F1 Money Gang Dutch GP Ep. 2

Underdog Fantasy Promo Code F1MONEYGANG and Free Discord: http://discord.gg/nT4wb3ayHU

### Introduction:

- The F1 Money Gang podcast crew is back for another episode, discussing the upcoming Dutch Grand Prix (GP) at Zandvoort.
- They have a special promo code for the Underdog Fantasy Sports app: F1MONEYGANG. New users can get a $100 instant match as a first-time depositor.
- Listeners are encouraged to join the F1 Money Gang Discord server for more motorsports-related discussions.

### Dutch GP Details:

- The Dutch GP is Max Verstappen's home race, and the circuit features high banking and a 306-kilometer distance with 72 laps.
- The weather forecast has changed since the beginning of the week, with a 0% chance of rain predicted for FP1.
- Temperatures are expected to be around 24-25 degrees Celsius (75 degrees Fahrenheit).

### Last Week's Performance:

- The F1 Money Gang collectively had a 3.1-unit positive on their picks last week, resulting in a profitable weekend.

### Picks and Betting Insights:

#### 1. Dolcetto:

- Pick: Alpine to finish in the top 10 (@ $1.82 or -122 odds)
- Reasoning:
- Esteban Ocon and Fernando Alonso have been consistently performing well in recent races.
- Alonso is motivated despite his upcoming departure from Alpine.
- Ocon has been in the points in eight out of the last 10 races.
- Alpine has won three fastest pit stop races this year.

#### 2. Tegrity:

- Pick: Sebastian Vettel to finish ahead of Valtteri Bottas in FP1 (@ $1.15 odds)
- Reasoning:
- Vettel has a strong record against Bottas in FP1 sessions.
- Aston Martin prioritizes data collection in FP1, while Alfa Romeo takes a more conservative approach.

#### 3. Jinx:

- Pick: Alexander Albon to finish ahead of Mick Schumacher in FP1 (@ $1.25 odds)
- Reasoning:
- Albon has a 10-0 record in dry FP1 sessions this year.
- Mick Schumacher has struggled at Zandvoort in the past.

#### 4. Lights Out F1 Bets:

- Pick: Both Alfa Romeo cars to finish the race (@ $1.65 odds)
- Reasoning:
- Alfa Romeo has been prioritizing preserving their cars and engines for the race.
- Both Zhou Guanyu and Valtteri Bottas have shown improved reliability in recent races.

#### 5. F1 Capper:

- Pick: George Russell to finish ahead of Lewis Hamilton in the race (@ $1.50 odds)
- Reasoning:
- Russell has been consistently outperforming Hamilton in qualifying and race pace.
- Hamilton may face a grid penalty due to a potential power unit change.
- Russell has a strong chance of qualifying ahead of Hamilton, even without the penalty.

### Additional Insights and Discussion:

- The Aston Martin team has shown signs of improvement and may be worth considering for constructor head-to-head bets.
- There is value in betting on both Alfa Romeo cars to finish the race, given their recent reliability improvements.
- Russell's strong performance against Hamilton makes him a favorable pick for the race, regardless of Hamilton's potential grid penalty.

## Max Verstappen's Dominance

The hosts begin by discussing the dominance of Max Verstappen and Red Bull Racing in recent races. Verstappen has won the last four races, and he is the clear favorite to win the Dutch Grand Prix. The hosts note that Verstappen is particularly strong at tracks like Zandvoort, which has a lot of high-speed corners.

## Betting on Verstappen

The hosts discuss the different ways to bet on Verstappen. They suggest that betting on him to win the race is a good option, but they also mention that there are other ways to profit from his dominance. For example, they suggest betting on him to win by a large margin, or to set the fastest lap.

## Other Drivers and Teams to Watch

The hosts also discuss other drivers and teams to watch in the Dutch Grand Prix. They mention that Ferrari and Charles Leclerc are the most likely to challenge Verstappen, but they also note that Mercedes and Lewis Hamilton could be in the mix. They also mention that McLaren and Lando Norris have been strong in recent races, and they could be a dark horse to watch.

## Betting Tips

The hosts offer a few betting tips for the Dutch Grand Prix. They suggest that bettors should shop around for the best odds, and they should also consider betting on multiple drivers and teams. They also suggest that bettors should be patient, and not get discouraged if their bets don't win right away.

## Conclusion

The hosts conclude the podcast by encouraging listeners to join their Discord server, where they can discuss Formula One betting and other topics. They also remind listeners about their promo code for Underdog Fantasy, which offers a 100% match bonus up to $100.

[00:00.000 -> 00:08.440] And we're back for another episode of the F1 Money Gang show.
[00:08.440 -> 00:16.120] And here with us, we got our crew again, Lights Out F1 Bets, That Jinx Eugene, Tegrity Bets,
[00:16.120 -> 00:20.640] Bill Cheto, and myself included, F1 Capper.
[00:20.640 -> 00:25.880] Just to kick things off, again, we have a special promo going on with the underdog fantasy sports app.
[00:26.040 -> 00:30.760] And if you haven't already, please use our special promo code F one money gang,
[00:31.080 -> 00:34.720] where you can get an instant a hundred dollar match as a first time depositor.
[00:35.200 -> 00:38.200] Again, the promo code is F one money gang.
[00:39.040 -> 00:43.320] We have links in the description that we can hand out as well as join our discord.
[00:43.560 -> 00:47.840] Uh, we got lots of activity in there, all motor sports, but specific to F1.
[00:47.940 -> 00:50.760] So yes, let's kick it off guys.
[00:51.340 -> 00:52.760] We got another race.
[00:52.860 -> 00:57.420] Um, let's go ahead and just kind of get through some of the, the details here.
[00:57.460 -> 01:02.580] The Dutch GP Sanford, it is a max hometown race.
[01:03.300 -> 01:08.680] Uh, I think we're looking at the C1 C2 C3 tire compounds.
[01:09.200 -> 01:13.280] We're looking about a 306 kilometer distance, 72 laps.
[01:13.300 -> 01:15.000] So it's definitely a lot shorter.
[01:15.520 -> 01:17.020] Got some high banking.
[01:17.840 -> 01:22.320] Uh, the weather forecast looks like it's changed a lot since the beginning of the
[01:22.320 -> 01:27.800] week, uh, looks like FP one session showing now 0% chance of rain.
[01:28.400 -> 01:33.640] Uh, we're probably going to see about maybe less than 20% chance for, uh,
[01:33.640 -> 01:38.320] Saturday and Sunday to, uh, I guess the temperatures are about the same, uh,
[01:38.320 -> 01:44.160] 24, 25 degrees Celsius or 75 degrees Fahrenheit, if you're an American.
[01:44.960 -> 01:45.320] Uh, but very quickly last week, we actually collectively had a degrees Celsius or 75 degrees Fahrenheit if you're an American.
[01:46.960 -> 01:47.160] But very quickly last week,
[01:52.160 -> 01:52.560] we actually collectively had a 3.1 units positive on,
[01:54.320 -> 01:54.360] on all our picks, which is nice.
[01:59.200 -> 02:00.040] Always glad to see that we had a profitable weekend between the F1 money gang.
[02:03.000 -> 02:03.040] But yeah, let's, let's go ahead and kick things off. Let's go,
[02:06.880 -> 02:11.480] let's go straight to to Dolcetto, you know, you, this is your first, uh, first pod with us to, I mean, I guess you weren't here last week.
[02:11.480 -> 02:13.560] So yeah, let's go with you.
[02:13.560 -> 02:15.440] What's your first, uh, what's your first pick?
[02:15.440 -> 02:16.600] What's your look this weekend?
[02:17.400 -> 02:17.960] Hey guys.
[02:17.960 -> 02:21.120] I'm glad to be, first of all, to be part of the team.
[02:21.280 -> 02:25.480] Um, and I'm looking forward to many more of these episodes
[02:25.480 -> 02:32.880] and so you know this week I I have one of my favorite bets that I want to share
[02:32.880 -> 02:39.640] and this is you know like it has been a very popular bet the last few races but
[02:39.640 -> 02:45.160] I'm gonna still roll with it I'm gonna take a vault alpine to finish in the top 10.
[02:46.720 -> 02:52.560] The odds for those are $1.82 or if it's American odds is minus $1.22.
[02:52.880 -> 02:57.520] And you could still find that at points bet if it's available in your state.
[02:58.280 -> 03:00.760] So I was looking into a little bit more.
[03:00.840 -> 03:04.120] I'm a big fan of Okan ever since he came into F1.
[03:04.120 -> 03:06.720] I've been a big fan of Ocon ever since he came into F1. I've been a big fan. But
[03:06.720 -> 03:11.680] I was just looking at the trends lately and I'm seeing, you know, Alpine had a very rough
[03:11.680 -> 03:19.240] start earlier in the year with all the retirements, with engine issues earlier on, on Ocon, Alonso.
[03:19.240 -> 03:26.600] But looking at the last nine races, Alonso has been in the points every time without, you know, any issues.
[03:26.600 -> 03:31.720] He actually started in, I think he was in P2 in Canada. I don't have it in front of
[03:31.720 -> 03:36.600] my screen like right now, but he has been doing great, has been very consistent. I'm
[03:36.600 -> 03:48.720] not worried about the news that he's leaving. He's still very motivated, as you could see last race. And Okan, since Miami, he has been in the points
[03:49.240 -> 03:52.120] in eight out of the 10 races.
[03:52.120 -> 03:55.920] The one time that he had to retire was due
[03:55.920 -> 03:59.720] to a fuel pump issues in the British Grand Prix.
[03:59.720 -> 04:02.760] And actually Monaco, he finished in the points,
[04:02.760 -> 04:05.340] but he had that penalty where him and Lewis
[04:05.340 -> 04:08.980] got into a little accident, if you want to call it that.
[04:08.980 -> 04:15.000] And he got bumped with a great penalty with five seconds, so he had to drop out of points.
[04:15.000 -> 04:16.820] So I really feel really good about this.
[04:16.820 -> 04:19.400] And the odds are just unbelievably good.
[04:19.400 -> 04:21.520] And I love it.
[04:21.520 -> 04:24.000] And I hope it catches once again.
[04:24.000 -> 04:29.520] The last five weeks, it has cached all in a row and some books have adjusted the odds, but
[04:30.000 -> 04:36.780] You know just head out to points bed and and get those bets in and also I have one if you love long shots
[04:37.080 -> 04:39.080] I've been looking at this all week
[04:40.200 -> 04:42.640] It's for the fastest pet stop. I
[04:43.520 -> 04:52.640] love Alpine they have their odds are at plus 1,400 at DraftKings.
[04:52.640 -> 04:57.720] They have been the fastest pit stop team for three races this year.
[04:57.720 -> 05:00.060] But I was looking at the weather-wise.
[05:00.060 -> 05:04.400] Everything so far has matched what the weather is projected to be on Sunday.
[05:04.400 -> 05:08.680] And Alpine has won every time between the temperature projections, between the weather
[05:08.680 -> 05:09.680] projections.
[05:09.680 -> 05:12.400] So I love the long odds.
[05:12.400 -> 05:15.920] If you guys are interested in doing it, go ahead.
[05:15.920 -> 05:17.040] But I think it has a great chance.
[05:17.040 -> 05:22.080] I know everybody's all over the Red Bulls, but they have only won it one time more than
[05:22.080 -> 05:23.080] Alpine has.
[05:23.080 -> 05:26.320] So it is a pretty good chance of Alpine to pull it once again.
[05:26.320 -> 05:34.080] So if you like the long odds, go ahead and do it. I actually will say, you know, me, I love, love
[05:34.080 -> 05:38.800] Alpine top 10. Love me some Ocon. What odds did you say that was for the top 10?
[05:40.000 -> 05:45.600] It's a it's minus one, 22 at points. But minus one one 22. Yeah. And I'm thinking on Bovada,
[05:45.640 -> 05:50.080] they've actually reached a little bit more on that one where it's about minus
[05:50.100 -> 05:52.640] one 50. So there is a little bit of value there.
[05:53.840 -> 05:55.960] Just like we've said in the past,
[05:56.280 -> 06:01.000] there is the possibility Alpine does bad on their
[06:01.000 -> 06:05.360] qualifying and it gives you an opportunity to grab the line, uh, at an even
[06:05.360 -> 06:12.640] better, uh, odds on Saturday. So just consider that you can still press. That's exactly what
[06:12.640 -> 06:18.480] I did last week. I think I, I think I got it at minus one 10 for top 10. And then obviously,
[06:18.480 -> 06:22.920] and they did a pretty bad job going in on Friday and Saturday during qualifying. And
[06:22.920 -> 06:26.600] I would think I got it at like plus 200, even something like that.
[06:27.200 -> 06:32.800] Yeah. So just split the bet, but either way, minus one 22, there's value right
[06:32.800 -> 06:35.520] now. So I love it. And then what was your pit stop odds?
[06:36.520 -> 06:38.400] Uh, plus 1400.
[06:39.920 -> 06:40.520] All right.
[06:40.560 -> 06:44.160] Yeah. I mean, Alpine won last week and, uh, you know, I'm
[06:44.840 -> 06:46.420] you never know back. I mean, they're won last week and, uh, you know, and you never know back, back,
[06:46.420 -> 06:47.040] you never know.
[06:47.040 -> 06:49.160] I mean, they're, they're the fourth best team right now.
[06:49.680 -> 06:50.040] Yeah.
[06:50.040 -> 06:51.720] And McLaren has got some great odds.
[06:51.720 -> 06:56.320] If you, if you want a safer option, they were at plus three, uh, 3 75, I think
[06:56.320 -> 06:58.640] it was, but I like the odds.
[06:58.920 -> 07:02.480] I'm actually very cautious of, uh, McLaren right now.
[07:02.560 -> 07:07.760] I love Lando, but he's, uh, it seems like McLaren is fading as the season goes along.
[07:07.760 -> 07:10.920] And we've seen this actually last year. And, um,
[07:11.100 -> 07:15.160] a lot of it has to do also with their budget. They did spend a lot in the early,
[07:15.400 -> 07:19.120] early time, uh, part of the season. They spent a lot on their budget, but all
[07:19.140 -> 07:23.480] right. So we got your, your best action, I guess, of the week.
[07:23.500 -> 07:25.960] You had an awesome one last week too.
[07:26.880 -> 07:28.600] What was that again that you had last week?
[07:28.600 -> 07:31.280] So we can have the listeners hear that one.
[07:31.280 -> 07:34.760] For last week, I had, so I mean, I send you a few.
[07:35.680 -> 07:39.240] So I had the how many cars will complete the first lap.
[07:39.240 -> 07:42.000] So mine actually failed because of this.
[07:42.000 -> 07:43.640] Oh, oh.
[07:43.640 -> 07:47.440] But in the Discord, I had some pretty good bets but
[07:47.440 -> 07:51.800] okay on the pot I use that one yeah I think you have one where the trend
[07:51.800 -> 07:56.200] really fits every week which is awesome but yeah yeah that one is a good one
[07:56.200 -> 08:00.280] they haven't posted us for this week yet so I'm kind of waiting on it but uh I
[08:00.280 -> 08:05.680] don't expect many retirements in this race to be. All right. All right.
[08:05.680 -> 08:10.140] Well, let's let's move on to our next sharp better.
[08:10.140 -> 08:11.140] Let's go.
[08:11.140 -> 08:12.140] Let's go to integrity.
[08:12.140 -> 08:13.140] Integrity.
[08:13.140 -> 08:14.140] What's going on?
[08:14.140 -> 08:15.140] What's up?
[08:15.140 -> 08:16.140] What's up, man?
[08:16.140 -> 08:17.140] Glad to be back.
[08:17.140 -> 08:18.140] Yeah.
[08:18.140 -> 08:19.140] I did.
[08:19.140 -> 08:20.140] We won some money last week.
[08:20.140 -> 08:21.140] Yeah.
[08:21.140 -> 08:23.000] So you you're our man for free money Friday.
[08:23.000 -> 08:25.080] You get super excited.
[08:25.080 -> 08:27.340] I feel like you have something there.
[08:27.340 -> 08:28.180] What do you-
[08:28.180 -> 08:30.220] You know me too well, cause I do.
[08:31.020 -> 08:34.360] I think I got a really good one that I like.
[08:34.360 -> 08:37.160] Right now it's a Sebastian Beto over Botis.
[08:37.160 -> 08:38.840] That's sitting in minus 115.
[08:38.840 -> 08:40.540] I found that on Bovada Sportsbook.
[08:41.720 -> 08:43.680] Right now the head to head record for those two
[08:43.680 -> 08:45.200] is a six and two in favor of sub.
[08:45.200 -> 08:51.960] Just everyone knows both this is not really pay much attention to Friday period.
[08:51.960 -> 08:56.000] He sat out three times and he had the DNF to start the season.
[08:56.000 -> 08:58.520] And even when he tends to, even when he does tend to run,
[08:58.520 -> 09:00.000] he just kind of floats around.
[09:00.000 -> 09:03.080] I think it's an average finish, but just around 14, 15.
[09:03.080 -> 09:04.960] He's just kind of coast, not really into it.
[09:03.080 -> 09:04.080] I think it's an average finish, but just around 1415. He's just kind of coast.
[09:04.080 -> 09:05.280] He's not really into it.
[09:06.760 -> 09:08.600] Federal's not too much better, but he is.
[09:08.600 -> 09:10.900] I think he's averaging around 11 or 12.
[09:10.900 -> 09:12.240] Like I said, the record speaks for itself
[09:12.240 -> 09:13.880] at six and two in a year.
[09:13.880 -> 09:15.280] Just really like that number.
[09:15.280 -> 09:16.340] I like the odds.
[09:17.560 -> 09:20.000] Just overall, Botas and Alpha,
[09:20.000 -> 09:21.800] the needle's kind of pointing down,
[09:21.800 -> 09:23.520] or at least with Ashton Martin, you know,
[09:23.520 -> 09:25.600] you get a flash in the pan, you see some effort at least.
[09:26.160 -> 09:31.000] So I really liked that bet and uh, yeah, that's a minus one 15.
[09:32.160 -> 09:33.920] And I'm going to put two units on that one.
[09:34.400 -> 09:39.760] Ooh, we got two units on that one. Okay. Okay. Well, that's, uh,
[09:40.240 -> 09:42.320] that's an awesome one. You know, we're,
[09:42.320 -> 09:49.600] we're always excited for free money Friday because that sets us up for the weekend to either double up or lose it all.
[09:49.600 -> 09:52.960] So I expect that we will double up.
[09:52.960 -> 09:54.960] So that's my guess.
[09:54.960 -> 10:01.120] Even with the shorter tracks, you would think that Belgians would have the advantage like Hungary or Austria.
[10:01.120 -> 10:02.880] Seb still got them.
[10:02.880 -> 10:06.000] So it's just feel real good about it.
[10:09.800 -> 10:11.280] Yeah, and I think with the Alpha Tour, Alpha Tori,
[10:14.760 -> 10:15.280] the Alpha Romeo, I know that he's had some bad luck.
[10:18.720 -> 10:20.920] I think this is a type of track that may be best suited for them to try to be a little bit better.
[10:20.920 -> 10:28.240] But to your point, FB1, I just, he seems, he, he seems to coast.
[10:28.240 -> 10:32.960] I don't know. I I'm not the F P one S expert. I lean to you guys to tell me this stuff,
[10:32.960 -> 10:38.880] but I have seen it when I have seen the FP one, um, Vettel and Botox just, are there
[10:38.880 -> 10:42.720] always at the bottom? They just, it's like the, and again, I go back to what I said last
[10:42.720 -> 10:47.940] week in the pod, FP one, typically it's, it's not that it's not taken seriously. It's it's like the, and again, I go back to what I said last week in the pod. FP one, typically it's, it's not that it's not taken seriously.
[10:47.940 -> 10:49.220] It's it's testing.
[10:49.240 -> 10:50.940] It's a lot of tinkering.
[10:50.940 -> 10:53.720] It's playing with the data, do this, do that.
[10:53.720 -> 10:57.640] Don't sometimes you don't even go full out on a lap because they just
[10:57.640 -> 10:59.200] maybe want to try one corner.
[10:59.320 -> 11:00.880] Um, so yeah.
[11:01.400 -> 11:01.640] Yeah.
[11:01.720 -> 11:07.040] And even on one of the wins were, uh, both both the stick at one that was on the, the rainy.
[11:07.040 -> 11:14.360] So you can't count that if you will, but yeah, well, let's, let's go on Jinx.
[11:14.360 -> 11:15.360] What's going on, man?
[11:15.360 -> 11:16.360] Not much.
[11:16.360 -> 11:20.860] I had a good weekend last week.
[11:20.860 -> 11:27.000] Went four and one for a quick recap. The pick I gave out on the pod was back of the grid,
[11:27.000 -> 11:31.000] Sonota over Latifi, and that was open at 225,
[11:31.000 -> 11:36.000] but we really went to the back of the grid because Sonota had a pit start,
[11:36.000 -> 11:39.000] but Latifi had an expected race.
[11:39.000 -> 11:42.000] The late movement on that Saturday night,
[11:42.000 -> 11:46.980] folks obviously knew that Latifi had a pit start, went to minus one 15.
[11:46.980 -> 11:50.040] So always got, I mean, sometimes, you know, it's good to wait.
[11:50.140 -> 11:51.040] Uh, I jumped it.
[11:51.040 -> 11:54.980] I thought it would move opposite, but you had a little bit of a rough
[11:54.980 -> 11:57.400] Saturday, but still cached, um, Friday.
[11:57.400 -> 12:01.460] I went Russell over Hamilton in FB one, got a little bit lucky there.
[12:01.480 -> 12:05.400] Hamilton was faster, but Russell had a soft run.
[12:05.920 -> 12:08.560] And then in the race, I took a loss on Norris over Alonzo.
[12:08.600 -> 12:11.880] I think almost everyone in the group did on that one.
[12:11.920 -> 12:14.640] Um, we just judged the bet wrong.
[12:14.640 -> 12:17.740] We didn't realize Norris was going to take an engine penalty.
[12:17.740 -> 12:20.560] So, I mean, we were down 15 spots on the grid to start.
[12:20.560 -> 12:23.600] So barring an Alonzo retirement, that wasn't going to win.
[12:24.100 -> 12:26.480] And then I hit, um hit Magnuson over Latifi
[12:26.480 -> 12:33.040] pretty easy and Gasly over Albon so two pretty easy bets there. This week for I'm looking again
[12:33.040 -> 12:38.240] towards practice I'm looking at Albon over Mick Schumacher. I don't know if this is actually
[12:38.240 -> 12:45.520] available anymore because I checked today and it wasn't there but I know I put it out, I believe Monday it was
[12:45.520 -> 12:52.720] Albon over Schumacher at minus 125 on MGM. And this has hit 10 of the 11 FP1s this year.
[12:52.720 -> 12:57.440] The two times that hasn't hit, one was Silverstone when it was range-wrenched and
[12:57.440 -> 13:02.480] Albon didn't even post a lap. So I don't, I mean, technically it's a loss, but I don't know if you
[13:02.480 -> 13:05.080] really want to count that because he never turned a lap.
[13:07.720 -> 13:13.700] Then the other was MLO, which was another range or in session. So if you look at just the dry FB ones, Albon's 10 and O person, and this was a
[13:13.700 -> 13:19.320] track that even Mazipan showed a little bit of an edge towards Mick at this track
[13:19.320 -> 13:19.800] last year.
[13:19.800 -> 13:23.800] So looking to fade Mick throughout the weekend, but we'll take Albon who's
[13:24.120 -> 13:25.600] really been underrated
[13:25.600 -> 13:26.600] at this point of the year.
[13:26.600 -> 13:30.920] Oh, I, yeah, I mean, this was a good line actually.
[13:30.920 -> 13:34.000] Uh, and you said this was for the race album over Mick.
[13:34.000 -> 13:37.560] For FP one for FP one.
[13:37.560 -> 13:38.560] Okay.
[13:38.560 -> 13:39.560] Yeah.
[13:39.560 -> 13:48.600] Cause like I said, only he's 10 and oh, in the dry sessions. Um, there was one time that Imola where he did lose and then Silverstone, he
[13:48.600 -> 13:50.480] didn't even come out of the garage.
[13:50.480 -> 13:55.120] So I don't really count that as a loss, but the book would grade it as a loss.
[13:55.800 -> 14:01.800] And you know, who else tells you on that is the goat, Tom, the man, he actually
[14:01.800 -> 14:04.520] loved it so much that he dropped in on that bed.
[14:05.160 -> 14:07.120] Um, so yeah, that's a good one.
[14:07.200 -> 14:07.960] I like that one.
[14:09.360 -> 14:10.920] Um, any other thoughts though?
[14:10.920 -> 14:15.160] What, any thoughts on, uh, on this weekend and what you expect with our, our boy
[14:15.160 -> 14:16.800] Gasly, I just have to ask you that.
[14:17.280 -> 14:17.520] Yeah.
[14:17.520 -> 14:21.760] Um, I saw a look, um, that he's in a group, I believe it's versed.
[14:21.840 -> 14:23.960] Akon is the leader in that group.
[14:23.960 -> 14:25.400] He's minus one 15. Let me pull it up right here. I know Gasly, Icon is the leader in that group. He's minus 115.
[14:25.400 -> 14:26.440] Let me pull it up right here.
[14:26.440 -> 14:29.480] I know Gasly, I believe is six to one in the group.
[14:30.400 -> 14:32.080] Yeah, here we go.
[14:32.080 -> 14:34.320] Ocon's the leader in the group at minus 118,
[14:34.320 -> 14:36.760] Ricardo plus 175, Gasly six to one,
[14:36.760 -> 14:39.160] and Magnuson seven and a half to one.
[14:39.160 -> 14:40.080] That's some decent value.
[14:40.080 -> 14:41.520] That's on Canby Books right now,
[14:41.520 -> 14:44.520] which is bet reverse, uni bet,
[14:44.520 -> 14:46.240] twins fires, and Barstool.
[14:46.600 -> 14:49.760] And it could vary depending on your state in the United States.
[14:49.760 -> 14:52.280] Or I know Canby is also worldwide.
[14:52.280 -> 14:55.080] But Gasly last year qualified for finished fourth.
[14:55.440 -> 14:58.840] So this is a track like the street courses where he does like him.
[14:59.960 -> 15:02.440] So you never know what you're going to get without the tour.
[15:02.640 -> 15:03.600] Yeah, you don't.
[15:03.600 -> 15:07.120] And actually, I'll make just one quick comment because I just spotted
[15:07.120 -> 15:08.680] this before we jumped on the pod.
[15:09.320 -> 15:12.900] And it really is enticing me, but it's not a pick.
[15:12.900 -> 15:17.000] It's just something that is throwing it out there for everyone to, to chew on here.
[15:17.400 -> 15:24.600] Uh, constructor head to head for the race, Aston Martin over Alpha Tori minus one 15.
[15:28.300 -> 15:32.400] I I'm, I'm really leaning towards making that bet. I don't often do those, but, uh, I asked him, Martin has been
[15:32.400 -> 15:33.500] showing some progress.
[15:33.500 -> 15:38.000] They're showing some sign of life, but again, we'll save that for another,
[15:38.100 -> 15:42.400] uh, another time, maybe in the discord, but let's go to, uh, let's go to
[15:42.400 -> 15:45.160] our man, our, our one and only lights
[15:45.240 -> 15:48.440] out F1 bets what's going on now, man.
[15:49.360 -> 15:50.720] Hey, thanks for having me back.
[15:50.920 -> 15:52.760] Good to hear all your lovely voices again.
[15:52.960 -> 15:55.120] I wanted to throw in a few bits, obviously.
[15:55.600 -> 15:56.520] Aston Martin.
[15:56.640 -> 15:58.920] Um, they push, push on Friday.
[15:58.920 -> 16:01.920] It seems like they take their, their FB one and two sessions a little more
[16:01.920 -> 16:06.760] seriously, they're, they're looking for, um, some sort of data there, uh, related to their
[16:06.760 -> 16:10.360] race setup, and then it seems like after that, the rest of the teams try a little
[16:10.360 -> 16:14.920] harder and FP three, and then, uh, as the Martin disappoints on Saturdays and
[16:14.920 -> 16:18.080] qualifying, and then they end up having a pretty good race and there's some good
[16:18.080 -> 16:19.440] discussion in the discord this week.
[16:19.480 -> 16:21.920] Like they're right around that nine to 13 range.
[16:21.960 -> 16:24.400] One of these days, they're going to hit both, both, uh,
[16:24.440 -> 16:25.880] Aston Martin cars for points.
[16:26.400 -> 16:28.340] Uh, I don't know if it's gonna be this weekend, just kind of have to
[16:28.340 -> 16:29.360] hurry up and wait on that one.
[16:29.360 -> 16:35.000] But anyways, just talking about Tegrity's FP1 bet Vettel over Bottas.
[16:35.000 -> 16:35.700] I love that one.
[16:35.760 -> 16:39.020] I actually ended up sprinkling a bit on that right before the show as well.
[16:39.400 -> 16:43.240] Uh, it's, we're not saying that Vettel is necessarily better than Bottas.
[16:43.240 -> 16:44.880] That is going to beat them every session.
[16:44.880 -> 16:49.620] It just comes down to team philosophy in terms of, um, how they prioritize
[16:49.620 -> 16:51.180] collecting data in which sessions.
[16:51.180 -> 16:55.200] And, and the way it works is Aston Martin seems to push harder during
[16:55.200 -> 16:57.180] FP one, whereas alpha Romeo doesn't.
[16:57.200 -> 17:02.720] So, um, alpha Romeo, I may know, like my, my first bet of the show is both
[17:02.720 -> 17:06.200] alpha Romeo's to, to classify basically just to finish the race.
[17:06.200 -> 17:08.160] It's a pretty straightforward proposition.
[17:08.600 -> 17:11.640] Um, but the book is a floating now and out of minus one 65.
[17:11.640 -> 17:16.080] And the thinking is alpha Romeo, you know, ever since their, their, um,
[17:16.160 -> 17:19.780] DNFs earlier in the season, they're really prioritizing, just not spending
[17:19.780 -> 17:21.780] any more damn money if they can help it at all.
[17:21.780 -> 17:22.840] So when it comes to their.
[17:23.200 -> 17:26.600] Fp one session and really all their Fp sessions, they don't seem to push real
[17:26.600 -> 17:26.900] hard.
[17:26.900 -> 17:30.280] They don't, they're just preserving the car and the engine hours for the race,
[17:30.280 -> 17:30.860] essentially.
[17:30.860 -> 17:34.280] So, um, I think, I think Vettel over Bottas is a good bet.
[17:34.320 -> 17:38.460] I'm a huge fan of that one, but also Alfa Romeo, both cars to finish the race minus
[17:38.460 -> 17:43.320] one 65, we're getting generous odds there because Bottas was the unlucky driver that
[17:43.320 -> 17:48.160] was behind somebody else. Uh, last week, Latifi just basically took a wrong turn,
[17:48.160 -> 17:50.920] skidded out and Bautista had to turn sharp to avoid him.
[17:50.920 -> 17:53.280] So Bautista was back of the grid.
[17:53.600 -> 17:57.320] Like he was like locked in with the rest of those guys starting 14th or 15th.
[17:57.520 -> 18:01.160] And, um, he didn't even get a full race lap in on that engine.
[18:01.160 -> 18:07.880] So his engine engine should be in pristine shape. He should, you should, his engine won't blow on him is the thinking anyway.
[18:07.880 -> 18:12.640] And same as Joe Guan Yu, he hasn't had a reliability DNF in five races now.
[18:12.640 -> 18:18.160] So every single driver on the grid faces a certain degree of, of, um, you know,
[18:18.160 -> 18:22.200] faultless, faultless collision DNF, or they get an accident and it isn't even
[18:22.200 -> 18:27.080] their fault. So there's always a risk of it not hitting, but compared to what the bookies are pricing this at,
[18:27.080 -> 18:29.040] I think this line is mismatched.
[18:29.040 -> 18:31.540] There's always a risk that either of them smack the wall
[18:31.540 -> 18:33.880] or, you know, that Ferrari engine gives out,
[18:33.880 -> 18:35.480] but it seems like at this point in the season,
[18:35.480 -> 18:39.600] Ferrari engines have figured out their reliability issues,
[18:39.600 -> 18:41.200] especially in this cooler European weather.
[18:41.200 -> 18:43.240] So my first bet is both,
[18:43.240 -> 18:45.740] also Romeo's to finish race minus one 65.
[18:45.740 -> 18:49.060] I found that one on Bavada or, uh, it's called bulldog here in Canada.
[18:50.480 -> 18:55.200] Uh, yeah, I think that, uh, that's awesome insight.
[18:55.420 -> 18:57.420] It, it sings to me.
[18:57.440 -> 19:01.560] I just, it's just, uh, one of those things where you, you look at alpha
[19:01.560 -> 19:03.560] roommate and you can't factor like this.
[19:04.120 -> 19:08.360] It's hard to factor when DNS happened and you can maybe count on a trend.
[19:08.800 -> 19:10.240] She can't factor those things.
[19:10.600 -> 19:14.120] They should be performing better in this, in this race.
[19:14.120 -> 19:17.600] So, you know, you know, hopefully they, uh, they actually pull it together, but
[19:17.600 -> 19:19.240] it looks like the odds have been moving.
[19:19.800 -> 19:24.640] I think, uh, it's showing at minus one 80, uh, and you said you got at minus one 65.
[19:24.640 -> 19:26.640] So it's a solid pick.
[19:26.640 -> 19:27.640] It's all about value.
[19:27.640 -> 19:30.320] And that's what we're here for, right?
[19:30.320 -> 19:31.240] Oh, it's down to 180.
[19:31.240 -> 19:32.280] That makes me sad.
[19:34.320 -> 19:35.720] It's borderline unbettable range.
[19:35.720 -> 19:37.640] I'd love to be on the other side of that market
[19:37.640 -> 19:40.280] and bet some other teams not to classify,
[19:40.280 -> 19:41.560] but we'll take that one.
[19:41.560 -> 19:43.480] Yeah, yeah.
[19:43.480 -> 19:45.500] All right, well, so we've run through everyone.
[19:45.500 -> 19:46.860] I guess it's my turn.
[19:46.860 -> 19:48.980] I've thought long and hard about this
[19:48.980 -> 19:51.700] because I actually have two, which I've already bet.
[19:52.980 -> 19:56.420] As you guys know, we've been discussing this all morning
[19:56.420 -> 19:58.940] and I kind of want to throw this one out
[19:58.940 -> 20:00.380] just because it's my biggest bet
[20:00.380 -> 20:02.900] going into the weekend so far.
[20:02.900 -> 20:04.740] So I'll just roll with it.
[20:04.740 -> 20:06.640] I'm pretty sure all of us are on it.
[20:07.360 -> 20:11.680] So I'm happy to pick another one. If you guys disagree that I should pick another one,
[20:11.680 -> 20:18.720] but Russell over Hamilton, uh, before the race, not qualifying or FP. I know we've talked about
[20:18.720 -> 20:26.240] that a lot on, on discord, but for the race, I just think that, um, the odds are just, just set up well for this weekend.
[20:27.020 -> 20:29.000] Uh, we've talked about at length.
[20:29.060 -> 20:31.880] Is he, is Hamilton going to get a PU, uh, penalty?
[20:31.880 -> 20:36.820] We don't know it's possible, but then we learned, Hey, he has an older power unit.
[20:37.460 -> 20:42.800] And all year I've, I've been really tracking Hamilton over Russell and yes,
[20:42.900 -> 20:47.020] Hamilton's driven out of his mind a lot of the times, but there's a
[20:47.020 -> 20:50.820] lot of points in the data where it shows Russell's actually been faster than
[20:50.820 -> 20:54.800] Hamilton and it comes back to Russell has just always been more comfortable
[20:54.800 -> 20:56.280] in his car than Hamilton.
[20:56.680 -> 20:59.040] And there's times that Hamilton just cannot figure it out.
[21:00.000 -> 21:07.280] So going back to this race, I think at the odds plus one 50, the assumption is he goes in maybe,
[21:08.240 -> 21:13.440] maybe he, he loses out to Hamilton and qualifying odds will probably be at 200.
[21:13.440 -> 21:19.760] Okay. Maybe I'll, I'll take a stab at it again. We'll see the data, but seeing how he also raised
[21:19.760 -> 21:25.160] last week, he was actually pretty damn fast at a, at a track like spa.
[21:25.240 -> 21:30.280] And it was kind of making me uncomfortable at one point watching, because as you
[21:30.280 -> 21:34.400] guys know, I had signs at top three and I'm sitting there just sweating at the
[21:34.400 -> 21:36.560] end where I was like, oh my God, he might actually catch him.
[21:37.080 -> 21:41.600] And he ended up fourth on a track where he was two seconds off the pace.
[21:41.600 -> 21:41.920] Right?
[21:41.920 -> 21:44.080] So he's driving out of his mind.
[21:44.080 -> 21:45.360] He's driving really well.
[21:45.400 -> 21:50.160] I like his chances of this line being flipped kind of like last week that we
[21:50.160 -> 21:56.420] had LeClaire, uh, signs and we, you know, at, at the race, the line ended up flipping.
[21:56.420 -> 21:59.280] You could have gotten Charles at plus odds at that point.
[21:59.280 -> 22:00.740] I think the same thing's going to happen.
[22:00.740 -> 22:05.060] And even if it doesn't, I'm still confident that Russell will out qualify
[22:05.060 -> 22:07.800] Hamilton, uh, even without the penalty unit.
[22:07.800 -> 22:10.020] So that's, that's my pick.
[22:10.600 -> 22:13.740] Uh, I do have about two and a half units on it so far.
[22:13.980 -> 22:16.800] So I know the number is dropping.
[22:17.320 -> 22:19.980] Apparently the odds were even dropped off at one point.
[22:20.040 -> 22:23.940] Uh, I think it was DK and, uh, DraftKings and, and MGM.
[22:23.940 -> 22:25.820] So yeah, thoughts on that. and, and MGM. So yeah.
[22:26.240 -> 22:27.000] Thoughts on that.
[22:27.200 -> 22:29.040] Everyone, everyone liked that one.
[22:30.080 -> 22:30.440] Oh yeah.
[22:30.760 -> 22:31.160] Oh yeah.
[22:31.560 -> 22:32.880] Practice speaks for itself.
[22:33.040 -> 22:35.240] You know, I think we're considering that pretty much
[22:35.240 -> 22:37.080] automatic at this point.
[22:37.800 -> 22:41.760] Um, yeah, I think even with a good pony or the, uh, old power unit qualifying
[22:41.760 -> 22:43.880] and race, I don't think, uh, George will have a problem.
[22:44.600 -> 22:44.880] Yeah.
[22:44.880 -> 22:46.920] I think he's been just absolutely solid.
[22:46.920 -> 22:52.440] And, and you, you know, someone asked me that last week on one of the spaces, who
[22:52.440 -> 22:56.440] would, who would you say is the third best driver if it's, if LeClaire is not it.
[22:57.080 -> 23:01.840] And I said, Russell, he's, he's kind of my guy right now, uh, to take over the
[23:01.840 -> 23:05.640] goat, the King Lewis Hamilton lights out absolute favorite.
[23:06.560 -> 23:10.440] So, um, had to throw that, that dig in there guy.
[23:11.720 -> 23:12.920] That's going to be tough, man.
[23:12.920 -> 23:17.880] With, uh, if Russell wins this race, it'll be like 30 points up on Hamilton.
[23:19.200 -> 23:21.840] I know I'm going to, it's going to be very bittersweet.
[23:21.880 -> 23:22.280] All right.
[23:22.320 -> 23:24.840] So we let's move on.
[23:22.000 -> 23:25.080] I'm gonna, it's gonna be very bittersweet. All right, so we, let's move on.
[23:26.120 -> 23:31.120] Let's go through the quick, just round table.
[23:31.160 -> 23:34.280] And let's maybe we give the 30 second on.
[23:34.280 -> 23:36.160] And again, this could be you've already bet it,
[23:36.160 -> 23:39.720] or these are odds that you've been spying
[23:39.720 -> 23:42.440] and you might take it, or it's just got value.
[23:42.440 -> 23:44.260] So I'm just gonna call on someone and you just go,
[23:44.260 -> 23:46.140] give me your like 45 seconds
[23:46.140 -> 23:48.540] should be all, uh, jinx back to you.
[23:48.680 -> 23:48.940] Go.
[23:50.380 -> 23:55.040] Um, like I said, looking at Faden Haas, uh, kind of right in the alpha
[23:55.040 -> 24:00.300] Romeo, um, that's could be available right now, offshore minus one 30.
[24:00.820 -> 24:03.440] If you're on shore, go to MGM it's minus one 40.
[24:04.160 -> 24:09.680] And then for race bets, I did take the Hamilton or Faden Hamilton with Russell.
[24:09.680 -> 24:14.960] Got it at plus 150 over on Fandul.
[24:14.960 -> 24:15.960] Really like that.
[24:15.960 -> 24:21.620] Does it mean even, even if it's, it's old power unit or grid spot, so comfortable both
[24:21.620 -> 24:29.260] ways there. And then I did too. And then I did the I did the FP
[24:29.260 -> 24:37.900] one as well. And then really I mean, I like that Gatsby if if you just look at the data
[24:37.900 -> 24:41.760] from last year, I mean, he didn't really have a good Friday, but fourth on Saturday and
[24:41.760 -> 24:46.300] fourth on Sunday. And I mean, really really he's just facing Elkhorn.
[24:46.300 -> 24:49.820] I mean, unless you're really thinking that mag or Ricardo are going to come out of
[24:49.820 -> 24:52.560] nowhere this week, this is going to be a tough track overtake.
[24:52.560 -> 24:56.160] And we saw Matt as a Bajon and Monica will have great runs.
[24:56.160 -> 24:59.760] So, you know, I, I definitely think six to one's too, too long.
[24:59.760 -> 25:01.680] I might look into playing a half a unit on them.
[25:03.040 -> 25:03.800] Look at that.
[25:04.120 -> 25:04.540] Okay.
[25:04.600 -> 25:06.000] Let's let's keep it going.
[25:06.000 -> 25:07.360] Uh, integrity go.
[25:08.240 -> 25:12.960] Uh, well, I want to bet, of course, everyone wants to bet max, but the value is just not
[25:12.960 -> 25:13.120] there.
[25:13.120 -> 25:14.880] I think it's sitting at minus 200 right now.
[25:15.760 -> 25:20.240] So just to give it a little bit, I'm going with max to win qualifying and the race.
[25:20.240 -> 25:23.360] Um, just coming off the dominance, the dominant performance from last week.
[25:23.920 -> 25:27.720] I just don't see any reason why you would not take Max.
[25:27.720 -> 25:29.760] So just putting a little extra,
[25:29.760 -> 25:31.800] putting the winner to take the win in the qualifying,
[25:31.800 -> 25:33.280] just boost that odds up a little extra,
[25:33.280 -> 25:35.200] get you a little better odds.
[25:35.200 -> 25:38.200] Yeah, and actually I'm glad you brought that up.
[25:38.200 -> 25:40.360] There's, I feel like there is a correlation,
[25:40.360 -> 25:42.900] especially with Max, if he gets a poll,
[25:42.900 -> 25:45.240] I mean, I don't see how anyone can catch him.
[25:45.240 -> 25:47.440] We obviously know he will be ahead.
[25:47.440 -> 25:50.120] So I think that is a good correlation right there.
[25:50.120 -> 25:52.040] I think it was what, plus 120?
[25:52.040 -> 25:53.440] Yeah, plus 120 right now.
[25:53.440 -> 25:54.620] Yeah.
[25:54.620 -> 25:57.480] Yeah, no, I dig that one a lot.
[25:57.480 -> 26:01.080] Okay, Dolcetto, what's yours?
[26:01.080 -> 26:07.340] Well, I want to mention that our buddy, Renade who's not on the call. Oh, yeah
[26:07.340 -> 26:09.340] Yeah, that's not a great pick of
[26:10.440 -> 26:14.900] Charles to be in a top three at the 172. I really love it, too
[26:14.900 -> 26:20.020] I just want to give him the credit because he mentioned at first he did a write-up on a discord. I
[26:20.700 -> 26:23.440] Love that. I think that Charles is gonna have a strong race
[26:23.480 -> 26:24.380] I love that. I think that Charles is gonna have a strong race
[26:30.480 -> 26:30.640] This track suits him as long as engine lasts as we all know how those engines are
[26:36.080 -> 26:38.080] But I have you know me you like it like you know me that I love the juice. I love it I love it. I love it and I did a
[26:38.360 -> 26:44.800] Three leg parlay that pays minus 120, but it's almost unless the world turns upside down
[26:44.920 -> 26:45.760] It can't lose
[26:45.760 -> 26:51.560] right I have max George and Charles to finish in the top 10 for minus 120 it's
[26:51.560 -> 26:57.000] a parlay it's a three driver parlay that's awesome I'm so tell me how that
[26:57.000 -> 27:02.200] loses I mean I hate you for having these parlay options because I would love to
[27:02.200 -> 27:06.440] do that but maybe it's a good thing because I probably be broke somewhere.
[27:06.440 -> 27:09.040] Hey, I waited many years until I got legal in my state.
[27:09.040 -> 27:11.880] So I have suffered a lot.
[27:11.880 -> 27:16.160] So, OK, let's repeat that three leg parlay at minus one 20.
[27:16.560 -> 27:18.320] Max Russell.
[27:18.320 -> 27:22.880] And did you say Charles is the last Charles and Charles to hit top
[27:22.880 -> 27:25.460] 10 at minus one 20, all of them.
[27:25.500 -> 27:29.900] So all you all you need, all you need is them not to suck.
[27:30.200 -> 27:31.860] Just correct. Start right.
[27:31.860 -> 27:35.040] Just start and avoid Pierre Gasly and you're good. That's it.
[27:35.140 -> 27:36.660] Yeah, that's it.
[27:36.660 -> 27:37.800] Don't hit the wall.
[27:37.800 -> 27:42.060] Don't end up in the 172 odds, which is minus one.
[27:42.400 -> 27:44.600] Thirty nine. I think American was
[27:45.480 -> 27:49.620] that is renegades pick. You my for Charles to be in top three
[27:49.720 -> 27:56.480] Yeah, and I think that was minus 175 on pavada, which I was very I was just strongly contemplating that one, too
[27:56.760 -> 28:01.720] Yeah, I'm shocked that their odds were so bad. I mean some books had it even lower and
[28:02.240 -> 28:05.920] Once I saw it at MGM. I grabbed it and he did mention in the
[28:05.920 -> 28:13.040] discord at MGM and B1 they all use the same platform. So that's why I got the same odds as him.
[28:15.040 -> 28:22.720] Just to make that, that's a good point there, Tolchado, is everyone is juicing up Max. I don't
[28:22.720 -> 28:26.880] even see it so much on Perez that the lines on, on LeClaire
[28:26.880 -> 28:32.800] signs, they're obviously moving. I mean, honestly, I'm not saying anyone should go do this, but
[28:32.800 -> 28:36.160] this is the, probably the first time this season that we've seen LeClaire at a plus
[28:36.160 -> 28:42.360] 400 to win odds. So, I mean, it's, it's getting to a point where it's almost ridiculous that
[28:42.360 -> 28:46.900] you, you almost want to take it because if he does get a good qualifying and it actually gets first,
[28:47.200 -> 28:49.200] you know, that's going to, that's going to bump down.
[28:49.600 -> 28:52.800] Uh, again, I'm not saying advocating that anyone take it, but it's
[28:52.800 -> 28:53.720] just food for thought.
[28:54.480 -> 28:56.480] Uh, let's see lights out.
[28:56.480 -> 28:57.180] What do you got?
[28:57.200 -> 28:58.560] What's your second pick?
[28:59.120 -> 28:59.300] Sure.
[28:59.300 -> 29:03.480] So I actually found the goat at a minus one 40 to win somehow on his home
[29:03.480 -> 29:05.360] track and that was a cool bet. So yeah,
[29:05.360 -> 29:09.360] you definitely got to shop around. I mean, considering the blistering pace he's on, it's
[29:10.000 -> 29:16.000] anything south of minus 150. I'm all over. Oh yeah. If you are going to back max, I would say
[29:17.120 -> 29:21.200] maybe wait and see how Friday goes. It seems like Red Bull doesn't prioritize the Friday
[29:22.240 -> 29:27.200] sessions as hard as Friday does. So for, I might be able to fool the bookies to give you, you know,
[29:27.240 -> 29:32.240] some sort of value back or if that doesn't work out for Ari, yeah,
[29:32.240 -> 29:36.240] they, they seem to do better on the one lap timing thing and qualifying. So,
[29:37.280 -> 29:40.840] um, either wait and see if, if the outright odds on max get better,
[29:40.840 -> 29:44.000] if he doesn't get pulled or you can always hop on grid position of winner
[29:44.020 -> 29:45.920] second and hope that it's max.
[29:45.920 -> 29:46.920] Yeah, no.
[29:46.920 -> 29:54.220] And I mean, I guess when we're, we're sticking to this chalk here with max as much as, uh,
[29:54.220 -> 29:57.320] it dreads that I'm talking about it.
[29:57.320 -> 30:00.520] Um, I actually did bet max.
[30:00.520 -> 30:05.160] Um, I think I, let me make sure I have the right bet here.
[30:05.480 -> 30:11.080] Yes. Max to win the race by 10, 10 plus seconds where I did grab it at plus one 75.
[30:11.460 -> 30:13.620] I think it's now down to plus one 50.
[30:14.080 -> 30:20.640] Um, I mean, just, just, I've just had last week, the, the gap that he had on
[30:20.640 -> 30:22.600] everyone is just absolutely insane.
[30:22.660 -> 30:24.560] I haven't seen that in a while.
[30:22.640 -> 30:22.680] had on everyone is just absolutely insane.
[30:24.560 -> 30:25.440] I haven't seen that in a while.
[30:31.100 -> 30:35.200] It's just, it was a bet that I felt like if he's going to qualify first, he's going to probably run away with it early and just be way ahead of everyone.
[30:35.460 -> 30:38.100] So it's better than taking on that.
[30:38.500 -> 30:41.060] I think it was like minus 200 to, to win the race.
[30:41.060 -> 30:43.820] And if I had the opportunity to bet the minus one 40, that's probably
[30:43.820 -> 30:45.040] where I'd be throwing my money at.
[30:45.740 -> 30:50.020] But instead I took the plus one 75, uh, win the race by 10 seconds.
[30:50.020 -> 30:50.920] Max for stapping.
[30:51.500 -> 30:51.780] Yeah.
[30:51.780 -> 30:56.320] Minus 200 for one guy to win a race is crazy.
[30:56.320 -> 30:57.540] It's crazy town.
[30:57.540 -> 31:01.240] Like we haven't, I haven't seen odds like that since Lewis was dominating
[31:01.240 -> 31:06.160] and you were seeing minus two, 250 or whatever it was.
[31:06.200 -> 31:08.520] I mean, that's just, that's, that's nuts.
[31:09.080 -> 31:11.640] Look, but he doesn't deserve plus 400.
[31:12.080 -> 31:14.540] He doesn't, I mean, it's just, it's crazy.
[31:14.540 -> 31:17.840] I mean, I I'm, I'm seeing, and it's, it's hard because.
[31:18.480 -> 31:22.440] I, part of me wants to say I need, I should fade this, but the data is telling
[31:22.440 -> 31:24.440] me, but not so fast.
[31:24.440 -> 31:29.800] I mean, he's really, really good, but, um, I also let's, let's also remember
[31:30.020 -> 31:33.780] spa is one of the longest tracks has some of the longest streets.
[31:34.360 -> 31:34.860] Sure.
[31:34.860 -> 31:40.880] They had a big gap going into the race, but like by six 10th, but let's not forget,
[31:40.880 -> 31:42.780] this is a much shorter track.
[31:42.780 -> 31:46.800] This should be a little bit better for Ferrari to be a little bit closer in the
[31:46.800 -> 31:52.120] turns. They're much better on the, in the turns with breaking. So I just, let's,
[31:52.120 -> 31:55.440] let's temper the expectations and not think that he's going to win by a
[31:55.440 -> 31:59.760] million, but I couldn't say no to plus one 75 at 10 plus seconds,
[31:59.760 -> 32:07.360] because if he does, that is probably going to be the outcome. So, all right. So let me just quickly,
[32:07.360 -> 32:12.160] I want to kind of go through just a couple of our other guys' bets before we wrap up here.
[32:13.040 -> 32:19.120] Tom, the man actually had a few good bets going in. And I think that our viewers and
[32:19.120 -> 32:28.280] our listeners should know we do have a FP one bet from Thomas, Tom, the man, um, stroll over Gasly
[32:28.400 -> 32:30.780] plus one 10, one unit on MGM.
[32:31.240 -> 32:35.280] Uh, he says stroll beats Gasly FP one last year here, just for what it's worth,
[32:35.600 -> 32:39.760] but more so that, um, as to Martin seems to run a little bit higher in the FP one.
[32:39.760 -> 32:45.120] And the fact that stroll is no worse than 12th is last nine F P ones.
[32:46.020 -> 32:47.540] And I guess Gasly is struggling.
[32:47.540 -> 32:53.180] So again, that's just Tom, the man's pick that he has listed, um, in his, uh, in his
[32:53.180 -> 32:53.640] discord.
[32:53.640 -> 32:57.640] So if you want, join us, you can see these picks live as they're being posted.
[32:58.400 -> 33:01.460] Um, any last thoughts, uh, before we wrap it up,
[33:04.280 -> 33:06.160] let's win some money
[33:06.160 -> 33:08.240] Some of course, of course, man
[33:08.880 -> 33:14.240] Of course. All right. Well, thanks everyone again, please join us in our discord
[33:14.320 -> 33:17.280] We have lots of activity lots of things happening this weekend
[33:17.920 -> 33:20.480] And and going into next week. We got monza too
[33:20.480 -> 33:26.000] So join us in our discord and again our promo code for underdog fantasy is F1MoneyGang.
[33:26.000 -> 33:31.000] Gets you up to a hundred dollars full match at a hundred percent.
[33:31.000 -> 33:34.000] So, all right, we'll see y'all next week.