F1 Money Gang Japanese GP Ep.6

Early bets for Japanese GP and Good Bookie/Bad Bookie Segment. Underdog Fantasy Promo Code F1MONEYGANG and Free Discord: http://discord.gg/nT4wb3ayHU

1. **Race Recap:**
- Checo won the race, followed by Leclerc.
- Hamilton faced challenges, while Max Verstappen had his struggles.
- Aston Martin showed strength on the track.

2. **Upcoming Japanese Grand Prix:**
- Race will take place at Suzuka Circuit.
- It's a technical track with a mix of corners and straights.
- The C1, C2, C3 compounds will be used.
- Race starts at 1 AM Central Time for most people in the US.

3. **Roundtable Picks:**
- Dolcetto: Over 17.5 classified drivers to finish the race at Even Odds.
- Renegade: Max Verstappen fastest lap in the race at 2.2 Odds.
- Jinx: George Russell over Sergio Perez in FP1 at -115 Odds.
- Tegrity: Sebastian Vettel over KMAG in FP1 at -125 Odds.
- Lights Out: Red Bull fastest pit stop at -175 Odds, hedging with Aston Martin fastest pit stop at +2200 Odds.
- Host's Pick: Daniel Ricciardo over Esteban Ocon in FP1 at -105 Odds.

4. **Good Bookie, Bad Bookie Report:**
- Bovada/Bodog honored a mispriced line for Aston Martin to beat Alfa Romeo.
- MGM and Bet365 handled a winning margin issue differently.
- PointsBet briefly offered incorrect odds for Russell's finish position.
- Bovada added a Top 2 Finisher market for the race.

5. **Sprinkle Segment:**
- Yuki Tsunoda to not finish or retire first at +1200 Odds.
- Pierre Gasly to score double points at +1000 Odds.
- McLaren to have both drivers in the top six at +650 Odds.

In this podcast, the hosts discuss their early bets for the Japanese Grand Prix, analyze odds and prices, and provide insights into potential strategies for wagering. They highlight the potential for Magnusson and Vettel to make early pit stops due to their history of front wing damage and Aston Martin's tendency for early pit stops. The hosts also discuss the strong performance of Haas in wet conditions during FP1 sessions, suggesting that KMAG and MICK could be good picks for top-six finishes if it rains. Additionally, they mention Tom's FP1 pick of Russell top six at minus 155, and Jen Christian's FP1 winning margin pick of 0.25 seconds at plus 165.

The hosts also delve into underdog and prize picks, with Lights providing his anchors for the qualifying lines: Vettel and Stroll both under 3.0, and mixing and matching those picks with Gasly under Pitstop 2.95 seconds and K-mag over Pitstop 3.55 seconds. They discuss the potential for longer pit stops in wet conditions and encourage listeners to join their Discord server for more underdog lines and insights. The hosts conclude the podcast by reminding listeners to take advantage of the Underdog promo code and Discord, and mention the possibility of a live stream of FP1 on Twitch, where they will discuss odds, make fun of drivers, and enjoy a few adult beverages.

[00:00.000 -> 00:08.800] Welcome back, everyone, for episode 6 of the Japanese Grand Prix.
[00:08.800 -> 00:14.680] Back-to-back race locations F1 hasn't been to since 2019 for the newbies who have jumped
[00:14.680 -> 00:17.640] on board the F1 train since COVID.
[00:17.640 -> 00:21.460] Hopefully this will be another weekend just with a big treat.
[00:21.460 -> 00:25.480] I think we have a potential for a driver's championship crowning. Don't know.
[00:25.520 -> 00:29.560] We'll see this weekend, but before I get to our lovely panel to talk through it
[00:29.560 -> 00:33.400] all, our show is sponsored by underdog fantasy sports app.
[00:33.680 -> 00:36.760] If you're a regular listener, you already know the code by now, but
[00:36.760 -> 00:42.560] for any of you new listeners, the promo code is F1 money gang to get you a
[00:42.560 -> 00:46.480] hundred percent deposit match and tune into into our Discord. From time to time,
[00:46.480 -> 00:52.960] we will have some underdogs and bets that could be made. So yeah, the Discord and the underdog
[00:52.960 -> 00:57.520] links are available in the description or find our links in the Twitter handles as well.
[00:58.800 -> 01:06.520] So to kick things off, guess what? We got some rain. It's already forecasting that we might see some showers.
[01:06.520 -> 01:08.000] I think right now they're expecting
[01:08.000 -> 01:10.360] that Friday we should see.
[01:10.360 -> 01:12.360] I don't have a percentage yet, but it
[01:12.360 -> 01:14.560] is saying high chance of rain.
[01:14.560 -> 01:17.440] Temperatures are going to be about 20 to 22 degrees Celsius,
[01:17.440 -> 01:20.520] so about high 60s.
[01:20.520 -> 01:26.440] I think Saturday they're calling for likely dry, mostly sunny, you know, Sunday, don't know.
[01:26.480 -> 01:29.120] So right now there is expectation.
[01:29.120 -> 01:30.000] There will be rain.
[01:30.280 -> 01:31.160] We don't know.
[01:31.840 -> 01:37.420] I know that, um, the rain has been something that, uh, has caused us chaos,
[01:37.420 -> 01:38.680] but we might see it again.
[01:38.800 -> 01:39.520] We might not.
[01:39.560 -> 01:44.000] So just keep, uh, you'll just, we'll just keep you guys posted on that.
[01:44.960 -> 01:48.440] And as for this weekend's race, Suzuka Circuit,
[01:48.440 -> 01:51.920] first time since 2019, like I mentioned before.
[01:51.920 -> 01:55.480] This is a pretty technical track.
[01:55.480 -> 01:59.920] It's got everything in terms of what you would want in a circuit.
[01:59.920 -> 02:01.040] It's got hairpins.
[02:01.040 -> 02:03.960] It's got chicanes, long straights.
[02:03.960 -> 02:08.640] So you kind of want a pretty balanced car for this,
[02:08.640 -> 02:11.080] nothing too high downforce.
[02:11.080 -> 02:13.040] Although some argue you probably do need some.
[02:13.040 -> 02:16.160] We've got the C1, C2, C3 compounds.
[02:16.160 -> 02:19.160] So we get the hardest compounds at this track.
[02:19.160 -> 02:20.200] So yeah.
[02:20.200 -> 02:23.280] And also for a reminder for everyone,
[02:23.280 -> 02:26.480] the race in the United States, for most people,
[02:26.480 -> 02:30.400] central time, is going to be around that midnight
[02:30.400 -> 02:32.320] on Sunday morning.
[02:32.320 -> 02:36.680] So yeah, just to kind of recap from the last podcast,
[02:36.680 -> 02:40.120] last race, obviously, it was pretty crazy.
[02:40.120 -> 02:43.240] We had rain, delays.
[02:43.240 -> 02:46.920] I actually slept in for most of the first part of the race.
[02:46.920 -> 02:50.120] Didn't realize my alarm clock didn't wake me up.
[02:50.600 -> 02:52.920] But just very quickly, we did go ten.
[02:53.000 -> 02:55.640] We are ten and one on the community bet.
[02:56.080 -> 02:59.520] We actually had stroll for top ten or points.
[02:59.560 -> 03:02.800] I think it was plus one thirty five or four.
[03:02.800 -> 03:05.840] The Europeans out there, 2.38.
[03:05.840 -> 03:10.480] So yeah, I mean, it was a kind of a wild race.
[03:10.640 -> 03:12.920] Uh, Checo actually ended up winning the race.
[03:12.980 -> 03:17.160] He did beat LeClaire off the line and that was pretty much it from that point.
[03:17.160 -> 03:19.620] There was a lot of chaos in the back.
[03:19.640 -> 03:22.600] We did see Hamilton act like an amateur at points.
[03:23.120 -> 03:26.480] Uh, Max also had his struggles at times as well.
[03:27.520 -> 03:32.720] Aston Martin showed their their strength in this track this weekend. So yeah, it was a pretty good
[03:32.720 -> 03:38.400] one. But before we get into everything, we're going to get into the roundtable of our picks.
[03:38.400 -> 03:44.000] We do have a segment that we got called the good book, the good bookie bad bookie report.
[03:44.560 -> 03:46.600] So yeah, look for that here in a little bit.
[03:46.600 -> 03:49.800] So yeah, to kick things off, we'll just start doing our roundtable
[03:49.800 -> 03:53.200] and see what picks we got going into the weekend.
[03:53.200 -> 03:57.600] And let's go ahead and start off with Dolcetto.
[03:57.600 -> 04:00.800] Since he wasn't here, I think, the past two podcasts,
[04:00.800 -> 04:02.600] I'm going to put him on the spot.
[04:02.600 -> 04:04.200] What do you got?
[04:04.200 -> 04:12.880] Hey, guys. Glad to be back. Well, I can't wait to watch the race at semi-normal time
[04:12.880 -> 04:18.080] instead of having to be up at 7 a.m. every weekend to watch a race. So 1 a.m. is better
[04:18.080 -> 04:24.000] than 7 a.m. in my eyes, but that's all right. So what I got here for this week is, you know,
[04:24.000 -> 04:27.240] there's not much out on Wednesday afternoon,
[04:27.240 -> 04:30.000] but there is quite a bit of good bets out there.
[04:30.000 -> 04:34.240] So I like, one that I like is over 17 and a half
[04:35.360 -> 04:38.600] classified drivers to finish the race at Evennads,
[04:38.600 -> 04:39.680] almost across the board.
[04:39.680 -> 04:43.160] You could find it, maybe you could find it at $1.90,
[04:43.160 -> 04:46.360] but most books have it at even odds and I
[04:46.360 -> 04:50.920] looked at the last like of course the last races in 2019 different cars now
[04:50.920 -> 04:56.320] you know with the rain who knows if it's gonna be raining or not but I'm just
[04:56.320 -> 05:01.320] looking at the trends and this track and at the past five six races I didn't want
[05:01.320 -> 05:06.280] to go too far back so I went all the way back to 2014 kind
[05:06.280 -> 05:13.600] of like a eight nine year span and so in in all those five six races only once
[05:13.600 -> 05:21.080] that number went over 17 I mean it went under 17 and a half finishers and that
[05:21.080 -> 05:30.000] was in 2017 when there was a lap one accident with Carlos Sainz in the Toro Rosso days when he was still with Toro Rosso.
[05:30.000 -> 05:36.000] There was a big debacle there. It was three cars did not finish the race in the first lap.
[05:36.000 -> 05:45.760] But in 2019, there was only one retirement. Max got in the collision. 2018, there was only two retirements.
[05:46.920 -> 05:50.400] Kevin Magnussen and Nico Hulkenberg had engine issues
[05:50.400 -> 05:52.080] eight laps before the end of the race.
[05:52.080 -> 05:55.260] So it almost hit that classified number.
[05:56.200 -> 05:58.620] 2016, everyone finished the race.
[05:58.620 -> 06:01.760] And then at that time we had 22 drivers.
[06:01.760 -> 06:04.720] 2015, again, everyone finished the race.
[06:04.720 -> 06:07.200] Again, 22 drivers on the grid.
[06:07.200 -> 06:10.400] 2014, there was only one retirement.
[06:10.400 -> 06:12.880] Again, we had 22 drivers on the grid.
[06:12.880 -> 06:16.360] So all these numbers are back in the over 17 and 1 1.
[06:16.360 -> 06:19.080] I feel like this is a very open track.
[06:19.080 -> 06:20.960] It's a fast track.
[06:20.960 -> 06:25.000] I really like that over 17 and a half had even money.
[06:25.940 -> 06:28.440] And I have the one bet that I didn't do
[06:28.440 -> 06:31.500] the last couple of weeks and I'm kind of mad at myself,
[06:31.500 -> 06:35.960] but all zero retirements in lap one at minus 150
[06:35.960 -> 06:39.700] at betonline.ag if you have access to it.
[06:39.700 -> 06:42.100] I'm not sure what the number is across other books,
[06:42.100 -> 06:44.780] but that was the best one I could find.
[06:44.780 -> 06:48.400] And in the last five years, in the last five races,
[06:48.400 -> 06:51.200] I should say, there has been only one retirement
[06:51.200 -> 06:52.200] and left one.
[06:52.200 -> 06:56.440] And that was the big accident with Carlos Sainz back in 2017.
[06:56.440 -> 06:58.360] I did re-watch the race highlights
[06:58.360 -> 07:00.560] of the last race in 2019.
[07:00.560 -> 07:01.720] I looked at every corner.
[07:01.720 -> 07:05.000] I looked at kind of like a lap overview.
[07:05.000 -> 07:10.000] And just, you know, and it is a very wide track at some corners.
[07:10.000 -> 07:16.000] And I feel like even if there's a little bump and somebody gets out of the track,
[07:16.000 -> 07:19.000] there's always a chance for you to come back, unless, of course, you hit the wall.
[07:19.000 -> 07:28.720] But it is a very wide track and it is a fast track. I was thinking about you on that one because that did pop up in my mind when I was rewatching the race because I figured that would be one that you would pick. And I do agree. Like
[07:28.720 -> 07:33.760] the track does flow. Well, uh, one comment I'll make before we get to the next person
[07:33.760 -> 07:39.040] is, is this track is, is it a good track? I mean, I think it's a good track. I mean,
[07:39.040 -> 07:43.600] it's a good track. I mean, it's a good track. It's a good track. It's a good track. It's
[07:43.600 -> 07:48.560] a good track. It's a good track. It's a good track. It's I do agree. Like the track does flow. Well, uh, one comment I'll make before we get to the next person is, is this
[07:48.560 -> 07:54.360] track is, is a track that the drivers actually don't mind to drive.
[07:54.360 -> 07:58.380] I guess you could say it's a, it's one of those tracks that it gives a blend
[07:58.380 -> 08:02.120] of everything that all the drivers can acclimate pretty fast to it.
[08:02.480 -> 08:05.120] What's going to be the challenge for everyone is, you know,
[08:05.120 -> 08:07.440] the elements plus their cars, right?
[08:07.440 -> 08:10.760] We haven't seen this car on this track, so no one knows,
[08:10.760 -> 08:12.200] but once they get acclimated,
[08:12.200 -> 08:14.440] it'll become a little bit more free flow.
[08:14.440 -> 08:15.920] And you're right, it is wider.
[08:15.920 -> 08:18.760] It's just a, it's a beautiful track in my opinion.
[08:18.760 -> 08:19.600] So.
[08:19.600 -> 08:20.960] Yeah.
[08:20.960 -> 08:23.120] All the corners are kind of fast corners.
[08:23.120 -> 08:24.400] So I love it.
[08:24.400 -> 08:25.120] I love it. I love it.
[08:25.120 -> 08:27.080] Yeah, it's one of my favorites.
[08:27.080 -> 08:35.760] You only have the pretty much you have the hairpin and right before the last turn is
[08:35.760 -> 08:39.720] where you're going to have the big slowdowns in the turns.
[08:39.720 -> 08:40.720] All the rest.
[08:40.720 -> 08:43.280] Yeah, it just it just flows so well.
[08:43.280 -> 08:45.000] And I just absolutely love it.
[08:45.000 -> 08:51.000] Yeah, cool. All right. Well, let's get to Renegade.
[08:51.000 -> 08:53.000] How are you doing, buddy?
[08:53.000 -> 08:56.000] I'm good, thanks. After last week.
[08:56.000 -> 09:08.960] A bit disappointing about the cloud, but on to the next thing. So the one pick I've got for the podcast is Max Verstappen fastest lap in the
[09:08.960 -> 09:20.640] race. There's one bookie at 2.4 at Coral but most are around 2.2. So for Red Bull and Verstappen
[09:20.640 -> 09:27.120] to win the world title they need to get win the race and fastest lap if he clears
[09:27.120 -> 09:33.200] in second. But most likely they'll go for the fastest lap anyway, because if he's in third and
[09:33.200 -> 09:38.880] second DNS, they're gonna look a bit silly if they don't go for it. But I think they've priced
[09:38.880 -> 09:45.120] it up as if it's any other race. And it's just a normal chance for the four of us to happen to get fastest lap.
[09:45.760 -> 09:51.360] But Red Bull are going to be planning to try and get fastest lap no matter what, especially as they
[09:51.360 -> 09:57.200] want to win in Japan with Honda and everything. So I think it's definitely odds on that he gets
[09:57.200 -> 10:11.000] the fastest lap and they're going to just be preparing all they can to get that at the end of the race, just to build up their ERS and then just let the energy go on one lap and get the fastest.
[10:12.840 -> 10:13.060] Yeah.
[10:13.060 -> 10:14.520] And what price did you say that was?
[10:15.080 -> 10:16.740] So you can get it 2.4.
[10:17.440 -> 10:18.120] Okay.
[10:18.880 -> 10:19.940] 2.4.
[10:20.000 -> 10:23.400] Uh, would you take it at even money?
[10:24.360 -> 10:24.720] I would.
[10:25.000 -> 10:30.000] Okay. Yeah, that's what I'm just eyeing right now.
[10:30.000 -> 10:33.000] So for y'all that use Bovada, it's even money on there.
[10:33.000 -> 10:43.000] Or was it about plus 135, maybe somewhere else on MGM, wherever else you can find it, or plus 140.
[10:43.000 -> 10:45.460] So I like it. It's a good pick.
[10:45.460 -> 10:46.000] It's sharp.
[10:46.020 -> 10:53.700] It's basically saying max is going to do whatever it takes to maximize his
[10:53.700 -> 10:55.740] points to get that championship.
[10:56.080 -> 11:00.280] Which in this case, if, if he's in second, third, it won't matter.
[11:00.280 -> 11:02.260] He's going to still try to push for that extra point.
[11:02.700 -> 11:03.780] So I love it.
[11:05.880 -> 11:06.480] All right.
[11:06.920 -> 11:11.160] Jinx, my man, you and I were talking right before this.
[11:11.560 -> 11:12.880] I know you got a lovely pick.
[11:14.480 -> 11:14.880] Yeah.
[11:14.920 -> 11:16.360] I've got a lot of work to do.
[11:16.440 -> 11:21.440] Um, roughly last week, um, you know, when swept the race, uh, went
[11:21.480 -> 11:28.920] windlass, um, had the six to one boost, bought us over Zell, cashed Gazi over Sonota,
[11:28.920 -> 11:31.320] Magnuson on a street, never disappoints,
[11:31.320 -> 11:33.560] had a black and orange flag on lap seven.
[11:33.560 -> 11:35.560] So that took him out basically.
[11:35.560 -> 11:37.800] Mick pulled a Mick and got damage on there,
[11:37.800 -> 11:41.300] but Sepp got caught out on a pit stop.
[11:41.300 -> 11:43.400] So that lost us a six to one,
[11:43.400 -> 11:49.280] and it also lost us Seppb over strolling the race, uh, had a one zone over
[11:49.680 -> 11:54.400] Russ or Alonzo over Norris and he DNF and then also I'd Chuck to win.
[11:55.040 -> 11:56.240] And we all know what happened there.
[11:56.240 -> 11:57.700] So pretty rough weekend.
[11:58.320 -> 12:06.080] Um, also had Albon over Mick and qualifying and the breaks were just terrible on the Williams all
[12:06.080 -> 12:10.820] week. So just couldn't win last week. But, um, you know, looking, uh, looking
[12:10.820 -> 12:15.260] at a track that Mercedes has done well out. Um, George Russell has been great
[12:15.260 -> 12:22.080] on the free practice once he's matched 1 15 vs Sergio Perez, who over the
[12:22.080 -> 12:25.440] last, you know, 3 to five FP ones has been
[12:25.480 -> 12:27.140] about three spots back of Russell.
[12:27.140 -> 12:31.080] So we'll play a unit on Russell over Perez at one 15 and free practice.
[12:32.480 -> 12:34.420] I absolutely love it.
[12:34.420 -> 12:40.980] And as we were talking before the podcast, you mentioned you were on it and it was
[12:40.980 -> 12:46.000] just so easy for me because I was like, Oh, well, you know, the trend is there.
[12:46.000 -> 12:52.640] I mean, outside of Singapore, I mean, Perez was getting ousted by Russell, what the past
[12:52.640 -> 12:58.160] five races in FP one, and basically all those street circuses where Perez was going over
[12:58.160 -> 12:59.680] Russell.
[12:59.680 -> 13:01.840] And then you said, yep, that's my pick.
[13:01.840 -> 13:03.360] I didn't, I just stopped.
[13:03.360 -> 13:05.780] I just stopped and I made stopped and I made my pick.
[13:05.780 -> 13:09.680] So that was, thank you for the reassurance there, buddy.
[13:09.680 -> 13:10.520] That was perfect.
[13:10.520 -> 13:13.240] No, I love it.
[13:13.240 -> 13:16.000] So I guess we were down to our last,
[13:16.000 -> 13:17.360] oh wait, no, we got Tegrity too.
[13:17.360 -> 13:18.200] That's right.
[13:18.200 -> 13:19.160] We got Tegrity and Light still.
[13:19.160 -> 13:20.580] So let's go Tegrity.
[13:21.740 -> 13:23.120] What's up, what's up, man?
[13:23.120 -> 13:24.160] How are you, man?
[13:24.160 -> 13:25.040] Good. All right. Of course, well, man? How are you, man? Good.
[13:25.040 -> 13:25.880] All right.
[13:25.880 -> 13:28.360] Of course, we know where we're going,
[13:28.360 -> 13:30.520] free money Friday, of course.
[13:30.520 -> 13:32.760] Fortunately, last week didn't go our way,
[13:32.760 -> 13:35.120] but that's why we got the Discord.
[13:35.120 -> 13:38.360] We got sharp, missed one pick, you'll find some winners.
[13:39.480 -> 13:43.440] But this week, we're gonna go Sebastian Vettel over KMAG.
[13:43.440 -> 13:45.280] That's FP1 again.
[13:48.720 -> 13:49.740] That's right now it's priced at minus 125 and that's located on Bovada.
[13:54.120 -> 13:55.240] I'm going to do one unit with a dash integrity and take it at the 1.5.
[13:57.700 -> 13:57.880] I'm strictly going with trends on this one.
[14:03.200 -> 14:03.880] The last five subs got him four to one on head to heads for FP1.
[14:05.080 -> 14:09.900] And just in the last two races in general, he's six and three in sessions overall, plus he's had some
[14:10.280 -> 14:11.620] fairly good success here.
[14:11.620 -> 14:12.600] I think he had the podium.
[14:12.600 -> 14:14.800] I want to say he had a podium last time.
[14:15.320 -> 14:17.440] I want to say one in 2018, maybe I'm not sure.
[14:18.400 -> 14:20.160] Uh, but yeah, I feel good about that one.
[14:21.320 -> 14:25.000] Just trans wise, FB1 plus maybe some rain,
[14:25.000 -> 14:26.360] usually the best way to go.
[14:26.360 -> 14:29.160] And all signs are pulling to a winner.
[14:29.160 -> 14:30.080] I love it.
[14:30.080 -> 14:34.880] I mean, you've been pulling out these, these FP1 winners.
[14:34.880 -> 14:36.340] We got free money Friday.
[14:36.340 -> 14:39.760] Well, technically for me and most people
[14:39.760 -> 14:40.760] in the United States,
[14:40.760 -> 14:43.500] it will be free money Thursday this weekend
[14:43.500 -> 14:46.400] because FP1 is going to be at
[14:46.400 -> 14:52.840] what 11 Eastern, 10 Central tomorrow. So everyone remember that. It's not going to be an early
[14:52.840 -> 14:57.240] morning if you're in the United States. It's actually going to be a late one. So free money
[14:57.240 -> 15:06.000] Thursday going into Friday, I guess is what we'll call it. Yeah, I love it. And then we got lights out.
[15:06.320 -> 15:11.160] We didn't get you last week, but here you are the King, the legend, what you got.
[15:12.000 -> 15:12.720] Hey, what's up guys.
[15:12.720 -> 15:14.460] What a tough act to follow after integrity.
[15:14.460 -> 15:15.840] That was smooth delivery.
[15:15.840 -> 15:17.040] It was, it was.
[15:17.560 -> 15:18.000] All right.
[15:18.000 -> 15:19.240] So a couple of shout outs.
[15:19.240 -> 15:23.120] I know I didn't make it on the show, um, last week, but I did make it on the fifth
[15:23.120 -> 15:23.960] wheel podcast.
[15:23.960 -> 15:28.040] Appreciate you guys for having me on one pick I gave there was a
[15:28.040 -> 15:29.580] Red Bull fastest pit stop.
[15:29.600 -> 15:34.800] They want it just barely 0.03 seconds because, uh, you know, Mercedes
[15:34.800 -> 15:38.540] gave Russell like 18 cracks at it, but they still couldn't knock off the Kings.
[15:38.980 -> 15:42.000] Um, so I gotta give a shout out to RJ Villa Gomez.
[15:42.000 -> 15:46.000] He first put me onto the Red Bull fastest pit and we share custody of it now.
[15:46.140 -> 15:49.640] And we've gone three for three, the last three races I'm going back there.
[15:49.720 -> 15:52.120] Um, but you gotta pay a lot of chalk for this.
[15:52.120 -> 15:55.140] So it's Red Bull versus the world and the pit stop lane book.
[15:55.140 -> 15:57.360] He's having priced at minus one 75.
[15:57.400 -> 16:00.520] So you gotta go, you gotta go up to one and a quarter unit, uh, just
[16:00.520 -> 16:02.120] to get close to one unit of profit.
[16:02.480 -> 16:09.760] And I'm hedging that with Aston Martin fastest pit at plus two, 2000, 20 to one, uh, for a quarter unit.
[16:09.960 -> 16:15.120] So Aston Martin had one crack each at this as did Red Bull.
[16:15.380 -> 16:19.320] And they posted the fourth and fifth fastest times in Singapore, Singapore
[16:19.380 -> 16:22.840] and Red Bull posted the first and sixth fastest times.
[16:23.280 -> 16:24.540] Uh, so they're neck and neck.
[16:25.400 -> 16:28.920] I personally think Aston Martin is, is the favorite to knock off Red Bull.
[16:28.920 -> 16:32.300] Eventually they're definitely the top three fastest pit stop teams right now,
[16:32.300 -> 16:36.320] but bookies haven't priced as the seventh fastest, so love the misprice there.
[16:36.360 -> 16:38.480] Obviously they aren't the favorite, so don't expect it to hit.
[16:38.480 -> 16:39.960] That's why we just sprinkle a little bit.
[16:40.300 -> 16:42.200] If it hits, it gives you five units.
[16:42.560 -> 16:48.760] Um, yeah, last, last three races, they've been within 0.1, second 0.28,
[16:48.760 -> 16:50.880] second and 0.5 seconds of Red Bull.
[16:50.880 -> 16:52.080] So they're knocking on the door.
[16:52.400 -> 16:55.080] You can take this at a few different books, but you got to make sure that
[16:55.080 -> 16:57.920] you read the rules because you want the scoring based on the stationary
[16:57.920 -> 17:01.760] pit stop and not the entire length of it, which a Red Bull usually almost always.
[17:02.640 -> 17:05.460] Uh, I posted this bet, I think, yesterday
[17:05.460 -> 17:09.040] with bet 365s plus 2000 number,
[17:09.040 -> 17:10.080] and it hasn't changed,
[17:10.080 -> 17:11.800] so their market maker doesn't believe me.
[17:11.800 -> 17:12.840] So it's me against him.
[17:12.840 -> 17:15.040] Tail me if you want for a quarter unit.
[17:15.040 -> 17:17.000] And between Red Bull and Aston Martin,
[17:17.000 -> 17:18.480] if one of them takes it, we're in profit.
[17:20.120 -> 17:20.840] I love it.
[17:20.840 -> 17:27.540] You guys are definitely the pit stop gurus, and I will not question it.
[17:27.540 -> 17:34.120] I probably played best pit stop once, and this might be the time I probably do it.
[17:34.120 -> 17:37.120] So be careful. I might lose because you know how that goes with me.
[17:37.120 -> 17:41.000] And trying a new bet for the first time, that has an awesome trend.
[17:41.000 -> 17:47.500] I'll not mention the one we talked about before in the past, but awesome.
[17:47.500 -> 17:51.500] I do have a pick myself, and it was kind of tough.
[17:51.500 -> 17:54.000] Guys, we have a lot of sharp people in the Discord.
[17:54.000 -> 17:57.500] Again, if you're not in it, you need to get in there.
[17:57.500 -> 18:04.000] We have, what, 10 now money game cappers in there, all pretty diverse.
[18:04.000 -> 18:09.440] You get a nice spectrum of different types of bets, varieties in all different ways.
[18:09.440 -> 18:15.360] So, yeah, I've struggled because everyone's kind of had the same thoughts
[18:15.360 -> 18:18.840] on what do I want to give out to our listeners.
[18:18.840 -> 18:20.840] And I think I'm going to give this one out.
[18:20.840 -> 18:24.600] The Ricardo over Ocon Free Practice winner.
[18:24.600 -> 18:25.400] Number one, it is priced at now plus, give this one out the Ricardo over Ocon free practice winner.
[18:31.640 -> 18:34.920] Number one, it is priced at now plus, or actually I'm sorry, minus 105 on Bavada. I think it is probably minus one 15 on MGM.
[18:35.120 -> 18:37.120] Probably still take that on MGM.
[18:37.560 -> 18:41.280] The trend obviously here is Ocon has just always had that
[18:41.280 -> 18:43.700] struggling moments in FP one and FP two.
[18:44.400 -> 18:46.720] Uh, even sometimes in FP3 and
[18:46.720 -> 18:48.680] qualifying we've seen in the past.
[18:48.680 -> 18:53.840] Ricardo, I know he's had his struggles, however, he is getting his new upgrade.
[18:53.840 -> 18:58.580] They most likely will turn up the modes for him this weekend.
[18:58.580 -> 19:04.680] I am very cautious about the rain, but I still think Ricardo has the advantage over Ocon.
[19:04.680 -> 19:05.700] First off, he knows his track.
[19:05.700 -> 19:07.200] He's done well here in the past.
[19:07.780 -> 19:10.780] Um, I think he wants to close out the season strong as well.
[19:11.140 -> 19:14.760] McLaren is, I mean, their pace is not at the same.
[19:15.400 -> 19:20.660] Same pace as Oak as Alpine, I should say, but I think that this could be the moment
[19:20.660 -> 19:22.580] you do take Ricardo over Ocon.
[19:22.580 -> 19:27.040] I think the odds there minus one Oh five is obviously getting a little bit of a discount.
[19:27.420 -> 19:32.520] So yeah, that's my, that's my pick for, um, going into tomorrow actually.
[19:32.900 -> 19:37.680] So before we get, we go back around and have a round table, I do
[19:37.680 -> 19:40.460] want to go back to lights out.
[19:41.120 -> 19:44.400] He does have a new segment he wants to introduce to everyone.
[19:44.420 -> 19:45.280] I think this will be
[19:45.280 -> 19:49.680] awesome for everyone to hear this. And if we have time, we'll definitely go and then try to get some
[19:49.680 -> 19:57.840] more picks. So we call this one, the good bookie, the bad bookie report. So I'll hand it off to you,
[19:57.840 -> 20:07.120] man. Yeah, I love it. Um, so let me, let me preface this by saying that we aren't affiliated with any sports books.
[20:07.120 -> 20:12.700] We're here to collaborate and work together to find misprices and inefficiencies and take
[20:12.700 -> 20:14.220] money from the books.
[20:14.220 -> 20:20.900] So we like to think we're at least a little bit more unbiased than, than any other coppers,
[20:20.900 -> 20:23.780] just cause we have absolutely no affiliation with any bookie.
[20:23.780 -> 20:29.000] So with that said, here's our good bookie, bad bookie report for last weekend.
[20:29.360 -> 20:33.920] First off the great bookie have to give a shout out and a tip of the hat
[20:33.920 -> 20:36.480] to bovada slash bow dog here in Canada.
[20:36.880 -> 20:40.240] Uh, they had a mispriced line of, I think it was plus two 75 for
[20:40.240 -> 20:42.480] alpha Tory to beat alpha Romeo.
[20:42.520 -> 20:44.000] No, not alpha Tory, sorry.
[20:44.040 -> 20:45.840] Aston Martin to beat alpha Romeo. And, um Alpha Tory, sorry. Aston Martin to beat Alpha Romeo.
[20:46.340 -> 20:49.180] And, um, they picked the wrong team just like I just did.
[20:49.180 -> 20:52.740] So it should have been them to be, um, Alpha Tory.
[20:52.740 -> 20:56.280] Cause both the Alpha Tories were starting in front of the Aston Martins and both
[20:56.280 -> 20:59.200] of the Aston Martins were starting in front of the Alpha Romeos.
[20:59.220 -> 21:02.780] So, um, it was, it was a bad line.
[21:02.860 -> 21:05.960] It should have, it should have either been Alpha Tori or, uh,
[21:05.960 -> 21:06.960] they should have flipped the odds.
[21:07.400 -> 21:11.080] Either way, they picked up on it a few hours before the race and they honored
[21:11.080 -> 21:15.700] it for pretty much all of us, uh, just sent a message saying we acknowledge
[21:15.700 -> 21:18.840] our mistake, but we're going to honor it if it wins, just cause we appreciate.
[21:19.200 -> 21:22.800] Um, sorry, cause customer experience is like our number one priority
[21:22.800 -> 21:24.000] or whatever their PR line is.
[21:24.000 -> 21:26.660] So in any case, they, they honored that bet.
[21:27.020 -> 21:29.380] Um, so whenever that happens, you have to give them a shout out.
[21:29.380 -> 21:33.780] And, and, uh, if, if people are just getting into F1 with that in mind, you
[21:33.780 -> 21:37.700] know, consider signing up at, at Bovada Bulldog, they have lots of F1 lines.
[21:38.700 -> 21:44.620] And they're clearly fair, uh, similar lines, MGM and bet six, three 65 winning
[21:44.620 -> 21:45.200] race margins.
[21:45.200 -> 21:46.360] Some people in our chat had it.
[21:46.360 -> 21:48.900] We were all banking on it being five seconds or less, assuming
[21:48.900 -> 21:50.320] there would be a safety car late.
[21:50.880 -> 21:54.920] Uh, there wasn't a safety car, super late there.
[21:54.940 -> 21:58.120] What ended up happening was, um, there was an, an expected.
[21:58.480 -> 22:00.660] Penalty, a time penalty for Paris.
[22:00.660 -> 22:02.060] So we ended up speeding up a lot.
[22:02.060 -> 22:06.500] So he won the race by seven seconds, seven and a half seconds unofficially.
[22:06.500 -> 22:09.160] And then afterwards they,
[22:09.160 -> 22:10.520] they,
[22:10.520 -> 22:11.880] they hit him with a five second penalty.
[22:11.880 -> 22:14.640] So he only ended up winning by two and a half seconds.
[22:14.640 -> 22:17.320] The bookies grade it based on the unofficial time when the
[22:17.320 -> 22:19.520] race is finished and the trophies are presented at the
[22:19.520 -> 22:20.340] podium.
[22:20.340 -> 22:21.680] Cause basically you can't take it back then I guess,
[22:21.680 -> 22:22.900] as they're thinking.
[22:22.900 -> 22:26.600] So MGM and bet three 65 MGM ended up reversing it
[22:26.600 -> 22:28.720] and giving it to anybody who had winning margin
[22:28.720 -> 22:32.200] under five seconds and bet 365 just refunded it.
[22:32.200 -> 22:33.560] So they acknowledged, you know,
[22:33.560 -> 22:35.000] they might be in the right based on their terms
[22:35.000 -> 22:37.160] and conditions, but they don't want to screw over
[22:37.160 -> 22:39.800] their customers, their bettors,
[22:39.800 -> 22:42.560] unlike other bookies that we'll hopefully chat on later.
[22:42.560 -> 22:44.800] And then our last one is the good and bad bookie.
[22:44.800 -> 22:48.480] So Dolceto found a misprice on points bet.
[22:48.480 -> 22:52.760] They had, uh, Russell's odds for Lewis Hamilton, even though Russell
[22:52.760 -> 22:54.360] was starting way behind Hamilton.
[22:54.680 -> 22:56.040] It was up for all of three minutes.
[22:56.040 -> 22:58.600] I think him and a couple other people managed to get in on it
[22:58.600 -> 22:59.600] and then they closed it.
[23:00.040 -> 23:03.340] So they, they, I guess they get the bad bookie report for pulling it down so
[23:03.340 -> 23:05.640] fast, but they get the good bookie report for still honoring the
[23:05.640 -> 23:06.960] original people who got in on it.
[23:07.120 -> 23:08.720] So that is my report.
[23:08.760 -> 23:09.800] Uh, like I say, we're open.
[23:09.800 -> 23:10.800] We're honest people.
[23:10.800 -> 23:12.840] We have 400 people in our discord.
[23:12.840 -> 23:16.440] So a whole range of bookies, everybody posts their winners or their complaints,
[23:16.440 -> 23:18.040] and we're happy to air those out for them.
[23:18.480 -> 23:21.800] Um, just to, you know, use our, our social media leverage against these bookies.
[23:21.800 -> 23:24.600] That's really the only thing a lot of us have, because they can, it's their house,
[23:24.600 -> 23:24.760] right?
[23:24.760 -> 23:26.960] They can do kind of whatever they want for the most part.
[23:26.960 -> 23:29.240] And they'll just cite some BS rule if they want,
[23:29.240 -> 23:31.800] or in the case of these bookies that we listed today,
[23:31.800 -> 23:34.340] a lot of them acted honorable, took care of their customers.
[23:34.340 -> 23:35.960] So they rightfully deserve a shout out
[23:35.960 -> 23:38.160] when they take care of their bettors.
[23:38.160 -> 23:39.000] Totally agree.
[23:39.000 -> 23:41.260] It's always nice when you have bookies
[23:41.260 -> 23:45.880] that are actually honoring their bets to their mistakes and not saying,
[23:45.880 -> 23:48.400] oh no, it's our mistake, so sorry, we're taking it down.
[23:48.400 -> 23:51.040] So I did get paid out on that too.
[23:51.040 -> 23:53.800] So luckily I didn't have to be a Karen
[23:53.800 -> 23:56.040] and get on customer chaff for that.
[23:56.040 -> 23:58.280] So yeah, love the report though.
[23:58.280 -> 23:59.120] I like this little-
[23:59.120 -> 24:00.800] I wanna add one for the good book.
[24:00.800 -> 24:02.440] Yeah, go for it.
[24:02.440 -> 24:04.680] I just noticed that this morning
[24:04.680 -> 24:06.580] when I was looking on Povada,
[24:06.580 -> 24:10.720] they have added a top two finisher market now. I don't know if you guys noticed that
[24:10.720 -> 24:15.720] but it's the first race I've seen. I did. So yeah, and this is this is a good thing.
[24:15.720 -> 24:21.360] I mean, they're trying to expand their F1 markets and you know, it's a you know, if
[24:21.360 -> 24:25.000] we you know, like if you want to dive into those later on
[24:25.000 -> 24:31.240] and the discord, we could talk about it, but this is the first time I see it in bookies
[24:31.240 -> 24:33.080] in the West part of the world.
[24:33.080 -> 24:35.160] So I just wanted to, it's funny.
[24:35.160 -> 24:36.160] Yeah.
[24:36.160 -> 24:39.800] Because we were complaining earlier about why don't they have the top six because I
[24:39.800 -> 24:45.880] see MGM has some top six and yeah, there's some interesting stuff for FP, I should say,
[24:45.880 -> 24:47.320] not like the actual race.
[24:47.320 -> 24:51.760] But yeah, no, I do like that we can do that.
[24:51.760 -> 24:56.680] And then you said something about hashtag them on Twitter and then you can get what
[24:56.680 -> 24:57.680] you want.
[24:57.680 -> 25:02.600] Yeah, you could go on to their official Kovada bet.
[25:02.600 -> 25:06.560] What's your Wager? And you could pretty much type in
[25:06.560 -> 25:09.160] who's gonna be Tom Brady's new girlfriend
[25:09.160 -> 25:11.400] and they'll give you a market for it.
[25:11.400 -> 25:15.080] So I mean, they will price almost everything.
[25:15.080 -> 25:16.360] I love it.
[25:16.360 -> 25:18.640] Yeah, so Bavada is a pretty good book.
[25:18.640 -> 25:22.280] No, I actually gotta say, I've been impressed with them.
[25:22.280 -> 25:23.240] I've been enjoying.
[25:23.240 -> 25:26.320] But yeah, to carry on, let's get into the next thing
[25:26.320 -> 25:28.100] we said we wanted to try to do.
[25:29.240 -> 25:32.520] Let's get into the Sprinkle segment,
[25:32.520 -> 25:35.320] which is something new we want to try.
[25:36.200 -> 25:40.760] It's basically what we call the Long Shot Sprinkle,
[25:40.760 -> 25:44.280] where there might be a long shot out there,
[25:44.280 -> 25:47.120] let's just say somewhere in the 800 plus,
[25:47.120 -> 25:53.120] whatever you want to consider a long shot in your book. But the sprinkle part is what I call
[25:53.120 -> 25:58.240] quote-unquote pizza money, which is like something like that you're willing to just throw a couple
[25:58.240 -> 26:05.880] of bucks if that's what you're willing to risk, $10, or maybe you're just a high roller and $100 is chump change for you.
[26:05.880 -> 26:08.400] That's what we call the sprinkle.
[26:08.400 -> 26:10.660] So yeah, let's talk through that.
[26:10.660 -> 26:15.160] Who has a long shot that they want to give out to folks?
[26:15.160 -> 26:22.760] And again, just a disclaimer here, do not throw out your whole bankroll onto this thing.
[26:22.760 -> 26:28.000] This is just pure, just fun. So yeah, does anyone have one?
[26:28.000 -> 26:38.440] Well, I did some extensive research and I read an article like two minutes ago that
[26:38.440 -> 26:45.860] Yuki has not been here since he was in the F4. Apparently he did a race simulation and didn't go very well.
[26:45.860 -> 26:53.400] So that being said, I'm going to take Yuki first. Plus one thousand two hundred.
[26:53.400 -> 26:59.040] I love how you your extensive research in the past two minutes got you there. That's
[26:59.040 -> 27:04.800] phenomenal news, though. That was phenomenal, though. It's like I didn't even know that
[27:04.800 -> 27:06.240] he was failing on his simulator.
[27:06.360 -> 27:08.280] I was like, he should know this track.
[27:08.280 -> 27:10.160] Yeah, the more you know. Right.
[27:10.160 -> 27:13.000] I mean, but yeah, that's great.
[27:13.000 -> 27:16.000] So you got Yuki to
[27:16.680 -> 27:19.200] not finish or to retire first.
[27:19.920 -> 27:21.360] Now, first to make a pit stop.
[27:21.360 -> 27:23.200] Oh, first to make a pit stop. Yeah, that's a place.
[27:23.200 -> 27:24.200] A hundred. Yeah.
[27:24.200 -> 27:26.840] Basically means he's gonna do some accident.
[27:26.840 -> 27:28.360] Straight into the gravel,
[27:28.360 -> 27:30.280] flatten his tires out, straight to the pit.
[27:30.280 -> 27:33.880] Or wing clip someone and yeah.
[27:35.120 -> 27:36.500] Okay, how much was that?
[27:37.520 -> 27:38.680] Plus 1200.
[27:38.680 -> 27:40.640] Plus 1200, all right.
[27:40.640 -> 27:42.600] Okay, who else?
[27:42.600 -> 27:43.440] Who else has got one?
[27:43.440 -> 27:49.680] So I've got another one. Okay. so having not done that extensive research I like
[27:49.680 -> 27:57.760] Agfatori double points so if Yuki doesn't hit the wall in the first lap
[27:57.760 -> 28:02.340] he'll go on to get points for Pierre Gasly.
[28:02.340 -> 28:10.520] that's a head. Yeah, a hedge, but I think sneakily and for Tory have got, have improved their
[28:10.520 -> 28:13.680] car because gasoline has been in the points in the last two races.
[28:14.640 -> 28:18.360] Uh, so no, it was running in the points that he hit the wall, but I think
[28:18.360 -> 28:21.360] their cars back to a decent level.
[28:23.440 -> 28:24.000] I love it.
[28:24.120 -> 28:24.700] Actually.
[28:24.720 -> 28:26.640] I'm actually looking this one up.
[28:26.640 -> 28:31.600] Not to say I didn't like yours, Tegrity, but this one's kind of interesting.
[28:31.600 -> 28:35.280] What else? What else?
[28:35.280 -> 28:40.400] What about McLaren? That was top six this weekend.
[28:40.400 -> 28:44.560] Reading a lot of reports that Danny really likes this track.
[28:44.560 -> 28:45.180] Oh, yeah
[28:46.540 -> 28:49.140] And McLaren has been doing really well on
[28:50.380 -> 28:52.700] you know, like high downforce tracks, which
[28:54.220 -> 28:55.780] Japan is a
[28:55.780 -> 29:00.220] High downforce track. So I don't know it's a it's it's a plus 800 on DraftKings
[29:01.060 -> 29:05.720] Right now for top six. It's It could be like a more like it's balanced. Yeah, exactly.
[29:05.720 -> 29:06.840] That's the way I look at it.
[29:06.840 -> 29:09.240] It's just balanced, but I do agree.
[29:09.240 -> 29:14.360] That's why my pick for Ricardo was, was one that, so I am a little nervous about
[29:14.360 -> 29:15.880] what this new upgrade will be like.
[29:15.880 -> 29:16.600] I'm not sure.
[29:16.600 -> 29:17.200] I'm not sure.
[29:17.200 -> 29:17.760] I'm not sure.
[29:17.760 -> 29:18.280] I'm not sure.
[29:18.280 -> 29:18.840] I'm not sure.
[29:18.840 -> 29:19.400] I'm not sure.
[29:19.400 -> 29:19.960] I'm not sure.
[29:19.960 -> 29:20.520] I'm not sure.
[29:20.520 -> 29:21.000] I'm not sure.
[29:21.000 -> 29:21.480] I'm not sure.
[29:21.480 -> 29:22.040] I'm not sure.
[29:22.040 -> 29:22.520] I'm not sure.
[29:22.520 -> 29:23.000] I'm not sure.
[29:23.000 -> 29:23.560] I'm not sure.
[29:23.560 -> 29:24.040] I'm not sure.
[29:24.040 -> 29:24.520] I'm not sure.
[29:24.520 -> 29:28.000] I'm not sure. I'm not sure. I'm not sure. I'm not sure. I'm not sure. I'm not sure. I'm not sure. I'm not sure. I'm not sure. I'm not sure. It's just balance, but I do agree. That's why my pick for Ricardo was, was one that, so I am a little nervous
[29:28.000 -> 29:32.800] about what this new upgrade will be like, but seeing how Lando performed last
[29:32.800 -> 29:36.300] week, though, it was kind of hard to judge that because we didn't see it
[29:36.300 -> 29:38.060] really in true top speed form.
[29:38.340 -> 29:39.600] You know, power was down.
[29:39.620 -> 29:44.460] We didn't see DRS last week, but what was the odds we said there?
[29:44.460 -> 29:46.840] I'm trying to scroll through the scroll.
[29:46.840 -> 29:50.960] I want to see it on reference of plus 800.
[29:50.960 -> 29:52.680] Yeah, see, it's plus 650.
[29:52.680 -> 29:55.800] Both drivers in top, you said top six, right?
[29:55.800 -> 29:57.280] Yeah, top six.
[29:57.280 -> 29:58.520] It's 650 on the bottom.
[29:58.520 -> 30:00.800] So that 800 is not a bad number, actually.
[30:00.800 -> 30:01.300] Yeah.
[30:03.920 -> 30:07.000] Yep. Let's see see anyone else got one.
[30:07.000 -> 30:15.000] If, uh, nobody else has one, um, along the same thought as Tegrity first pit, I got Magnuson
[30:15.000 -> 30:28.080] plus 2000 or Vettel plus 2000, both just for one 10th of a unit. Um, basically Magnusson is the Danish queen of, uh, front wing
[30:28.080 -> 30:31.040] damage on the first lap happened last race.
[30:31.080 -> 30:33.780] It's gotta have happened at least 25% of races.
[30:33.780 -> 30:37.160] So if that happens, he's a lock to go into the pit stop, like first lap.
[30:37.680 -> 30:42.500] Um, if there's no damage on the first lap, then, then Vettel
[30:42.500 -> 30:44.600] is a prime suspect of pit first.
[30:44.700 -> 30:45.500] Just him and Aston Martin seemed to like pitting relatively early in his races. on the first lap, then, then Vettel is a prime suspect to pit first, just him
[30:45.500 -> 30:48.400] and Aston Martin seemed to like pitting relatively early in his races.
[30:48.400 -> 30:53.560] So, uh, I'm not sure where bookies get their prices from probably like all season
[30:53.560 -> 30:57.400] long and, and odds of crashing and all that sort of thing, but these feel a
[30:57.400 -> 31:01.600] little long for me, uh, it seems like they have them priced for, for other,
[31:01.960 -> 31:06.140] uh, you know, potential drivers that might take damage on the first lap.
[31:06.180 -> 31:09.340] But you got to think Magnuson is, is one of the prime culprits.
[31:09.340 -> 31:12.180] He does that like so much more often than anybody else.
[31:12.180 -> 31:13.620] It seems like, so those are mine.
[31:15.220 -> 31:22.180] Yeah, I think the, the only one I'll just call out and if it, if it does rain only,
[31:22.260 -> 31:26.080] this is the only time I would play around with this is if it does
[31:26.080 -> 31:35.240] rain that top six KMAG, MICK, PICK, just because we've just seen it in two FP1 sessions that
[31:35.240 -> 31:37.720] the Haas just performs and excels in the rain.
[31:37.720 -> 31:38.720] I can't explain it.
[31:38.720 -> 31:40.760] I don't know why.
[31:40.760 -> 31:43.200] That's my analysis on that.
[31:43.200 -> 31:48.000] If you want a long shot at plus 700, plus 900 top six, FP1 for those two.
[31:48.000 -> 31:50.000] That would be the only one I would call out.
[31:51.000 -> 31:53.000] So, we got about a couple more minutes.
[31:53.000 -> 31:58.000] I do want to just quickly do a callout for some of the other picks that we have out there.
[31:58.000 -> 32:05.960] We all know that we got like Tom, the man, that just fires off on bets as soon as they come out.
[32:05.960 -> 32:07.040] It's pretty fun.
[32:07.040 -> 32:08.380] I love it.
[32:08.380 -> 32:12.720] And I'll just call out a few of his so everyone can see
[32:12.720 -> 32:15.000] or hear, I guess it's in this situation.
[32:15.000 -> 32:18.000] So he's got a,
[32:18.000 -> 32:20.840] he's only got one units going for FP1,
[32:20.840 -> 32:28.480] but he does have an FP1 two unit play Russell top six at minus 155 MGM
[32:28.480 -> 32:33.620] I think a lot of us have this consensus going into this race fp1
[32:34.440 -> 32:40.280] Even the race too. We think that Mercedes will just will be up there. I
[32:41.000 -> 32:46.000] Think it's it's a great pick. It's always safe to back a Hamilton.
[32:46.000 -> 32:48.800] Sometimes a Russell, but yeah.
[32:48.800 -> 32:50.800] So that's one of his picks.
[32:50.800 -> 32:55.800] Jen Christian actually, and he's got a lot too.
[32:55.800 -> 32:58.000] Actually, I didn't realize how many he had.
[32:58.000 -> 33:03.000] He has, let's go with this winning margin one.
[33:03.000 -> 33:04.800] FP1 winning margin.
[33:04.800 -> 33:11.200] If it does rain, we want to go 0.25 seconds.
[33:11.200 -> 33:13.020] He has one unit on that.
[33:13.020 -> 33:15.700] I think he has it at plus 130.
[33:15.700 -> 33:19.500] I think it's actually plus 165 on Bovada.
[33:19.500 -> 33:33.280] But FP1 winning margin at a quarter of a second, 2.251 unit. So yeah, Lights, do you have any
[33:33.280 -> 33:40.320] price picks or underdog plays? Sure. So underdog, they like to post their lines after FP1 and FP2,
[33:40.320 -> 33:47.120] they like to look into the horse's eyes. So fair enough, but I do like whatever they come out with, uh, the Yossi Roman
[33:47.120 -> 33:50.280] Yossi over 3.0 and shots, that's an NHL pick.
[33:50.280 -> 33:53.460] So I don't have to elaborate on it, but it's, it's a home equity
[33:53.460 -> 33:55.520] line of credit hammer for sure.
[33:55.840 -> 33:58.160] Um, but prize picks did offer some F1 lines.
[33:58.720 -> 33:59.880] Relatively early here.
[34:00.100 -> 34:04.240] The qualifying lines, I think are fair, uh, Checo at three and a half.
[34:04.440 -> 34:09.040] You could probably go over there if you want to risk the biscuit, but
[34:09.440 -> 34:12.840] again, it feels risky, so I would lean towards the pit stops.
[34:13.280 -> 34:13.800] Aston Martin.
[34:13.800 -> 34:18.160] I think I commented earlier about, um, how much I believe in their pit stop crew.
[34:18.720 -> 34:21.440] They are both priced at 3.0 right now.
[34:21.480 -> 34:22.520] Those are my anchors.
[34:22.560 -> 34:26.360] So Vettel and stroll both under 3.0.
[34:26.720 -> 34:28.900] Uh, they cleared it by half a second last race.
[34:28.900 -> 34:29.900] So they're in good shape.
[34:30.480 -> 34:33.580] And then I'm mixing and matching those two picks.
[34:33.580 -> 34:34.400] They're on the same team.
[34:34.400 -> 34:35.580] So you got to do something else.
[34:35.620 -> 34:41.280] I'm mixing and matching with gas Gasly under Pitstop 2.95 seconds and K
[34:41.280 -> 34:44.540] mag over Pitstop 3.55 seconds.
[34:44.940 -> 34:48.960] Uh, 3.55 is an eternity, but the Haas pit stop team is terrible.
[34:49.280 -> 34:53.760] And as I mentioned earlier, 25% chance K-Mag comes in with wing damage or some
[34:53.760 -> 34:55.760] sort of five second penalty he has to serve.
[34:56.200 -> 34:59.400] Um, in, in either case, the over would be a lock.
[34:59.760 -> 35:03.340] Gasly's under, uh, yeah, him and Alphatorre have been on it.
[35:03.340 -> 35:06.300] They're probably the third or fourth team, but besides Red Bull and Aston
[35:06.300 -> 35:10.460] Martin that have been on top of it, his line, uh, cleared by 0.1 last race.
[35:10.460 -> 35:15.380] So it's a little tight, but I think if it's a solid track and, uh, if there
[35:15.380 -> 35:17.520] isn't rain, that, that should be relatively easy.
[35:17.800 -> 35:21.540] My only other comment is, uh, no specific pick, but if it rains, then
[35:21.540 -> 35:26.080] look to a lot of these overs, anything in like a 2.6, 2.8
[35:26.080 -> 35:28.840] range for the mid tier pit stop teams.
[35:28.840 -> 35:33.180] You can just mix and match those like crazy, uh, knowing that, you know, those, those inters
[35:33.180 -> 35:36.560] are a little heavier, a little wetter, and the teams just take an extra half second to
[35:36.560 -> 35:38.240] make sure they do the pit properly.
[35:38.240 -> 35:42.960] So that's, uh, that's my price picks and underdog report, at least for today and happy to give
[35:42.960 -> 35:44.720] more underdog lines in our discord.
[35:44.720 -> 35:48.580] As soon as those, uh, those lines drop, they are awesome because
[35:48.580 -> 35:51.820] they offer lines on all 20 drivers typically, and they got different ways
[35:51.820 -> 35:54.140] to do it between their rivals and then their straight up lines.
[35:54.500 -> 35:59.240] And our team is usually watching like crazy, um, for their qualifying
[35:59.240 -> 36:02.060] lines to post and then for the race lines to post that we can get on those lines
[36:02.060 -> 36:04.380] early, so get on underdog if you haven't.
[36:04.420 -> 36:06.940] Um, it's yeah, we're getting better and better on there.
[36:07.180 -> 36:08.100] Starting to dial it in.
[36:08.160 -> 36:12.420] Obviously there's more mainstream sports starting up their regular seasons, which
[36:12.420 -> 36:16.620] gives us even more markets and our discord has hunted pretty good on underdog so far
[36:16.620 -> 36:17.020] this year.
[36:17.020 -> 36:18.420] So five races left, get on there.
[36:18.420 -> 36:21.660] Let's turn your bet credit into some withdrawable cash.
[36:22.280 -> 36:22.540] Yeah.
[36:22.540 -> 36:27.840] And again, if you haven't already, uh, we do have the promo code for Underdog.
[36:27.840 -> 36:32.560] We also do have a lot of people playing the price picks, getting into Discord.
[36:32.560 -> 36:36.800] Everyone is just constantly talking about the different misprices, the different odds.
[36:36.800 -> 36:40.800] And it's not just F1 sometimes, as you just pointed out.
[36:40.800 -> 36:42.160] Sometimes it's NHL.
[36:42.160 -> 36:44.940] Guys, we are now at time.
[36:44.940 -> 36:46.720] Any last thoughts very quickly?
[36:48.240 -> 36:55.600] I would just add quickly that with the double Alpine DNF last race, just look out for
[36:56.320 -> 37:02.240] grid penalties for both drivers and then just see how you can take advantage in the market from that.
[37:08.240 -> 37:15.200] you can take advantage in the market from that. All right. Yeah. And tomorrow I will be trying to do a live stream of FP1 on Twitch. I will send out the links for that. Again, join our Discord
[37:15.200 -> 37:20.320] and you should be able to see the links there as well. We'll probably just be having just a little
[37:20.320 -> 37:26.560] fun chatting while we're watching FP1 and we'll talk odds, we'll talk all sorts of things.
[37:27.600 -> 37:32.480] We'll even make fun of a few drivers here and there if that fancies you as well.
[37:33.600 -> 37:40.080] Few adult beverages as well are welcome. So I appreciate it. You guys are awesome. We'll see
[37:40.080 -> 37:41.040] you tomorrow. Trey Lockerbie 21.9
[37:37.690 -> 37:38.890] See you tomorrow.