Isn't that correct?
[04:52.640 -> 04:59.360] That is correct. Some pretty good drivers out there doing the same thing this weekend. There's
[04:59.360 -> 05:04.960] hopefully a big advantage to take on. I know I don't want to get too deep into it,
[05:04.960 -> 05:05.000] but there's definitely one guy that we're going to be watching for sure. a big advantage to take on. I know I want to get too deep into it.
[05:05.000 -> 05:07.500] There's definitely one guy that we're going to be watching for sure.
[05:08.100 -> 05:08.500] Yep.
[05:10.300 -> 05:11.600] We're not going to name him.
[05:11.600 -> 05:15.700] We're going to tease this one shall not be named, shall not be named.
[05:15.800 -> 05:20.100] But if you do want to know who it is, jump in the discord.
[05:20.200 -> 05:21.500] We'll tell you who it is.
[05:21.500 -> 05:25.500] We'll tell you who we're eyeing and And we'll tell you who you can exploit.
[05:25.500 -> 05:32.000] But the same situation, FP2, they plan to do an extra 30 minutes for tire testing.
[05:32.000 -> 05:37.000] I believe we're saying potential soft compound.
[05:37.000 -> 05:40.000] So we are going to still tread lightly.
[05:40.000 -> 05:44.000] But again, if you want to know who, if you want to get into that action,
[05:44.000 -> 05:45.200] come into Discord
[05:45.200 -> 05:46.760] and we'll definitely tease that up.
[05:46.760 -> 05:50.320] But let's go ahead and get into our picks.
[05:50.320 -> 05:53.080] I think that's what everyone wants.
[05:53.080 -> 05:57.960] And you know, Tegrity, we're going to start with you.
[05:57.960 -> 06:00.080] This is Free Money Friday.
[06:00.080 -> 06:02.640] You're the man for Free Money Friday.
[06:02.640 -> 06:03.640] What are you eyeing?
[06:03.640 -> 06:08.800] Oh, well, we absolutely missed the last pause, unfortunately, but when the
[06:08.800 -> 06:12.600] discord and other reasons to join, uh, we actually swept the entire, uh,
[06:12.640 -> 06:14.960] FB one, it'd be a massive day.
[06:15.600 -> 06:16.840] So we're going to ride on that wave.
[06:16.960 -> 06:22.320] Um, I got a really good just numbers and a stat wise is a great pick.
[06:22.320 -> 06:23.360] It's for car over Vettel.
[06:24.080 -> 06:28.020] Um, I got it over at minus 105 about an hour ago,
[06:28.020 -> 06:29.760] but this morning it was a plus 110.
[06:31.020 -> 06:32.720] I'm going to put a unit and a half on that
[06:32.720 -> 06:34.080] and that's located on Bovada,
[06:34.080 -> 06:36.580] but I think it's put on 365 and whatnot as well.
[06:37.520 -> 06:39.680] Just numbers wise,
[06:39.680 -> 06:42.240] this is one of those gambling matchups you dream about.
[06:42.240 -> 06:44.360] Going back to the last six races,
[06:44.360 -> 06:47.720] Ricardo's got a dominant lead, five to one head to head.
[06:47.720 -> 06:50.120] So he's sitting at a good 83% hit rate on that.
[06:51.360 -> 06:53.600] On the, just on the yearly average,
[06:53.600 -> 06:56.000] Rick is finishing on the FP10.
[06:56.000 -> 06:58.300] His last five, he's hitting P9.
[06:58.300 -> 07:01.880] While Vettel is actually around P13, his last five, P14.
[07:02.720 -> 07:06.080] And with this being FP1, numbers are really your friend.
[07:06.080 -> 07:09.520] Don't really have anything to go by on for the weekend.
[07:09.520 -> 07:10.600] So when you got numbers like this,
[07:10.600 -> 07:13.040] you really just gotta take advantage of it.
[07:13.040 -> 07:14.480] Don't tempt me, man.
[07:14.480 -> 07:17.480] You know, Ricardo burned me last week a little bit.
[07:19.680 -> 07:21.200] I know one of the guys in the discord
[07:21.200 -> 07:22.620] already posted his picks.
[07:24.240 -> 07:25.880] And he actually- I think he had him over at Lando.
[07:25.880 -> 07:26.880] Yeah, ball.
[07:26.880 -> 07:31.520] That was, you know, some of the rationale that you're putting in was also the rationale
[07:31.520 -> 07:32.520] like that.
[07:32.520 -> 07:38.080] But yes, I think that as we speak, I am placing my bet.
[07:38.080 -> 07:40.760] I can't miss the Tegrity free money Friday.
[07:40.760 -> 07:41.760] The numbers are right.
[07:41.760 -> 07:42.760] The stats are right.
[07:42.760 -> 07:43.760] Why not?
[07:43.760 -> 07:44.760] We're in it.
[07:44.760 -> 07:45.000] Booked. It's in. The stats are right. Why not?
[07:45.000 -> 07:46.000] We're in it.
[07:46.000 -> 07:47.000] Booked.
[07:47.000 -> 07:48.000] It's in.
[07:48.000 -> 07:52.000] I tried lightly on FP1 people, so don't go crazy.
[07:52.000 -> 07:55.000] Yeah, I got heavy and light on everything else.
[07:55.000 -> 07:59.000] And then be around for live betting too.
[07:59.000 -> 08:03.000] I feel like I've been getting my feet wet on that one,
[08:03.000 -> 08:07.680] although I did miss on one of the lives, but yeah, it's a good pick, man.
[08:09.740 -> 08:13.240] All right, well, let's get to, uh, let's get to jinx, man.
[08:13.300 -> 08:15.960] Jinx get in here, get in there, Louis.
[08:16.780 -> 08:18.720] What, what, what are you eyeing this weekend?
[08:18.780 -> 08:19.400] Do you have a lean?
[08:19.400 -> 08:21.840] Do you have a like, do you have one you just really love?
[08:23.200 -> 08:27.000] I mean, just, I mean, we're, we're waiting for the year to be over.
[08:27.000 -> 08:29.000] Honestly, I'm just been a long year.
[08:29.000 -> 08:31.000] I mean, not, not even really picks.
[08:31.000 -> 08:36.000] I mean, last week went one in three had the base, but again, just can't get no luck.
[08:36.000 -> 08:40.000] And, you know, when we're, when we're going good, just stuff takes us out.
[08:40.000 -> 08:50.380] I know first pick I gave out on the show last week, did end up hitting Haas over Williams, but Haas shit the bed on Saturday. So if you follow the
[08:50.380 -> 08:53.560] discord or some people in there that tweet about it, you could have gotten
[08:53.560 -> 08:59.720] Haas at plus one 90 over Williams. So, um, lost a lot of value on that. Um,
[08:59.760 -> 09:04.520] Perez podium, he finished fourth at end plate damage. Uh, seems like every week
[09:04.520 -> 09:07.080] I pick someone with damage. So, if you're into that
[09:07.080 -> 09:09.960] stuff, um you know, someone that retires maybe tail my
[09:09.960 -> 09:14.820] picks. Um I had Gasly over Ocon. Um depending on the books,
[09:14.820 -> 09:18.660] everyone's got different rules. Um some books have to the line
[09:18.660 -> 09:22.380] and Gasly beat Ocon to the line but he had a five-second time
[09:22.380 -> 09:25.920] penalty for a questionable, um, not staying
[09:25.920 -> 09:30.320] within the then 10 cars of the state within 10 links of the car in front during the safety car.
[09:31.360 -> 09:34.640] And the announcers were questionable about that. And then they claimed he didn't serve
[09:34.640 -> 09:40.160] as penalty. Correct. So he had two five second penalties to allow Ocon to beat him.
[09:41.120 -> 09:47.040] I had bought his over Albon. He was about 20 seconds ahead and he just lost the car.
[09:47.040 -> 09:54.200] I think turn 18. So I mean just tough. And then we, I also had Alfa Romeo double classified
[09:54.200 -> 10:00.360] last week at minus one 50, I think. And that was just cruising. Um, I know Joe took a whole
[10:00.360 -> 10:06.000] bunch of engine parts, but the way they're going, I mean, I think Bottas is trying to have more engines
[10:06.000 -> 10:07.880] than he did last year with Mercedes
[10:07.880 -> 10:10.680] and somehow he's at six DNFs.
[10:12.120 -> 10:15.360] I mean, I guess a value pick is to go
[10:15.360 -> 10:16.680] with Carwell Sainz last place.
[10:16.680 -> 10:19.280] He's probably gonna be up 50, 60 to one.
[10:19.280 -> 10:23.000] He has six 20th place finishes this year.
[10:23.000 -> 10:25.280] Six, you know, just, it's crazy.
[10:25.280 -> 10:27.180] He's got back to back last place finishes.
[10:27.820 -> 10:29.900] Um, and there's plenty of gravel in Mexico.
[10:29.900 -> 10:32.980] So, I mean, that's, I mean, you know, throw five bucks on it.
[10:32.980 -> 10:36.680] You can win probably three, 400, or I don't even know, 60 to one.
[10:36.780 -> 10:38.500] Uh, I mean, it's just, it's tough.
[10:38.500 -> 10:41.100] Cause every week I pick someone with better pace and then it
[10:41.100 -> 10:43.100] just falls to shit in the race.
[10:43.100 -> 10:47.240] So, um, you know, I didn't, uh, put anything down on Friday or Saturday.
[10:47.780 -> 10:49.400] Just waited for all the data to come in.
[10:49.500 -> 10:54.740] Um, you know, got some, got some pace advantage and then, you know, it
[10:54.740 -> 10:56.100] all goes to shit during the race.
[10:56.100 -> 11:00.100] So, um, you know, I mean, it's a tough year, you know, had a good year last
[11:00.100 -> 11:03.980] year, just not used to all the chaos happening week after week after week.
[11:03.980 -> 11:06.720] It just, you know, it's tough, but we're all in it together.
[11:06.800 -> 11:11.040] Um, you know, there is some stuff, I mean, Alpha Romeo again.
[11:11.080 -> 11:14.320] I mean, how many weeks can they, you know, have another, have both cars,
[11:14.320 -> 11:17.760] DNF, they're at one 65, uh, that's a lean.
[11:17.880 -> 11:22.160] Um, I mean, I'll, uh, there's when we do the second round table, I'll share some
[11:22.160 -> 11:26.580] stuff, but it's just tough, you know, I don't really like giving out stuff and then people
[11:26.580 -> 11:28.160] losing it after I give it out.
[11:28.200 -> 11:29.140] So, yeah, well,
[11:29.180 -> 11:32.940] I mean, going back to your point though, it is been a different year.
[11:32.940 -> 11:38.640] And I think, uh, people that are new to F1 new to F1 betting, uh, I don't
[11:38.640 -> 11:43.260] think they fully grasp that this has been a challenging year for all of us,
[11:43.760 -> 11:45.200] because it seems like
[11:45.200 -> 11:50.360] every time we approach a new race, it doesn't matter if we've seen these
[11:50.360 -> 11:53.760] drivers at this track, it is a completely different car.
[11:53.760 -> 11:57.440] And you know this because you are also a NASCAR better, and you got
[11:57.440 -> 11:59.040] that next gen car over there.
[11:59.520 -> 12:04.280] And I'm sure that you're feeling the same pain in that area too.
[12:04.280 -> 12:06.300] So it's different for us. This is the year of we're feeling the same pain, uh, in that area too. So it's different for us.
[12:06.320 -> 12:08.880] This is the year of we're learning the cars.
[12:09.380 -> 12:12.200] We're learning the drivers in the cars and then we're learning
[12:12.480 -> 12:14.580] the cars on the tracks.
[12:14.580 -> 12:17.500] And then we'll probably have a better year next year.
[12:17.500 -> 12:22.140] I, I believe, although it hasn't been a terrible year, it's been, it's been a
[12:22.140 -> 12:28.940] good year, definitely wasn't like 2021 for me, but it's definitely still been profitable, uh, enough.
[12:28.960 -> 12:33.040] So I think there is a lot of bad luck, but next year we'll get figured out a
[12:33.040 -> 12:34.480] little bit better for most teams.
[12:34.520 -> 12:38.900] I hope you would expect, I will say when you remember that stat I threw out there,
[12:38.900 -> 12:44.380] I think there have been 66 DNFs this year so far, and we still have three races left.
[12:44.740 -> 12:46.860] There were a total of 44 last year.
[12:47.420 -> 12:50.300] So, I mean, that just shows you how many DNFs have been happening.
[12:50.320 -> 12:54.360] Just, just understanding the car is the engineering aspect behind it.
[12:54.360 -> 12:58.040] It's not like it's been giant pileups or regs or anything like that.
[12:58.860 -> 13:00.920] It's been, it's just been unknowns for everyone.
[13:00.920 -> 13:03.880] So just let's take it up for what it is.
[13:03.880 -> 13:06.640] And next year we'll just come back strong. So, yeah.
[13:08.160 -> 13:11.760] All right. Well, lights my man,
[13:12.480 -> 13:14.480] my hockey buddy, what's going on, dude.
[13:15.520 -> 13:17.840] Hey, what's going on guys. Excited for another race.
[13:18.480 -> 13:21.440] I was a little of these back to back feels like we've built good momentum in the
[13:21.440 -> 13:24.640] discord as a crew. Yeah. I'm,
[13:24.640 -> 13:26.280] I'm looking at F FP1 tomorrow as well,
[13:26.280 -> 13:28.960] trying to figure out these outright markets.
[13:28.960 -> 13:31.660] Not sure what to expect from Red Bull this weekend.
[13:33.080 -> 13:35.340] Feeling like they should turn the car up
[13:35.340 -> 13:37.400] for Sergio in every session.
[13:37.400 -> 13:41.340] And he's sitting there at plus 750, plus 800 for FP1.
[13:41.340 -> 13:42.880] Now you can get them on each way
[13:42.880 -> 13:44.720] or top three at one fifth of that
[13:44.720 -> 13:46.720] or top three FP1 outright You can get them on each way for top three at one fifth of that or top three FP1
[13:46.720 -> 13:53.760] outright on some other markets. Really like that one. But I'm also looking at a couple other guys.
[13:53.760 -> 14:02.880] Alonzo is plus 6,600 and Stroll is plus 25,000. And you can each weigh those for one fifth of
[14:02.880 -> 14:05.440] the odds if they get first, second or third.
[14:05.440 -> 14:08.320] It's if you want to be a total D-Gen with me,
[14:08.320 -> 14:09.880] I'm probably gonna sprinkle a bit on that.
[14:09.880 -> 14:10.920] Like I'm looking at Lance Stroll,
[14:10.920 -> 14:13.800] he got fourth last practice one,
[14:13.800 -> 14:16.360] and then he qualified best of the rest in seventh.
[14:16.360 -> 14:20.200] So on Saturday, so it seems like he's bringing it.
[14:20.200 -> 14:21.460] Without Russell there,
[14:22.400 -> 14:26.720] you know, that's one less driver to worry about. I think him and Alonzo,
[14:26.720 -> 14:31.440] you're just hoping for one of them to hit top three to, you know, hit major profit. But I am
[14:31.440 -> 14:38.080] definitely booking Perez at plus 800 to win FP1 or at least get top three for, I think the equivalent
[14:38.080 -> 14:46.120] is like minus 150 by the time you get paid out for second or third, and obviously if he wins it, you're in super big money.
[14:46.120 -> 14:48.200] So that's my main play.
[14:48.200 -> 14:50.760] Besides that, I'm looking at Lewis over Russell,
[14:50.760 -> 14:53.800] probably in pretty much every market this weekend.
[14:53.800 -> 14:57.920] It looks like he's head and shoulders above George Russell.
[14:57.920 -> 14:59.240] At this point in the season,
[14:59.240 -> 15:02.080] you know, we saw obviously Russell smack signs pretty good
[15:02.080 -> 15:03.880] on the first corner of the first lap of the race,
[15:03.880 -> 15:06.680] but even before that, he was kind of starting to lag behind compared to
[15:06.680 -> 15:11.680] Lewis. So Lewis and the car have finally arrived in a way that is at least
[15:11.680 -> 15:16.000] semi competitive. And at the same time, Alonzo has been eating George Russell's
[15:16.000 -> 15:20.920] lunch in most sessions as well. So yeah, hoping to get creative with ways to play
[15:20.920 -> 15:25.440] Paris and Alonzo this weekend. Might sprinkle a little bit on that stroll.
[15:25.440 -> 15:27.440] He's just been consistently getting better and better.
[15:27.440 -> 15:29.840] I think that Aston Martin is right there
[15:29.840 -> 15:32.180] behind Alpine and McLaren now.
[15:32.180 -> 15:33.640] It's fair to say, in my opinion,
[15:33.640 -> 15:35.280] they've separated themselves
[15:35.280 -> 15:37.440] from kind of the bottom of the field
[15:37.440 -> 15:40.740] with Haas, Williams, Alcantara, Alfa, Romeo.
[15:42.640 -> 15:44.900] And then, yeah, Lewis over at Russell whenever I can.
[15:44.900 -> 15:45.920] Those are probably my, my
[15:45.920 -> 15:49.840] three or four main plays this weekend. It goes to the price pick stuff as well. We can get into
[15:49.840 -> 15:54.400] after, but in terms of the sports books, uh, that's what I'm looking at. Yeah. It's funny.
[15:54.400 -> 16:01.840] Uh, because I booked that, uh, Sergio 800, you know, we were talking about that early on and
[16:01.840 -> 16:05.760] I'm looking now it's on Bavada. It's already down to 600 for FP1
[16:05.760 -> 16:11.120] winner. So we're already it's already moving and it's going to keep moving until the weekend.
[16:12.000 -> 16:20.080] I'm sure. So definitely it's definitely Checo season at this point. And they took down.
[16:20.960 -> 16:24.960] I like to turn down Max's car and if you want just for the hype or what?
[16:24.960 -> 16:28.400] Yeah. Yeah. Just a narrative play. Right. Let's turn our attention finally to Checo and not Max.
[16:28.400 -> 16:32.400] And let's let him have this session and hype it up.
[16:32.400 -> 16:34.000] I'm sure that they would love that.
[16:34.000 -> 16:37.600] But I mean, obviously, no guarantees it's going to hit or anything like that.
[16:37.600 -> 16:40.000] But the odds are, you know, it's going to be a good one.
[16:40.000 -> 16:41.400] And I think it's going to be a good one.
[16:41.400 -> 16:42.400] I think it's going to be a good one.
[16:42.400 -> 16:43.400] I think it's going to be a good one.
[16:43.400 -> 16:44.400] I think it's going to be a good one.
[16:44.400 -> 16:47.660] I think it's going to be a good one. I think it's going to be a good one. I think it's going to be a good one. I think it's going to be a good one. and bring it and hype it up. I'm sure that they would love that, but I mean, obviously no guarantees it's
[16:47.660 -> 16:51.900] going to hit or anything like that, but the odds, you just, you can't say no to
[16:51.900 -> 16:56.580] them, but, um, but they did take down FP three already, uh, for top three.
[16:56.580 -> 16:56.980] I'm sorry.
[16:57.340 -> 17:00.820] FP one, top three, they've taken that down on Bovada.
[17:00.820 -> 17:06.200] So if you can, uh, if you can find that mark, you said a stroll for top
[17:06.200 -> 17:13.200] three stroll and Alonzo. Yeah. A little long to stay away from. Wish, wish I could get
[17:13.200 -> 17:21.960] that. Um, what interesting enough, I was actually flirting with what are the chances that both
[17:21.960 -> 17:25.920] Aston Martin end up in top six, because you saw that yesterday.
[17:25.920 -> 17:30.960] And I know there was like reasons, you know, penalties that had some of the drivers, uh,
[17:31.600 -> 17:36.320] you know, like LeClaire was at what 12th 13th place or something like that on the grid.
[17:37.520 -> 17:47.220] But I think it's like Aston Martin for top six, both of them, 150 to one, like, that's just, that's crazy for
[17:47.220 -> 17:48.260] the pace that they're going.
[17:48.600 -> 17:52.380] I almost want to just put like $3 down just to see if that will actually hit.
[17:54.380 -> 17:56.360] But, um, I was just flirting with that.
[17:56.360 -> 17:59.260] It was kind of funny because we are, we are all just on this.
[17:59.560 -> 18:04.420] Aston Martins is, is slightly increasing weekend week, a week out.
[18:04.420 -> 18:09.880] So, well, let's get onto our next, our next guy, our favorite, our horse race,
[18:09.880 -> 18:12.720] better renegade what's going on, man.
[18:13.520 -> 18:14.600] Hi, thank you.
[18:14.680 -> 18:23.280] Uh, well, the one pick that I've chosen for the race so far is a Gasly points
[18:23.280 -> 18:31.720] finish at 2.5 or plus 150. I think as we come to the end
[18:31.720 -> 18:41.480] of the season, top 10 after the top six, so the last four points positions, I think it's
[18:41.480 -> 18:46.600] a lot less sure who's it going to be.
[18:46.600 -> 18:52.680] It's probably Norris, it's probably Alonso, but I don't think it's necessarily Ocon anymore.
[18:52.680 -> 18:58.520] And with the Aston Martins picking up pace and the Aventauris picking their car better,
[18:58.520 -> 19:01.720] I think it's a good price for Gasly.
[19:01.720 -> 19:07.680] The teams finished in the points the last three three out of the four races and the one they didn't was Japan.
[19:08.280 -> 19:10.040] And that was a bit of an outlier race.
[19:10.540 -> 19:16.840] So I think, uh, 2.5, the Red Bull was always engine has always done well in Mexico.
[19:17.540 -> 19:19.640] So I think it's a solid bet.
[19:20.520 -> 19:21.540] Yeah, actually.
[19:22.440 -> 19:29.200] And y'all know my opinion on gas,man, but last year, both Alpha Tauris,
[19:29.200 -> 19:34.120] actually Yuki was up there even too, until he had his DNF early on with the chaos at
[19:34.120 -> 19:35.720] turn one.
[19:35.720 -> 19:42.280] So you would expect Alpha Tauri to really push this weekend.
[19:42.280 -> 19:46.380] It's very tempting. I've been super tempted to do a UK or gas
[19:46.380 -> 19:54.180] sleep bet, but I'm, I'm being strict, but you never know next few days or next, next
[19:54.180 -> 19:59.380] day. I may change my mind. If everyone's starting to jump on that train, I get FOMO. I know
[19:59.380 -> 20:00.380] we'll be on it.
[20:00.380 -> 20:07.460] I was looking at last year's, uh, as well. And I think last year, a lot of teams took some
[20:07.460 -> 20:15.480] engine penalties. So that puts them a bit forward.
[20:15.480 -> 20:20.960] But even then, if you go back and watch the practices too, they were just, it seemed like
[20:20.960 -> 20:25.640] Yuki and just that AlphaT Tori was doing well, although it is new
[20:25.640 -> 20:30.260] car, different year, kind of tempted to see what it's going to be like going in.
[20:30.860 -> 20:31.740] However, you're right.
[20:31.740 -> 20:32.800] The odds are there.
[20:32.920 -> 20:38.220] So either you take them and go with it and expect that they're going to do well,
[20:38.300 -> 20:42.460] and then use this last race to be your benchmark against it.
[20:43.100 -> 20:45.640] It should, it should work out in your favor for sure.
[20:48.000 -> 20:50.840] Let me get, I'm gonna throw out Dolcetto's pick.
[20:50.840 -> 20:53.360] He's not gonna be able to join us.
[20:53.360 -> 20:58.360] So his favorite pick is Alpine Double Points
[20:59.800 -> 21:04.400] at minus 122 or 1.82 on, what is that one?
[21:04.400 -> 21:05.800] PointsBet, I think, yep.
[21:05.800 -> 21:08.240] Points bet, which is actually really good price.
[21:08.240 -> 21:10.160] I think it's going for one 40 right now
[21:10.160 -> 21:12.920] and Bovada and some shops.
[21:12.920 -> 21:15.160] So he likes both Alpines.
[21:16.040 -> 21:17.760] I kind of dig that too.
[21:17.760 -> 21:21.180] I can see Alonzo being super pissed off
[21:21.180 -> 21:26.760] from that penalty last week and just wanting to, you know, show it
[21:26.760 -> 21:28.520] up, get it done, right.
[21:28.520 -> 21:30.060] Finish the season strong.
[21:30.060 -> 21:35.200] And then, um, you know, my love for Ocon, although he's been, he was kind of disappointing
[21:35.200 -> 21:37.120] in those practices.
[21:37.120 -> 21:42.520] So maybe wait like we always do until the odds get better or just take it now and expect
[21:42.520 -> 21:46.580] that they're going to just dominate and all the practice sessions and qualifying.
[21:47.280 -> 21:49.500] I think Alpine is pretty motivated to finish well this weekend.
[21:49.600 -> 21:50.740] Yeah, they should be.
[21:50.920 -> 21:57.340] I mean, Alpine has to, has to finish at a pretty high spot to be McLaren.
[21:57.360 -> 22:00.520] They had that double DNF really hurt them in terms of the
[22:00.520 -> 22:01.780] points against McLaren.
[22:01.780 -> 22:03.200] So they're still fighting.
[22:03.340 -> 22:08.100] Um, there are teams that are still, that need to fight and there's a and
[22:08.100 -> 22:11.100] I will throw this quick one out for you because I remember
[22:11.100 -> 22:12.700] seeing like something in 2015.
[22:12.700 -> 22:18.200] The revenue for each team was I think the top or the max team
[22:18.200 -> 22:21.700] could get like nine 900 million or 90 million dollars.
[22:21.700 -> 22:24.200] I think it was like 90 million and it just goes down on the
[22:24.200 -> 22:25.440] purse. We're now at 250 think it was like 90 million and it just goes down on the purse.
[22:25.440 -> 22:31.460] We're now at 250 million for the top team purse and it goes down. So just think about
[22:31.460 -> 22:36.480] how much money is on the line for all these teams. So positioning is going to be very
[22:36.480 -> 22:38.480] key for a lot of these teams.
[22:38.480 -> 22:46.740] Uh, I, yep. My pick, I'm going to throw this one out here. I obviously it's Checo season.
[22:46.740 -> 22:49.620] I did the Checo bet.
[22:49.620 -> 22:56.280] If you can get the top three Checo at 175, do it.
[22:56.280 -> 22:58.420] Plus 175, just do it.
[22:58.420 -> 22:59.820] That would be my top pick.
[22:59.820 -> 23:06.700] Otherwise, if you don't get access to that or if it's, I don't mean to hell, just take it up plus one 25, one 50.
[23:06.700 -> 23:14.540] But I think the pick I would set substitute for that would be Perez over max at plus two.
[23:14.540 -> 23:18.300] I think, I think it was like two 25 or something.
[23:18.300 -> 23:20.200] And it goes back to the narrative we talked about.
[23:20.200 -> 23:21.460] This is his weekend.
[23:21.460 -> 23:26.800] They may not have max go in like full-blown engine power everything in FP1
[23:27.200 -> 23:29.200] And they're just gonna let Checo
[23:29.200 -> 23:34.560] run the show it also protects too because you're not really fighting against the Ferraris or
[23:35.120 -> 23:40.480] Or anyone else? It's just him versus Max. So that that would be my early FP pick
[23:40.640 -> 23:43.440] Hopefully we continue the streak with free money Friday
[23:44.000 -> 23:46.240] um, but the second one
[23:46.240 -> 23:52.880] that I wanted to quickly point out was the third and fourth spot grid winning position
[23:52.880 -> 24:00.080] at plus 400 threw a little bit on that. Just assumption is, is if Ferrari does go one,
[24:00.080 -> 24:07.200] two, and then you have Red Bull three, four. I mean, they're in a better position to pass the Ferraris on that long
[24:07.200 -> 24:09.240] straight once, once the race starts.
[24:09.320 -> 24:13.140] So, um, typically the third spot is a good spot to be in.
[24:13.160 -> 24:14.880] You're on the cleaner side of the track.
[24:14.880 -> 24:17.400] You have the slip stream to go into turn one.
[24:18.180 -> 24:20.880] And that's something else to pay attention to this weekend is that long
[24:20.880 -> 24:24.720] straight at, as soon as the start goes, a lot of the positioning will
[24:24.720 -> 24:27.000] happen right at the beginning.
[24:27.000 -> 24:32.560] So all right, we'll quickly just do another roundtable to see what bets everyone has or
[24:32.560 -> 24:38.000] something they like lean for either practice qualifying.
[24:38.000 -> 24:41.200] So we'll let's go back to integrity.
[24:41.200 -> 24:44.840] You have any other bets or is this a FB?
[24:44.840 -> 24:46.080] I don't have I don't have a new one. I'm going to take that to two because I just got a notification that, uh, Vettel's going to be wearing a Red Bull helmet all weekend.
[24:46.840 -> 24:49.480] And there's absolutely no tegrity and wearing another team's helmet
[24:49.800 -> 24:50.800] while you're driving another car.
[24:51.920 -> 24:54.280] So for that reason, and that reason only I'm taking it to.
[24:55.680 -> 24:56.560] You can't do that.
[24:56.600 -> 24:57.200] You can't do that.
[24:57.200 -> 24:57.600] Vettel.
[24:57.600 -> 24:58.240] Bad juju.
[24:58.240 -> 24:58.520] Yeah.
[24:58.520 -> 24:59.640] I'm going to take that to two.
[24:59.640 -> 25:00.560] I'm going to take that to two.
[25:00.560 -> 25:01.560] I'm going to take that to two.
[25:01.560 -> 25:02.520] I'm going to take that to two.
[25:02.520 -> 25:03.480] I'm going to take that to two.
[25:03.480 -> 25:04.440] I'm going to take that to two.
[25:04.440 -> 25:05.760] I'm going to take that to two. I'm going to take that to two. I'm going to take that to two. I'm that reason and that reason only, I'm taking it to.
[25:07.000 -> 25:08.000] You can't do that.
[25:08.000 -> 25:09.000] You can't do that, Bill.
[25:09.000 -> 25:09.920] Bad juju.
[25:09.920 -> 25:11.840] No, it's very bad.
[25:11.840 -> 25:13.680] Is he really wearing a Red Bull helmet?
[25:13.680 -> 25:15.800] Yeah, I'm looking at it right now.
[25:15.880 -> 25:19.040] What? Oh, is it for
[25:19.040 -> 25:20.000] for the passing?
[25:20.000 -> 25:21.680] Is that probably that's probably why?
[25:21.680 -> 25:23.280] I guess that's probably why.
[25:23.280 -> 25:24.680] Maybe there is.
[25:24.680 -> 25:28.680] No. All right. So that's that's it. That's the one free money Friday.
[25:28.720 -> 25:33.400] That's the one. All right. I like it. I like it. Lights. What do you have?
[25:35.360 -> 25:38.880] I'm just looking at some prospect line, uh, pit stop overs.
[25:39.000 -> 25:43.040] I'm going with Hamilton and Ocon there. And if you need a third one,
[25:43.160 -> 25:46.760] I like the Latifi one as well. Just looking at the numbers,
[25:46.760 -> 25:49.880] those overs are all sitting around 70 to 80% on the year.
[25:49.880 -> 25:53.140] So yeah, high value plays.
[25:53.140 -> 25:54.340] Nice. All right.
[25:54.340 -> 25:58.200] Jinx, do you have another play?
[25:58.200 -> 26:00.720] Yeah, you have something else you're eyeing?
[26:00.720 -> 26:03.560] Oh yeah, I mean, we mentioned Hamilton.
[26:03.560 -> 26:10.620] I mean, he's just The last couple weeks and I don't know Singapore was only Russell's second time
[26:10.620 -> 26:15.940] Maybe it was his third time in Singapore, but he just struggled to Japan and he struggled last week at Kota
[26:17.160 -> 26:22.320] Minus 200 just seems a little bit too cheap on this is a track Hamilton's one app. I
[26:23.880 -> 26:27.920] Mean don't really know how Russell's gonna do, you know first time being in a
[26:28.600 -> 26:33.200] Mercedes here, but just seems like Hamilton's really, you know in zone now
[26:33.760 -> 26:35.760] They brought out hammer time last week
[26:36.400 -> 26:38.400] You know had a good shot winning
[26:38.560 -> 26:49.880] That or I mean or maybe will Claire. I mean, I don't, unless Charles has taken another grid penalty, um, which would be wild, but, um, I mean, we're looking at a guy in
[26:49.880 -> 26:53.920] science who, I mean, forget finishing the race.
[26:53.920 -> 26:55.360] He hasn't even finished the first lap.
[26:56.080 -> 26:59.340] And they're only putting them, you know, two 25, they're putting signs
[26:59.340 -> 27:01.160] that are with Clara at two 25.
[27:01.160 -> 27:02.200] It's just a crazy line.
[27:02.200 -> 27:07.760] Cause usually after qualifying, it's a minus 400 minus 500 lines.
[27:07.760 -> 27:12.000] So it's a lot of juice, but you know, if you, you know, do football, college
[27:12.000 -> 27:15.680] football, NFL, something to throw on the part light ticket, that's just, it's
[27:15.680 -> 27:19.840] going to be a lot of value laws that, I mean, there's at right now, I mean,
[27:20.280 -> 27:22.520] signs is the worst driver in the paddock right now.
[27:22.520 -> 27:29.960] I mean, it's, I don't know how you managed to not finish the first lap at Japan and then sit in the pole and not finish the
[27:29.960 -> 27:31.480] first
[27:31.480 -> 27:39.560] I'll give him benefited a doubt on the Japan one those that was just having intermediate tires and that was just ridiculous
[27:39.960 -> 27:41.400] like he just
[27:41.400 -> 27:48.600] The car just lost it because there was just so much rain, But yeah, but this is he's been first out in at least four races.
[27:48.600 -> 27:50.400] Yeah, I mean, Australia.
[27:50.400 -> 27:51.800] Yeah, and it happened at Emula.
[27:51.800 -> 27:55.600] So, I mean, yeah, just juries out.
[27:55.600 -> 28:02.600] I mean, maybe like I mentioned it last week about Haas, you know,
[28:02.600 -> 28:05.920] I brought up Austria and how Mick finished top six.
[28:05.920 -> 28:07.980] And last week, Magnuson did end up finishing.
[28:08.240 -> 28:11.680] We finished ninth, but they bumped them up to eighth because they gave
[28:11.680 -> 28:14.520] Alonzo the, uh, huge time penalty.
[28:14.520 -> 28:19.080] But I mean, Haas looked like hot garbage there, you know, during the week, um,
[28:19.160 -> 28:23.600] Magnuson fell back to 18th on the start and then, you know, just out of nowhere,
[28:23.640 -> 28:24.640] they won, stopped it.
[28:24.680 -> 28:29.980] So, uh, maybe Haas, you know, whichever one you choose, you know, they seem to do
[28:29.980 -> 28:34.160] a routine, Mick and Magnuson about which one's going to have a terrible start
[28:34.160 -> 28:37.360] moves 10 spots, but you know, somehow they persevere Haas.
[28:37.360 -> 28:41.680] So, you know, I mean, one of those guys getting a points finish, it makes no
[28:41.680 -> 28:44.200] sense, but that's about how the year goes for Haas.
[28:44.240 -> 28:47.520] Just do the opposite of what's expected of them and you'll profit
[28:48.180 -> 28:52.480] Well, I think it's I think this is gonna be Joe's weekend
[28:53.260 -> 28:55.260] It's something we should be targeting
[28:55.500 -> 29:01.620] Possibly me also as motivation to try and score good. They need to at least
[29:02.180 -> 29:04.960] plus 200 top 10 finish for Joe I
[29:01.800 -> 29:02.480] a good, they need to at least
[29:04.880 -> 29:06.240] plus 200 top 10 finish for Joe.
[29:06.960 -> 29:07.080] I don't know.
[29:08.520 -> 29:09.240] That sounds pretty tasty.
[29:14.400 -> 29:14.880] I mean, you have Botox at plus one 35 top 10 and he's DNFing every raise.
[29:15.920 -> 29:17.320] Why can't Joe do it?
[29:21.360 -> 29:22.840] How are we feeling on the, uh, over 10 seconds winning margin?
[29:24.080 -> 29:24.120] That is a great question.
[29:24.920 -> 29:25.120] I don't know.
[29:25.120 -> 29:26.960] Does anyone have anything on that one?
[29:26.960 -> 29:28.960] I did not look into that one.
[29:28.960 -> 29:32.120] I feel like that always gets ruined somehow.
[29:32.120 -> 29:37.520] Like it should win every race with the snapping, but like last race, it was a pit stop.
[29:37.520 -> 29:39.960] I remember in Zambor, there was a late safety.
[29:39.960 -> 29:44.440] If you think now that's going to happen, then it should win.
[29:44.440 -> 29:45.640] But it's just all the other factors. If you think now that's going to happen, then it should win.
[29:45.640 -> 29:50.460] But it's just all the other factors like you got it in spa in Japan.
[29:50.460 -> 29:51.460] That's pretty much it.
[29:51.460 -> 29:56.460] That are the recent ones anyways.
[29:56.460 -> 30:00.860] I forgot to mention I actually have the free Fp1 winning margin.
[30:00.860 -> 30:06.720] This is for you, Tegrity, between point.1 and 25, 0.25 at plus 200.
[30:06.920 -> 30:07.800] Get in there with me.
[30:07.880 -> 30:08.280] Come on.
[30:08.280 -> 30:08.560] All right.
[30:08.560 -> 30:09.040] Okay.
[30:10.280 -> 30:10.480] Yeah.
[30:10.480 -> 30:13.560] I was going to say, I think, I think the over is a little too much, but definitely
[30:13.560 -> 30:15.200] is a 0.1 for sure.
[30:15.680 -> 30:16.080] Yeah.
[30:18.120 -> 30:19.840] You know, just, just a little sprinkle.
[30:19.840 -> 30:21.080] We're just having a little fun.
[30:21.440 -> 30:21.920] Yeah, I'm in.
[30:22.320 -> 30:22.680] Yeah.
[30:23.520 -> 30:26.480] Renegade, wait, what, what's your, what's the other pick here?
[30:26.480 -> 30:31.760] You're targeting or eyeing this weekend or if you have one, it's a bit of a boring pink,
[30:31.760 -> 30:39.120] but I think stacking win is way too high. Uh, and the only reason it is that high is because
[30:40.720 -> 30:46.280] Paris is like four and a half to one to win the race, which is crazy.
[30:46.280 -> 30:49.400] Yeah, it should be.
[30:49.400 -> 30:51.480] He's not winning at one in every four and a half.
[30:51.480 -> 30:57.400] It's probably like one out of every 15 races, something like that.
[30:57.400 -> 31:06.720] And if you, so just lean against Perez, if you think Hamilton or signs is get a podium, they're also going to be inflated and I'd
[31:06.720 -> 31:11.720] back one of them if you were favoring one of them as well.
[31:11.720 -> 31:14.000] What odds do you have on Max to lend anyways?
[31:14.000 -> 31:15.000] 1.67.
[31:15.000 -> 31:16.000] Okay.
[31:16.000 -> 31:17.000] Yeah.
[31:17.000 -> 31:22.360] So it just needs to win 60% of the time.
[31:22.360 -> 31:24.880] So it's a little juice just, but you're right.
[31:24.880 -> 31:28.120] I mean, it should be, what did we have last week was minus
[31:28.120 -> 31:29.120] two 50 for him.
[31:29.520 -> 31:30.020] Yeah.
[31:30.440 -> 31:32.640] I mean, is it max chasing the record this weekend too?
[31:33.000 -> 31:34.320] Yeah, I think so.
[31:34.560 -> 31:36.400] Or one of the three weekends for sure.
[31:36.680 -> 31:37.180] Right.
[31:37.400 -> 31:40.160] So he's going to want to win one of these three.
[31:41.920 -> 31:47.240] And yeah, like Sergio Perez, damn took the outright is that plus four 50 now.
[31:47.240 -> 31:48.240] Geez.
[31:48.240 -> 31:54.240] I remember he was them on, uh, after he won Monaco and I think he qualified ahead of the
[31:54.240 -> 31:58.200] staff and that has a bike at Baku and then he was like nowhere in the way.
[31:58.200 -> 32:04.560] So I'd avoid Paris to win, especially.
[32:04.560 -> 32:06.560] Yeah. Paris to win, especially. Yeah, there's some man.
[32:08.160 -> 32:10.560] They're just they just keep shafting me.
[32:10.560 -> 32:11.600] They won't post.
[32:11.600 -> 32:15.040] They won't post FP one top three odds anymore for me.
[32:15.680 -> 32:17.520] They just keep taking down shit.
[32:17.520 -> 32:18.720] I need to find new books.
[32:19.280 -> 32:20.240] It just needs to happen.
[32:20.960 -> 32:22.160] I think they're just dropping them.
[32:22.160 -> 32:24.080] They drop them so close to start time now.
[32:24.640 -> 32:25.840] It's so weird.
[32:28.000 -> 32:33.040] The other one that we were talking about in the discord was the number of classified drivers,
[32:33.040 -> 32:39.280] which by the way, last week we didn't sweat at all. Not one bit community bet. What is it?
[32:39.280 -> 32:45.560] Do we say it's 12 and two or 11 and two? Let's just say 12 and two. That's pretty awesome.
[32:46.280 -> 32:49.320] Again, we hit it the over 16 and a half.
[32:50.680 -> 32:54.800] Thank God Alonzo, you're the King because if he DNF, then that would
[32:54.800 -> 32:56.080] have been it, I would have been over.
[32:57.040 -> 33:02.560] So this week, the over classified drivers, they're, they're assuming
[33:02.560 -> 33:06.200] there should be right about 17, just seeing how the odds are.
[33:06.200 -> 33:12.200] So over 16.5 is that minus 200, and then over 17.5 is plus 120.
[33:12.200 -> 33:20.600] I think one of the guys in the Discord posted about being plus EV if you were to take the over 16.5 and over 17.5,
[33:20.600 -> 33:26.240] which I'm very tempted to do because that's where I would like to target. That's
[33:26.240 -> 33:32.560] probably a sweet spot. I think it's boom or bust. Likely won't see that many DNFs, if at all,
[33:32.560 -> 33:37.680] maybe one or two like they had last year, or you're just going to see a bunch of cars DNF.
[33:40.800 -> 33:49.040] All right. Well, let's go ahead and start wrapping up here. Any last thoughts, any last bets, anything you want to tell the viewers or the listeners,
[33:49.040 -> 33:50.040] I should say.
[33:50.040 -> 33:51.040] I think I'm good.
[33:51.040 -> 33:52.040] It's one discord.
[33:52.040 -> 33:53.040] All right.
[33:53.040 -> 33:54.040] I don't know.
[33:54.040 -> 33:57.440] Picks flying in left and right all day tomorrow.
[33:57.440 -> 34:00.880] Yeah, we definitely and we do other sports, too.
[34:00.880 -> 34:08.320] And there we got some some niche sports betting happening. We got NHL NBA, some NFL,
[34:08.320 -> 34:12.040] some horse racing. I don't know what else NASCAR.
[34:12.120 -> 34:15.080] I think there's one more weekend of NASCAR, right? Jinx.
[34:18.000 -> 34:20.640] And which one in tennis, we got tennis and darts.
[34:21.040 -> 34:22.360] I think we got some darts flying. Yeah.
[34:23.720 -> 34:26.080] We got the, we got some of the best in there.
[34:26.080 -> 34:30.240] We're learning a lot about each other and how they bet. So it's, it's pretty, pretty wild.
[34:30.240 -> 34:36.480] Keep you guys busy if you're not into, or if we're done with F1. So what's happening in NASCAR.
[34:37.280 -> 34:43.040] I think there's one more race left, right? Jinx jinx. What's what's the update there?
[34:43.680 -> 34:45.260] Yeah. We got Martinsville this week
[34:45.440 -> 34:51.400] This is the final round to uh, make the final four and then Phoenix is a championship race
[34:52.760 -> 34:55.800] And then that's over for the year. Okay
[34:56.600 -> 34:57.920] Okay
[34:57.920 -> 35:04.860] Who's who's gonna win it? Do you know who's gonna win the thing? It's chaos. I mean you guys know I'm a little fan
[35:05.020 -> 35:06.280] He's he's been dominant win the thing. It's chaos. I mean, you guys know, I'm a little God, old fan.
[35:09.280 -> 35:09.980] Um, he's, he's been dominant at the short tracks this year.
[35:11.140 -> 35:11.200] Um, we'll see.
[35:13.280 -> 35:13.440] I mean, it's always tough.
[35:17.440 -> 35:19.880] Um, you know, it always usually comes down to a late race restart with the way they have the championship now.
[35:19.880 -> 35:22.500] I mean, whoever basically wins the race, wins the championship.
[35:22.500 -> 35:25.280] It's out of the four guys, whoever finishes best.
[35:25.280 -> 35:31.120] And I believe out of the four or five years of the top four guys, I think it's
[35:31.120 -> 35:34.160] only happened once where the champion hasn't won the race.
[35:34.160 -> 35:37.480] So that's a pretty good, pretty good strategy.
[35:37.520 -> 35:40.320] We might bring that up next week in the podcast.
[35:40.840 -> 35:41.280] Nice.
[35:41.360 -> 35:41.880] All right.
[35:42.600 -> 35:43.000] Shout out.
[35:43.920 -> 35:47.240] Yeah, definitely. All right, guys. Well, it was
[35:47.240 -> 35:54.160] fun. It was real. We'll see you tomorrow. I think it's at 1 p.m. Central, 2 p.m. Eastern,
[35:54.160 -> 36:01.160] I think. Was that when FP1 starts? Yeah, I think it's 1 and 3. All right. That's awesome.
[36:01.160 -> 36:05.620] Well, we'll see you guys tomorrow. And again, join our Discord, the link's below,
[36:05.620 -> 36:08.880] as well as if you have interest in Underdog Fantasy,
[36:08.880 -> 36:11.020] the promo code is also in the links.
[36:11.020 -> 36:13.200] So we'll see you guys this weekend.
[36:13.200 -> 36:14.040] See ya.
[36:14.040 -> 36:14.880] See ya.