Podcast: F1 Money Gang
Published Date:
Wed, 26 Jul 2023 19:58:19 -0500
Duration:
33:07
Explicit:
False
Guests:
""
MP3 Audio:
Please note that the summary is generated based on the transcript and may not capture all the nuances or details discussed in the podcast episode.
Check out our website for articles, podcasts, picks and etc. https://www.f1moneygang.com/
Sign up for Betstamp and get access to 50+ sportsbook and best odds using our link: https://betstamp.app/best-sportsbooks/f1moneygang
Make sure you join our Discord with up to date picks and latest F1 news, and discussions : https://discord.gg/qp3Nz3k3Zq
Sign up for Underdog Fantasy and get $100 deposit match: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-lights-out-f1
Join our newest partner : https://get.fanamp.com/F1MG
If you like our content...anything helps for us to continue to bring you the best content to make your informed decisions! https://www.buymeacoffee.com/rluZWkWru8
# Belgian Grand Prix Episode Summary: Odds, Predictions, and Insights
## Introduction
- The Belgian Grand Prix is set to take place at the iconic Spa circuit, known for its challenging layout and unpredictable weather conditions.
- The episode features expert insights from F1 Capper, Jinx, and Lights Out BetsF1, who discuss the race's betting odds and share their predictions.
## Race Odds and Betting Strategies
- The hosts highlight the importance of staying informed about weather updates, as rain could significantly impact the race dynamics and strategies.
- They emphasize the value of utilizing Discord for up-to-date information, expert analysis, and betting tips from the F1 Money Gang community.
## Recommended Bets
### 1. Ferrari Both Drivers Top 10 Finish (-165)
- Lights Out expresses confidence in Ferrari's ability to secure a top-10 finish for both Carlos Sainz and Charles Leclerc, despite their recent struggles.
- He cites Sainz's consistent performance throughout the season and Leclerc's strong pace, excluding a few early-season retirements.
### 2. Carlos Sainz Over Oscar Piastri in FP1 (-120)
- Jinx recommends betting on Carlos Sainz to outperform Oscar Piastri in the first practice session (FP1).
- He points out a trend where Sainz has consistently beaten Piastri in FP1 sessions, while Piastri has had the upper hand in FP2.
### 3. Fernando Alonso Over George Russell in FP1 (-105)
- Jinx suggests betting on Fernando Alonso to finish ahead of George Russell in FP1.
- He notes that Alonso has been outperforming Russell in FP1 sessions, despite Russell's tendency to use FP1 for testing purposes.
### 4. Ocon Over Gasly in FP1 (-121)
- Lights Out identifies a betting opportunity on Esteban Ocon to beat Pierre Gasly in FP1.
- He highlights a historical trend where Ocon has dominated Gasly in FP1 sessions, while Gasly has had the advantage in FP2.
### 5. Max Verstappen to Win Qualifying (-200)
- Lights Out strongly recommends betting on Max Verstappen to secure the fastest qualifying time.
- He believes that Verstappen's dominance and the track's suitability for Red Bull make him a strong favorite for pole position.
### 6. Hulkenberg Over Magnussen in the Race (-167)
- Jinx suggests betting on Nico Hulkenberg to finish ahead of Kevin Magnussen in the race.
- He acknowledges that the odds are not as favorable as last week's Haas matchup, but he still sees value in backing Hulkenberg's consistent performance over Magnussen.
## Additional Insights and Observations
- The hosts discuss the impact of the new Pirelli tires introduced mid-season, acknowledging that they have added complexity and variability to race strategies.
- They emphasize the importance of flexibility and adaptability in betting strategies, given the ever-changing nature of Formula One racing.
- The episode concludes with a reminder to join the F1 Money Gang Discord server for access to exclusive insights, picks, and discussions.
In this episode, the hosts discussed strategies and insights for making informed bets on the upcoming Formula One Grand Prix. They emphasized the importance of staying informed about the latest news and developments, such as team upgrades and driver performance.
They cautioned against placing bets too early, as unexpected events during qualifying or the sprint race could impact the outcome. The hosts suggested focusing on head-to-head matchups, paying attention to tire choices and weather conditions, and considering the potential impact of upgrades on team performance.
They also highlighted the importance of joining the Discord channel to access live betting updates, stats, and discussions. The hosts mentioned that Mercedes and McLaren have been reliable performers in head-to-head bets, and they advised listeners to keep an eye on these teams.
Additionally, they provided a NASCAR betting tip, recommending Joey Logano over Chase Elliott at Richmond Raceway. The hosts explained that Logano has a better average running position at Richmond and has performed well on short tracks.
The episode concluded with a reminder to join the Discord channel for further insights and live betting during the race weekend.
[00:00.000 -> 00:07.400] Welcome to the F1 Money Gang podcast, where we are discussing the odds for the Belgian
[00:07.400 -> 00:08.400] Grand Prix.
[00:08.400 -> 00:15.520] I'm your host, F1 Capper, sitting down with the Sharps, Sir Jinx Eugene, aka Jinx, or
[00:15.520 -> 00:21.960] Jinxy sometimes that we call him, and our fearless leader, Lights Out, BetsF1.
[00:21.960 -> 00:22.960] Welcome guys.
[00:22.960 -> 00:26.080] Glad that we finally got you on the podcast.
[00:26.080 -> 00:27.880] I feel like it's been a while, huh?
[00:28.960 -> 00:30.040] Yeah, man, it's good to be back.
[00:30.040 -> 00:32.760] Got the B squad up to bat today.
[00:32.760 -> 00:33.600] The B squad.
[00:34.520 -> 00:36.480] Oh man, that's not true.
[00:36.480 -> 00:38.520] We got, you know, it's just like hockey.
[00:38.520 -> 00:40.080] You know, you got your top two lines.
[00:40.080 -> 00:40.920] We need both.
[00:40.920 -> 00:42.920] So you guys are line one or two.
[00:42.920 -> 00:44.640] It doesn't matter.
[00:44.640 -> 00:46.080] Yeah, Jinx, what's going on, dude?
[00:47.680 -> 00:53.920] Not much. Kind of down a couple of weeks. I was going to come back on last week. I think I
[00:54.480 -> 00:59.040] was here Austria, I skipped Austria, but Austria was the first week that I lost money.
[01:00.000 -> 01:07.200] Was down about a unit for Austria and then just a total disaster. I won my FP1 play in Silverstone
[01:07.200 -> 01:13.440] and then I think I went 0-6 in the race. So I was down like 12 units. So that put me below 100 units
[01:14.000 -> 01:24.480] for the year. Had a decent race weekend last week. Was up close to about four units total.
[01:28.160 -> 01:34.400] week was up close to about four units total. Doing the math though, just my kryptonite this year is fading George Russell. I took him no top eight and I lost five units on that. And then I
[01:34.400 -> 01:39.200] had two and a half units fading him with signs. So that's just my kryptonite this year is fading
[01:39.200 -> 01:45.620] George Russell. Or if I bet on him, whenever I bet on him, like either good or bad, like I play him or I fade him,
[01:45.620 -> 01:46.680] just always a loss.
[01:46.680 -> 01:50.480] And then I got my weekly LeClaire loss in too.
[01:50.480 -> 01:52.440] I played him over Norris.
[01:52.440 -> 01:55.240] I think I went eight and four over the weekend.
[01:55.240 -> 01:57.200] In the race, I went seven and four.
[01:57.200 -> 01:59.840] But positive, you still got positive.
[01:59.840 -> 02:00.680] Yeah, I mean.
[02:00.680 -> 02:02.160] I say, isn't that the, yeah, you know, like.
[02:02.160 -> 02:03.360] Yeah, I mean.
[02:03.360 -> 02:06.640] Can't go broke booking profits is what I say.
[02:06.640 -> 02:09.800] I'm up about like 105 units on the year.
[02:09.800 -> 02:12.000] 40 of that is hitting a clear pole,
[02:12.000 -> 02:15.520] but still, I mean, that's plus 65 units.
[02:15.520 -> 02:19.120] And I mean, just the overall record too
[02:19.120 -> 02:23.900] is doing really good at them at 68 and 51.
[02:23.900 -> 02:27.160] So that is good for about, I think 60%, right?
[02:27.160 -> 02:28.480] Well, let me tell you this.
[02:28.480 -> 02:31.760] It's definitely really, I think you're the top performer.
[02:31.760 -> 02:33.960] Yeah, I'm at 60, 60.5%.
[02:33.960 -> 02:36.000] So, I mean, I'm hitting it in the units
[02:36.000 -> 02:38.520] and I'm hitting it in the consistency ball game.
[02:38.520 -> 02:39.360] Yeah, top.
[02:39.360 -> 02:40.920] And if you guys were here last year,
[02:40.920 -> 02:42.720] you know, this is, we've been doing the pod
[02:42.720 -> 02:46.760] for about a year, you know, just had to change up a lot of stuff.
[02:46.760 -> 02:48.920] Silverstone, kind of went back to the old ways,
[02:48.920 -> 02:52.760] bet some Haas, bet some Yuki Tsunoda.
[02:52.760 -> 02:55.880] And you know, that's just a losing recipe.
[02:55.880 -> 02:56.960] Yeah, yeah.
[02:56.960 -> 03:01.360] Well, it is the top units of the F1 Money Gang.
[03:02.640 -> 03:04.920] But you know what, you know, we move on.
[03:04.920 -> 03:07.440] We got one more race before, what, three weeks
[03:07.440 -> 03:15.120] off, but before we get started, I do want to give a shout out to Underdog Fantasy, one of our partners.
[03:15.760 -> 03:21.920] Again, we have a promo code F1 Money Gang, 100% deposit match if you use the link or just the
[03:21.920 -> 03:26.220] promo code F1 Money Gang. Also, quick shout out to our partners Fanamp,
[03:26.220 -> 03:29.220] where basically it's the one-stop shop app for everything,
[03:29.220 -> 03:32.020] all things F1, we are in there.
[03:32.020 -> 03:35.620] F1MoneyGang is the one and only betting pick-ems
[03:35.620 -> 03:36.940] and sites in there.
[03:36.940 -> 03:39.800] And then lastly, Grid Rivals.
[03:39.800 -> 03:40.980] Thank you to those guys.
[03:40.980 -> 03:43.260] They have one of the best motorsports fantasy apps
[03:43.260 -> 03:48.320] out on the planet. So yeah, so Belgium Grand Prix
[03:48.400 -> 03:54.280] Prix P Grand Prix. Spa, man, one of my favorite tracks probably
[03:54.280 -> 03:57.960] said that a million times, you got to see to see three, see four
[03:57.960 -> 04:03.840] compound, long track. You know, this one's gonna be tough. We've
[04:03.840 -> 04:08.800] been scouring the weather reports and it's looking like there's going to be some rain.
[04:08.800 -> 04:09.740] We don't know when.
[04:09.740 -> 04:14.420] Some are saying there's no rain on Friday during the practice session in QALY,
[04:14.420 -> 04:17.260] but it looks like rain is going to be a factor.
[04:17.520 -> 04:23.120] Low downforce track, that can change, especially if you have rain,
[04:23.120 -> 04:25.280] because that might throw a wrench into how these
[04:25.280 -> 04:30.880] cars get set up. And then yes, I should say this is a sprint weekend. Probably the most important
[04:30.880 -> 04:37.280] information on for this whole thing which is so you have Friday only one free practice session
[04:37.280 -> 04:43.760] then the qualifying right after which is to set the grid for Sunday. Then Saturday is a sprint
[04:43.760 -> 04:47.440] shootout which is going to set the grid for the sprint Then Saturday is a sprint shootout, which is gonna set the grid for the sprint race
[04:47.440 -> 04:49.500] right after a couple hours after.
[04:49.500 -> 04:52.640] So just in case you weren't aware for the format.
[04:52.640 -> 04:55.500] So let's go ahead and just dive into it.
[04:55.500 -> 05:00.160] So Lights, man, it's been a while, man.
[05:00.160 -> 05:03.080] What's on your mind for this weekend?
[05:03.080 -> 05:04.120] Yeah, it's good to be back, man.
[05:04.120 -> 05:06.160] As you were talking, I was just thinking about how,
[05:07.200 -> 05:11.360] you know, it's pretty clear, like between the new Pirelli tires midway through the season,
[05:11.360 -> 05:15.600] experimenting different qualifying formats on the hard, medium, soft, and then thrown in a sprint
[05:15.600 -> 05:21.440] the following weekend. It just seems clear that, you know, F1 as a brand is prioritizing, changing
[05:21.440 -> 05:25.820] it up and getting some different outcomes. They clearly don't want to see just, you know, red bull followed
[05:25.820 -> 05:27.780] by Mercedes followed by Ferrari.
[05:28.140 -> 05:30.080] They want to see a change up in the back of the grid.
[05:30.080 -> 05:33.700] And, and, uh, it's, you know, it's just becoming a very much an
[05:33.700 -> 05:36.860] entertainment brand as opposed to letting the engineers sit down
[05:36.860 -> 05:39.260] and dial in on, on a solid data.
[05:39.440 -> 05:41.240] And we're starting to see that as better as too, we need to
[05:41.240 -> 05:43.040] be adjustable and flexible.
[05:43.040 -> 05:48.800] The things we are seeing trends on, you know, things like the price pit prize, picks, pit stops. We're starting to find good success
[05:48.800 -> 05:54.320] there. Um, when six of seven last weekend, the overs went 12 of six that went exactly as
[05:54.320 -> 05:57.840] predicted. We've seen trends like that play out all season long. And that is one thing
[05:58.720 -> 06:01.440] that seems to be consistent. There's always going to be a race and there's always going to be a pit
[06:01.440 -> 06:05.840] stop. So I'll start there. Uh, You mentioned the underdog fantasy signup bonus.
[06:05.840 -> 06:09.800] So usually prize picks and underdog come out with their, their player lines.
[06:09.840 -> 06:14.000] Um, Like, you know, tomorrow or Thursday prize pixel roll out a couple.
[06:14.000 -> 06:16.640] And then usually on Friday, underdog will start to roll some
[06:16.640 -> 06:18.140] out after they have FP one data.
[06:18.520 -> 06:21.840] But in the meantime, the three price picks first pit stops.
[06:21.840 -> 06:27.780] We like so far are the cleric over 2.45 seconds, Norris under 2.6 and
[06:27.780 -> 06:29.480] Hamilton over 2.8 seconds.
[06:29.480 -> 06:32.000] Those are ranked in order of how much I like them.
[06:32.460 -> 06:35.180] Um, yeah, just based on the trend, we're seeing that the offers are
[06:35.180 -> 06:37.680] hitting roughly 60, 67% of the time.
[06:37.680 -> 06:39.580] I like to give out, uh, the.
[06:39.980 -> 06:42.260] Overplays in, in a similar ratio.
[06:42.260 -> 06:43.780] So you've got two overs and one under there.
[06:44.260 -> 06:47.040] Um, yeah, we'll hopefully, you know, ride the fire.
[06:47.040 -> 06:48.920] We'll probably do for some variance on that one,
[06:48.920 -> 06:50.480] but six to seven last week.
[06:50.480 -> 06:52.080] So if you mix and match those properly,
[06:52.080 -> 06:53.640] have some other sports you want to pair them with,
[06:53.640 -> 06:55.000] you should be in the profit.
[06:55.000 -> 06:56.640] Nice, yeah.
[06:56.640 -> 06:58.640] Yeah, the pit stops were actually really crazy.
[06:58.640 -> 07:00.800] And I do want to just make a quick comment on that.
[07:00.800 -> 07:04.400] Yes, the variables have been absolutely wild.
[07:04.400 -> 07:05.280] Every weekend, it seems like we have to factor something new, like last week with the tires shifting, comment on that. Yes, the variables have been absolutely wild every weekend. It
[07:05.280 -> 07:08.800] seems like we have to factor something new like last week with the tires
[07:08.800 -> 07:14.920] shifting. You mentioned the Pirelli tires introduction after Silverstone and I did
[07:14.920 -> 07:18.840] make a comment on that on Twitter saying like this like the last race was one of
[07:18.840 -> 07:23.880] the hardest races for me to just just figure out. It was hard. It was super hard
[07:23.880 -> 07:26.440] and it just seems like that this season,
[07:26.440 -> 07:30.360] it's been one of the probably more complex seasons
[07:30.360 -> 07:32.760] I've had with this because of those variables.
[07:32.760 -> 07:35.120] You have sprint, the changing of the quality formats
[07:35.120 -> 07:35.940] and all that fun stuff.
[07:35.940 -> 07:38.100] So yeah, definitely harder.
[07:38.100 -> 07:39.600] But that's why we're here, right?
[07:39.600 -> 07:41.520] Like you said, we adapt and we move
[07:41.520 -> 07:43.680] and we've still been profitable.
[07:43.680 -> 07:48.160] So yeah, all right, Jinx, man,
[07:48.720 -> 07:59.440] I know you got some plays. Yeah, nothing for the race. Just so much can happen with the sprint
[07:59.440 -> 08:04.560] format. We've seen it. I mean, not so much this year. I don't think we had anything about coup.
[08:03.160 -> 08:04.740] Um, we've seen it, I mean, not so much this year. I don't think we had anything about who.
[08:05.480 -> 08:06.860] Austria was pretty clean.
[08:06.860 -> 08:12.320] I know Norris slid down the grid, but he didn't have any damage.
[08:12.940 -> 08:14.720] So we're just going with some practice place.
[08:14.760 -> 08:16.760] Um, I have two posted right now.
[08:17.400 -> 08:23.280] Um, and the first one is, uh, I mean, we've had 11 races, but technically
[08:23.280 -> 08:29.000] we've only had 10 free practice ones. Unless you want to count Canada where, you know, I think the
[08:29.000 -> 08:31.960] most was done with two laps before the power went out.
[08:32.320 -> 08:35.840] Um, so this is eight and two, um, in the 10 FPs.
[08:36.240 -> 08:39.560] Um, and really it's, if you look deep into it, it's undefeated.
[08:39.680 -> 08:42.800] Um, it lost last week and then it lost at Miami.
[08:43.120 -> 08:45.660] Um, but it's Fernando Alonso over George Russell.
[08:46.580 -> 08:49.640] It's at minus 105 on BWIN or MGM.
[08:49.640 -> 08:51.160] And the two times it's lost,
[08:51.160 -> 08:53.640] Russell has won the free practice
[08:53.640 -> 08:55.000] and he won the free practice
[08:55.000 -> 08:57.080] because he was one of the last cars out.
[08:57.080 -> 08:59.840] So, Alonso's been having the faster car
[08:59.840 -> 09:01.720] in free practice one.
[09:01.720 -> 09:04.240] Their car has declined in performance,
[09:04.240 -> 09:05.600] but free practice one's still car has, you know, declined in performance, but free practice one still,
[09:05.600 -> 09:11.200] you know, a test session, and more so this year, Russell has been, you know, using that as a test
[09:11.200 -> 09:20.160] session. His free practice result on the season is a 9.2. And, you know, Alonzo is a 4.7. So I mean,
[09:20.160 -> 09:26.640] that's a four and a half point, you know, average that we're getting better and they're pricing it at a minus, minus one Oh five.
[09:26.640 -> 09:31.920] When I think it was, I know it was that Silverstone and I believe it was minus one 20.
[09:31.920 -> 09:38.040] I didn't, maybe it might've been minus one 35, but definitely some value on Alonzo there.
[09:38.040 -> 09:42.680] It's free practice one, I mean, I'll definitely wouldn't bet it in the race.
[09:42.680 -> 09:46.200] But just, you know, it seems like Alonzo knows what he wants right out of the box, you know, the
[09:46.200 -> 09:49.680] cars come in more setup. And George, you know, a lot of times
[09:49.680 -> 09:54.120] we haven't even seen Mercedes run soft tires in FB1. Now, this
[09:54.120 -> 09:56.360] is a little bit different, you know, we're having spring, but
[09:56.600 -> 09:57.520] hopefully that hits.
[09:58.360 -> 10:02.040] Yeah, no, you're definitely right. Like that trend.
[10:03.120 -> 10:07.760] Mercedes likes to do their like high fuel load test throughout,
[10:07.760 -> 10:10.760] and then sometimes they'll just go out, slap the softs,
[10:10.760 -> 10:13.240] and Alonzo is just basically topping Russell
[10:13.240 -> 10:14.240] most of the time if-
[10:14.240 -> 10:16.720] Yeah, and I believe, I know it was Baku,
[10:16.720 -> 10:19.480] but I believe it was same deal at Astra.
[10:19.480 -> 10:20.320] Also-
[10:20.320 -> 10:21.140] Russell was in the bottom five.
[10:21.140 -> 10:25.640] Also, Aston is gonna to bring an upgrade. I
[10:25.640 -> 10:28.240] don't know how much to read into it. There's also been like a lot
[10:28.240 -> 10:31.280] of talk about the new Pirelli tires and whatnot, and how
[10:31.280 -> 10:34.920] that's really drastically impacted. As the Martin I know
[10:34.920 -> 10:37.960] it's it's benefited and hurt some teams. So we do know that.
[10:38.920 -> 10:42.480] But I think as we get through the season, they're going to
[10:42.800 -> 10:49.160] they're going to adapt. So hopefully this is the time they adapt they adapt but hey that's a free money Friday pick right there boom
[10:49.160 -> 10:55.120] there was one so you've you've taken next spot this week for a free money
[10:55.120 -> 10:58.680] free money with Friday picks so there you go yeah I mean actually I mean I had
[10:58.680 -> 11:02.520] you know it was a running joke you know I went into retirement for free practice
[11:02.520 -> 11:07.060] one and for Silverstone that was my first free practice play since I believe Jetta.
[11:07.720 -> 11:13.680] I mean, I don't have the non teammate head to head yet, but honestly, yes,
[11:13.680 -> 11:15.600] I do like that.
[11:15.600 -> 11:17.780] If I can get it at minus one oh five even.
[11:17.780 -> 11:19.700] Yeah, I'll totally jump on that.
[11:19.700 -> 11:20.160] All right.
[11:20.160 -> 11:23.240] So for me, this has been tough.
[11:23.940 -> 11:27.440] I but the number I've been just stuck on this
[11:27.440 -> 11:30.240] the entire week, it just makes sense.
[11:30.240 -> 11:35.240] But it's painful for me to say this, it's a Ferrari bet.
[11:35.720 -> 11:37.960] It is both Ferraris top 10.
[11:38.840 -> 11:43.320] Right now, I think it's at like minus 165 on Bovada.
[11:43.320 -> 11:47.280] It's just that everyone is basically said,
[11:47.280 -> 11:50.440] McLaren, they're better, second best team,
[11:50.440 -> 11:52.200] books are adjusting to it,
[11:52.200 -> 11:55.360] Ferrari just underperforming, they're doing bad.
[11:55.360 -> 11:58.260] We all know how that story goes with them,
[11:58.260 -> 12:01.560] just strategy, teams, just everything, just chaos.
[12:01.560 -> 12:06.000] However, for a top 10 bet, you're giving me minus 165.
[12:06.000 -> 12:08.000] That is actually pretty good.
[12:08.000 -> 12:10.000] And here's some stats.
[12:10.000 -> 12:18.000] I mean, to kind of back that up, I think it is Carlos Sainz has had only one classification below 10th spot.
[12:18.000 -> 12:20.000] I think that was Australia.
[12:20.000 -> 12:22.000] And that was after a penalty, too.
[12:22.000 -> 12:25.320] Like, I think he had the the penalty which brought him back down.
[12:25.320 -> 12:29.660] So he technically has been in the top 10 the entire season.
[12:29.660 -> 12:32.380] And then for Charles Leclerc,
[12:32.380 -> 12:35.260] he did have two retirements early in the season.
[12:35.260 -> 12:38.500] So if you remove those, you can't really predict retirements,
[12:38.500 -> 12:41.220] but remove that out of the way, he's only had one,
[12:42.140 -> 12:44.660] one race where he was outside the top 10.
[12:44.660 -> 12:48.280] He was 11th place in Spain, which he did drive like a donkey.
[12:48.280 -> 12:51.760] So I hate betting Ferrari.
[12:51.760 -> 12:52.880] I really do.
[12:52.880 -> 12:56.440] It's hard to bet them, but that number was too good.
[12:56.440 -> 12:59.980] The market, basically, Bilo situation on Ferrari here,
[13:01.100 -> 13:02.100] they should do fine.
[13:02.100 -> 13:04.880] This is a track that, like, they should get in the top 10.
[13:04.880 -> 13:07.520] There's no reason why both of them should not be in the top 10.
[13:07.520 -> 13:12.720] So yeah, a mean performance, an average performance from both those drivers.
[13:12.720 -> 13:16.240] You should be. That's all you need. That's all you need. And they've shown it on their stats.
[13:16.240 -> 13:22.160] So I expect that they will, they will get there. So yeah, that I, and I hate to do it this early,
[13:22.160 -> 13:25.480] but that was the one that really jumped out on me.
[13:25.480 -> 13:27.760] Before we get on to some other plays,
[13:27.760 -> 13:31.860] I did want to call out a few that were being bet.
[13:31.860 -> 13:33.920] So I do want to shout out to Mac.
[13:33.920 -> 13:36.080] He did place a bet today.
[13:36.080 -> 13:40.960] Winning margin, 20 plus seconds at plus 125.
[13:42.360 -> 13:44.660] Yeah, he thinks that the margin is going to be
[13:44.660 -> 13:47.840] 20 plus seconds for the race, and probably
[13:47.840 -> 13:55.920] for good reason. Red Bull and Max are in a rocket ship. And then our one and only Renegade,
[13:55.920 -> 14:03.840] he has a sprint bet. Is it sprint? Yeah, it is sprint. Double podium, Red Bull, even money,
[14:03.840 -> 14:07.760] one unit. So you got a couple more plays there from our panel.
[14:07.760 -> 14:09.280] There's a lot more, actually.
[14:09.280 -> 14:12.040] I could go through the list, but get into Discord.
[14:12.040 -> 14:15.240] You'll be able to see everyone's picks as they're being placed.
[14:15.240 -> 14:16.080] So yeah.
[14:17.440 -> 14:19.040] Well, let's go back around.
[14:19.040 -> 14:22.560] So Lights, what else is on your mind for Belgium?
[14:23.400 -> 14:30.080] While you're on the topic of Discord, I can't underscore enough how important it is to download Discord,
[14:30.080 -> 14:33.800] get your username set up and get into our F1 Money Gang Discord,
[14:33.800 -> 14:34.920] because it's just invaluable.
[14:34.920 -> 14:37.600] If you're not in there, it's costing you money at this point.
[14:37.600 -> 14:42.200] We had the Bet365 line maker in there this morning doing an informal
[14:42.200 -> 14:47.700] ask me anything and telling us how much Vig were on his various lines and showing us some of his models.
[14:47.700 -> 14:48.900] Like it's just absolutely crazy.
[14:48.900 -> 14:53.180] Imagine you're betting, you know, MLB or NFL on your favorite sports book.
[14:53.180 -> 14:55.540] And the line maker on the other side is like, right.
[14:55.540 -> 14:57.060] It is keyboard chatting with you about it.
[14:57.060 -> 14:57.820] It's just crazy.
[14:57.820 -> 14:59.380] And it's absolutely free.
[14:59.380 -> 15:02.500] So I would totally recommend getting on, getting on our discord.
[15:02.580 -> 15:03.900] Um, yeah, it's free.
[15:03.900 -> 15:04.500] It's no cost.
[15:04.500 -> 15:05.200] That's where all the picks are,
[15:05.200 -> 15:12.240] all the explanations are just an absolute money printer. So the, you know, just as I continue to
[15:14.080 -> 15:21.520] suck this guy off, I'll just keep talking. One approach that I'm toying with is more of a top
[15:21.520 -> 15:25.580] down approach. So you find like a true North that has odds that you trust.
[15:25.580 -> 15:26.740] And you say, these are the best odds.
[15:26.740 -> 15:28.280] This guy's a really solid model.
[15:28.280 -> 15:30.460] Then you kind of shop around based on that
[15:30.460 -> 15:31.620] and compare odds against his.
[15:31.620 -> 15:34.640] So that's what I've been experimenting with, with bet 365.
[15:34.640 -> 15:36.580] Usually what happens is he rolls his lines out early
[15:36.580 -> 15:37.420] because he's sharp.
[15:37.420 -> 15:39.380] He feels relatively confident in them.
[15:39.380 -> 15:40.840] Various sharp bettors.
[15:40.840 -> 15:43.020] A lot of them in our discord will bet his early stuff
[15:43.020 -> 15:44.180] and then that'll move his line.
[15:44.180 -> 15:45.700] He'll just kind of follow the money.
[15:45.700 -> 15:48.020] And then he'll adjust them. But in the meantime,
[15:48.500 -> 15:52.420] probably dozens and dozens of copycat books in various States and countries
[15:52.900 -> 15:56.060] have logged in Monday morning to bet three 65s F1 lines,
[15:56.420 -> 16:00.020] the fresh original ones, and just straight up copy and paste of those.
[16:00.380 -> 16:01.700] And they forget they're slow.
[16:01.720 -> 16:05.100] They forget to check again and update the lines based on when he sharpened them.
[16:05.100 -> 16:09.500] So between the line maker and the sharp betters, you get to the true number.
[16:09.500 -> 16:14.000] And usually there's a lot of slow books out there that, you know,
[16:14.000 -> 16:17.000] the odds are way off compared to what's probably close to the true number.
[16:17.000 -> 16:22.100] So one in particular that stood out to me was Ocon over Gasly and FP1.
[16:22.100 -> 16:24.200] That's a trend we saw pop up right away.
[16:24.200 -> 16:28.160] Those two are absolutely weird when it comes to free practice in FP1.
[16:28.160 -> 16:32.160] Ocon has beat Gasly five out of the last five. And then in FP2,
[16:32.160 -> 16:36.560] Gasly has beaten Ocon five out of the last five. It's just extremely weird.
[16:37.280 -> 16:42.240] But anyways, Ocon is priced up to minus 150 elsewhere, including bet 365.
[16:42.260 -> 16:46.640] So if you take out the VIG, the percentage, you know, margin fair that
[16:46.640 -> 16:52.080] the book takes, the true odds are somewhere around 130. So at one minus 121, you get a bit of a free
[16:52.080 -> 16:59.280] roll there, a VIG free roll. And yeah, see if your country or state allows books, my books that have
[16:59.280 -> 17:05.000] it at bet 99 and Betstro, you can go on betstamp.app slash F1 money gang.
[17:05.160 -> 17:09.280] The one is the number one and sort by your state or your country,
[17:09.280 -> 17:11.280] and it will show you exactly what books are available.
[17:11.280 -> 17:16.120] You click on those to sign up for them and get going on some various F1 bets on
[17:16.120 -> 17:18.320] some secondary books and help support our show as well.
[17:18.720 -> 17:24.160] Man. I was, yeah, it was actually pretty awesome seeing bet 365,
[17:24.160 -> 17:25.000] or I'm betting F1.
[17:27.000 -> 17:31.240] He was just giving us everything like talking about it and pretty open about it.
[17:32.480 -> 17:35.320] And yes, Bavada is the one that copies them actually.
[17:35.880 -> 17:39.160] So one of many, one of many, yeah. And that Ocom bet,
[17:39.180 -> 17:43.320] that's the first one I typically like to go to for free practice to see what are
[17:43.320 -> 17:46.360] they pricing it at and they have it out that minus 150.
[17:47.240 -> 17:48.680] They definitely have it there.
[17:48.680 -> 17:51.140] So we'll see if it adjusts.
[17:51.140 -> 17:52.080] Yeah, good intel.
[17:53.280 -> 17:57.280] Jinx, what's your second play?
[17:58.200 -> 18:00.680] Just stick with practice, going with the trends.
[18:01.560 -> 18:04.160] Going with Carlos Sainz over Oscar Piastri.
[18:04.160 -> 18:07.600] I know all the hype is on McLaren. But once again, we're going to the trend, um, going with Carlos signs over Oscar piastri. Um, I know all the hype is on McLaren.
[18:07.680 -> 18:11.760] Um, but once again, you know, we're going to the trend signs season 7.8
[18:11.800 -> 18:16.200] piastri season 11.5, so we're getting about three and a half.
[18:16.340 -> 18:18.520] Um, but it's a sprint weekend.
[18:19.320 -> 18:24.860] You look back at Austria and you look back at Baku and the Ferraris are really
[18:24.860 -> 18:25.200] strong in practice and qualifying. at Austria and you look back at Baku and the Ferraris are really strong
[18:25.200 -> 18:26.600] in practice and qualifying.
[18:27.640 -> 18:30.200] You know, this is a more high speed track.
[18:30.200 -> 18:32.040] I know a lot of people are saying, you know,
[18:32.040 -> 18:33.680] the high speed and medium speed corners
[18:33.680 -> 18:37.000] are gonna help the Ferrari or help the McLaren.
[18:37.920 -> 18:40.720] But I mean, you know, who knows all testing wise,
[18:40.720 -> 18:43.280] I just feel like the Ferrari is gonna come out of the box.
[18:43.280 -> 18:46.880] And I mean, we all know the McLaren still doesn't really have that top lane speed.
[18:46.880 -> 18:51.640] So I expect them to struggle in sector one, you know, going up to the DRS Hill.
[18:51.640 -> 18:54.360] So I mean, just one unit play.
[18:54.360 -> 18:58.480] That's a minus 120 still on MGM and B win.
[18:58.480 -> 18:59.480] Nice.
[18:59.480 -> 19:00.800] Yeah, I do like that.
[19:00.800 -> 19:07.900] I mean, I just think everyone is just putting Ferrari in the shitter for good reason, I guess.
[19:07.900 -> 19:12.200] But they're not like that bad to where they,
[19:12.200 -> 19:13.960] I mean, Carlos Sainz, you see them,
[19:13.960 -> 19:15.480] you see him in like LeClerc,
[19:15.480 -> 19:18.560] I was trying to top the sheets every free practice.
[19:18.560 -> 19:20.740] So definitely do dig that.
[19:21.880 -> 19:23.480] I am interested to see how McLaren
[19:23.480 -> 19:27.960] is gonna perform this weekend. I know we got to see it on two different tracks
[19:27.960 -> 19:31.640] from Silverstone like more high speed turns and whatnot to a
[19:31.760 -> 19:37.000] much lower speed track in Hungary. And they look perfect
[19:37.000 -> 19:41.520] in those two. So I am interested to see is that like, really
[19:41.520 -> 19:45.280] legit because now this tracks spa Spa, it gives you everything.
[19:45.280 -> 19:46.760] It's gonna give you high speed,
[19:46.760 -> 19:48.880] it's gonna give you fast cornering,
[19:48.880 -> 19:50.900] it gives you some slow corners as well,
[19:50.900 -> 19:52.180] a couple of slow corners.
[19:52.180 -> 19:55.400] And I feel like this is a real true test
[19:55.400 -> 19:57.020] to a car is this weekend.
[19:57.880 -> 19:58.880] So it should be good.
[20:00.520 -> 20:01.400] You know what guys,
[20:01.400 -> 20:04.960] I honestly do not have a true second pick.
[20:04.960 -> 20:05.000] I've been noodling all over lines. You know what guys, I honestly do not have a true second pick.
[20:05.000 -> 20:07.920] I've been noodling all over lines.
[20:07.920 -> 20:10.280] I also don't have access to a lot of lines,
[20:10.280 -> 20:13.920] even though I've been surfing like MGM and DK.
[20:13.920 -> 20:17.000] I would just say the one that's kind of popping up
[20:17.000 -> 20:20.880] in my eyes right now, and I'm still afraid to take it,
[20:20.880 -> 20:24.880] I do want to kind of see how the weather plays as well,
[20:24.880 -> 20:28.480] over the classified, over 17 and a half for the race.
[20:28.480 -> 20:31.440] It's right now priced at minus 115.
[20:31.440 -> 20:34.760] It's really, I guess, fair value at this point
[20:34.760 -> 20:36.520] because the under is also minus 115.
[20:36.520 -> 20:39.000] And then looking at all the other sites like DK,
[20:39.000 -> 20:42.560] I think has it at minus 120 both ways over under 17
[20:42.560 -> 20:45.280] and a half is going to be minus 120. Same with MGM.
[20:45.880 -> 20:51.020] Um, but yeah, I mean, we've, we've seen it countlessly throughout these races
[20:51.020 -> 20:55.980] that no more than we saw only two DNFs this past weekend, and that was early in
[20:55.980 -> 20:58.900] the race, if they didn't take each other out, we would probably would have
[20:58.900 -> 21:01.080] had 20 classified this last race.
[21:01.120 -> 21:04.500] So, um, I kind of do dig that.
[21:04.540 -> 21:07.200] I just, the one thing that does scare me is the rain.
[21:07.200 -> 21:08.960] I do want to see, is there going to be actually,
[21:08.960 -> 21:11.360] is there actually going to be rain on Sunday?
[21:11.360 -> 21:13.320] Cause then that might shy me away,
[21:13.320 -> 21:16.680] but I right now it's just a lean full disclosure.
[21:16.680 -> 21:17.500] Haven't bet it,
[21:17.500 -> 21:19.300] but that is one that I'm definitely eyeing
[21:19.300 -> 21:21.160] as a bet that I want to take.
[21:21.160 -> 21:22.680] Obviously, as we get closer,
[21:22.680 -> 21:27.440] as I see the weather reports and, you, and given it's a sprint weekend, I
[21:27.440 -> 21:30.220] do like to see the data before everything.
[21:30.220 -> 21:32.000] I will have more confidence in what
[21:32.000 -> 21:33.980] I'm picking as the weekend goes on.
[21:33.980 -> 21:36.520] So going back to Lights Out, getting the Discord,
[21:36.520 -> 21:39.400] you have all the information at the tip of your hand.
[21:39.400 -> 21:41.520] And not only that, we are putting all the data
[21:41.520 -> 21:45.540] and insights as much as we can throughout the week, weekend,
[21:45.540 -> 21:46.980] as we get more information.
[21:49.580 -> 21:53.180] Yeah, so let's just go one last round
[21:53.180 -> 21:58.180] and give me a market that you're maybe eyeing,
[21:58.380 -> 22:00.180] like a lien, like I just gave you,
[22:01.860 -> 22:05.000] or a driver, anything that you're really looking to tackle
[22:06.960 -> 22:09.320] as you start seeing like weather and everything
[22:09.320 -> 22:10.720] kind of come into fruition.
[22:12.140 -> 22:14.680] Yeah, you lights, let's hear from you.
[22:14.680 -> 22:19.160] So you said, Signs has only missed points once all year.
[22:19.160 -> 22:20.320] Yep.
[22:20.320 -> 22:24.000] And there, and how many races, 10 or 11?
[22:24.000 -> 22:29.600] That's, I think we've had three, nine, 11.
[22:29.600 -> 22:30.100] Yeah.
[22:30.480 -> 22:30.980] 11.
[22:31.120 -> 22:32.960] So that's like a minus his points.
[22:34.000 -> 22:34.560] True odds.
[22:34.560 -> 22:37.440] If you're just looking at 2023 is like minus 1,000.
[22:38.240 -> 22:47.280] So yeah, like B win has him haggling down at minus 300, which you hear anything worse than minus 200
[22:47.280 -> 22:48.620] and you kind of tune out.
[22:48.620 -> 22:51.200] But I mean, there's value there.
[22:51.200 -> 22:52.940] If you can find something else to parlay that with
[22:52.940 -> 22:54.800] to get it within bettable range,
[22:56.120 -> 22:57.000] I don't want to call it a lock,
[22:57.000 -> 22:59.080] but it seems like it's odds on it's going to happen,
[22:59.080 -> 23:01.560] obviously more than, I think minus 300 is implied
[23:01.560 -> 23:02.400] three out of four.
[23:02.400 -> 23:06.280] So clearly it's more frequently than not.
[23:06.280 -> 23:09.980] And technically he was supposed to be in the points
[23:09.980 -> 23:11.360] until that penalty.
[23:11.360 -> 23:13.920] So he should have been a hundred percent
[23:13.920 -> 23:15.160] in the points through the season.
[23:15.160 -> 23:16.000] So.
[23:16.000 -> 23:18.760] When did they apply that?
[23:19.680 -> 23:21.400] I think it was at the end of the race,
[23:21.400 -> 23:23.160] but you remember it was the whole shenanigans
[23:23.160 -> 23:23.980] that was happening.
[23:23.980 -> 23:28.240] And I'll go back and look, but either way, one DNF, even if you put that in there.
[23:28.240 -> 23:30.680] Yeah, no, that's pretty smart right there.
[23:30.680 -> 23:35.920] Like you can just sit there and parlay him with whoever, whatever driver you got.
[23:35.920 -> 23:36.800] So, yeah.
[23:36.800 -> 23:36.960] Yeah.
[23:36.960 -> 23:44.280] The two chalk pieces I was checking out is science points minus 300 before I even saw what you just explained.
[23:44.280 -> 23:45.700] Oh, he's only missed the points once.
[23:45.700 -> 23:48.980] And I mean, depending on books, grades, some people do it at trophy presentations.
[23:48.980 -> 23:52.360] So if, if you look after the fact and your driver is outside of points
[23:52.460 -> 23:54.660] because of a penalty, you never know that might've been applied after.
[23:55.180 -> 23:58.820] Maybe it paid, but anyways, the other one is, is red flag.
[23:58.820 -> 23:59.840] No in sprint.
[23:59.840 -> 24:01.700] I think it would take a lot for that to happen.
[24:01.700 -> 24:05.360] Like even if there's a crash or something, they'll probably just safety car it,
[24:05.360 -> 24:07.420] unless it's like a total complete disaster.
[24:07.420 -> 24:08.880] So red flag, no.
[24:08.880 -> 24:11.280] And the sprint, cause how many laps is the sprint
[24:11.280 -> 24:12.120] this weekend?
[24:12.120 -> 24:12.940] 20?
[24:12.940 -> 24:13.780] That's a great question.
[24:13.780 -> 24:15.960] It's only, it's eight or nine laps is all.
[24:15.960 -> 24:17.340] Oh, crazy.
[24:17.340 -> 24:19.600] I think the sprint is what?
[24:19.600 -> 24:21.480] 50 kilometers, 60 kilometers.
[24:21.480 -> 24:23.160] And this is a seven kilometer track.
[24:23.160 -> 24:24.520] Yeah, this is huge.
[24:24.520 -> 24:25.280] Oh wow. Good math.
[24:25.280 -> 24:25.480] Okay.
[24:25.480 -> 24:27.720] So yeah, like eight, eight laps tops, right?
[24:27.720 -> 24:28.280] Say nine.
[24:28.840 -> 24:32.160] So for there to be a red flag, eight or nine, that seems pretty crazy.
[24:32.160 -> 24:34.880] So, you know, minus 500 red flag.
[24:34.880 -> 24:40.000] No, on the sprint, probably with, uh, signs minus 300 points in the race.
[24:40.000 -> 24:44.360] That's probably getting close to minus 200, but anyways, I saved my favorite
[24:44.360 -> 24:45.320] chalk play for last
[24:45.320 -> 24:47.240] cause I know you guys will love this one.
[24:47.240 -> 24:49.680] I found Max to win qualifying at minus 200.
[24:49.680 -> 24:53.480] In what world is Max only can win this qualifying
[24:53.480 -> 24:54.320] two or three times?
[24:54.320 -> 24:56.800] Like if they did this qualifying 10 times,
[24:56.800 -> 24:59.120] would he only win it six or seven times?
[25:00.080 -> 25:02.640] Wait, you said it was minus 200 to win qualifying?
[25:03.680 -> 25:04.760] Yes.
[25:04.760 -> 25:05.200] What?
[25:06.000 -> 25:06.900] Did I miss this?
[25:08.400 -> 25:12.000] I think he's minus 300 on some books, but I found it at minus 200.
[25:12.000 -> 25:13.800] It feels like minus 300 is right.
[25:13.800 -> 25:15.800] Like three out of four times, one out of four times.
[25:15.800 -> 25:16.000] Yeah.
[25:16.000 -> 25:17.000] Fastest qualifier.
[25:17.000 -> 25:19.700] He's minus 275 on, on Bovada.
[25:20.900 -> 25:21.500] Yeah, there you go.
[25:21.500 -> 25:26.520] So if you have cool bet, you have access toBet, max qualifying minus 200, I'm more
[25:26.520 -> 25:31.040] than happy to risk two units on that guy to pay out one unit.
[25:31.040 -> 25:32.160] This is a home race for him.
[25:32.160 -> 25:33.980] His mom's from Belgium.
[25:33.980 -> 25:41.380] So on top of the track fit and the car dominance, I just, yeah, it feels like minus 200 is cheap
[25:41.380 -> 25:42.380] in this situation.
[25:42.380 -> 25:43.640] So there's my chalk place.
[25:43.640 -> 25:44.980] I love it.
[25:44.980 -> 25:48.080] We love a little chalk sometimes, especially Shallow Howl.
[25:48.080 -> 25:49.560] Give a shout out to him.
[25:49.560 -> 25:51.040] I know you're listening, buddy.
[25:51.040 -> 25:54.620] Ah, Jinx, what else do you have, man?
[25:56.520 -> 25:58.680] I mean, nothing on the card.
[25:58.680 -> 26:01.320] Probably just look, I mean,
[26:01.320 -> 26:02.840] one of the guys is getting no respect.
[26:02.840 -> 26:06.840] I mean, he was getting some respect for a couple weeks after Silverstone
[26:06.840 -> 26:11.880] and then a little bit of Austria is Alex Albon. The dude just is
[26:12.440 -> 26:16.680] an absolute, you know, conductor. I was rewatching last
[26:16.680 -> 26:20.520] year and he was running 10. And he just had six cars stacked
[26:20.520 -> 26:24.440] behind him. And this year, the Williams is actually decent,
[26:24.440 -> 26:27.040] probably like six, seven best car based on the
[26:27.040 -> 26:29.720] weekend. And with that, I mean, we it's like a joke, we're like,
[26:29.780 -> 26:33.320] nobody can pass Alba. So depending on him, you know,
[26:33.320 -> 26:36.060] maybe if he has like a rough qualifying, you know, if he's
[26:36.060 -> 26:41.420] 1314, he'll definitely be probably 150 to, you know, two,
[26:41.460 -> 26:46.480] two to one for points. So maybe that is an option. But I mean, really just sit back and watch, you know, two, two to one for points. So maybe that is an option. But I mean, really just sit
[26:46.480 -> 26:53.920] back and watch, you know, yeah, no, that's gonna, that's gonna change from now till after the sprint.
[26:53.920 -> 27:01.200] So he's taken a page out of the book of how to drive a bus from Alonzo. That's, that's what he's
[27:01.200 -> 27:09.960] been doing. Yeah. I mean, it's just, I mean, he's good at parking the bus, but also that car is so fast in a straight
[27:09.960 -> 27:10.960] line.
[27:10.960 -> 27:15.480] Like even like we've seen, um, when Perez is, you know, try and pass him like at Silverstone,
[27:15.480 -> 27:20.160] it took him three to four laps to try and pass him versus everyone else.
[27:20.160 -> 27:23.800] That Williams is just so fast in a straight line, you know?
[27:23.800 -> 27:25.680] And I mean, unless you're Red Bull
[27:25.680 -> 27:29.480] and can just get rid of that turbulent air in the DRS,
[27:29.480 -> 27:31.040] you're not passing him.
[27:31.040 -> 27:32.320] For sure.
[27:32.320 -> 27:33.560] That would be a guy to look at,
[27:33.560 -> 27:35.960] and I'm not saying slam, but-
[27:35.960 -> 27:38.800] Oh, and they've also, the books have adjusted to it too.
[27:38.800 -> 27:41.460] Like they know, they're sharp this year.
[27:41.460 -> 27:44.960] They are definitely adjusting more than before, for sure.
[27:44.960 -> 27:48.880] You can get some favor, I mean, last week he was matched first Ricardo and he was like a minus
[27:48.880 -> 27:55.920] 120. I mean, that's at a track that really doesn't favor the Williams. But I mean, yeah, just sit
[27:55.920 -> 28:00.000] back, you know, see what happens, you know. I mean, the only thing really I would play
[28:01.360 -> 28:07.560] is it's a little bit of juice, but Hulkenberg over Magnuson, it's at minus one 67 on for the race.
[28:08.280 -> 28:08.520] Yeah.
[28:08.520 -> 28:09.160] For the race.
[28:09.220 -> 28:11.940] Um, I know we all took that last week at minus one 30.
[28:12.300 -> 28:15.900] I just don't feel comfortable way and that much juice on a Haas, you know,
[28:15.900 -> 28:18.680] in a weekend where we'll have a sprint qualifying, we'll have a regular
[28:18.680 -> 28:20.260] qualifying and we'll have a sprint.
[28:20.640 -> 28:23.160] That's just too many ways for that Haas to go up and smoke.
[28:23.900 -> 28:26.920] Um, but last week it went to minus 400. So that's the, that's the risk when you for that house to go up and smoke. Um, but last week it went to minus 400.
[28:26.960 -> 28:30.000] So that's the, that's the risk when you're betting on those bad, bad teams.
[28:30.280 -> 28:30.760] Yeah.
[28:31.240 -> 28:32.760] Just get those two practice place.
[28:32.800 -> 28:37.320] I'll, um, I'll have stuff up, you know, late Saturday night, early
[28:37.360 -> 28:39.040] Sunday morning, um, for the race.
[28:39.040 -> 28:42.600] But just, you know, don't want to get trapped, you know, put something in now.
[28:42.600 -> 28:46.680] And then someone, you know, crashes at a qualifying or crashes in the sprint
[28:46.680 -> 28:47.960] and then you're toast.
[28:47.960 -> 28:48.800] Yeah.
[28:48.800 -> 28:50.520] Yeah, no, definitely.
[28:51.360 -> 28:54.760] I will be staying away from Haas as tempting as it's been.
[28:54.760 -> 28:56.640] It's just been my motto.
[28:56.640 -> 28:58.000] I just stay away from them.
[28:59.280 -> 29:01.320] But yeah, no, if you're going to pick someone
[29:01.320 -> 29:02.560] it's definitely Hulk over Mag.
[29:02.560 -> 29:05.920] Mag is definitely the, one of the worst on the grid.
[29:06.200 -> 29:08.080] I guess Nick is no longer there.
[29:08.080 -> 29:10.160] Is he the worst? Probably.
[29:10.160 -> 29:15.720] But yeah, anyways, before we start wrapping up, I again, you know,
[29:16.320 -> 29:18.320] I'm going to always be looking at the head to head.
[29:18.320 -> 29:21.920] I do want to see some non-teammate head to head before I place any FP1s.
[29:21.960 -> 29:31.680] I'll just give out a few insights before you do make any bets. So only one free practice session. This means that all the
[29:31.680 -> 29:38.440] teams are gonna have to get their car set up in just one hour. So don't expect
[29:38.440 -> 29:42.680] this to be like your typical FP1s in the past. This is gonna be one where
[29:42.680 -> 29:45.840] they're gonna maybe try a few things early on
[29:45.840 -> 29:53.840] and then do quali sims and all that. So trade it like that. So again, going back to like the Ocon
[29:53.840 -> 30:00.320] Gasly, maybe if Gasly is actually outperforming Ocon, maybe he's the one that you want to tackle,
[30:00.320 -> 30:06.000] not saying take it. But second thing is the qualifying sessions,
[30:06.000 -> 30:07.560] pay attention to the tires,
[30:07.560 -> 30:10.120] obviously pay attention to the weather.
[30:10.120 -> 30:11.880] So when you see FP,
[30:11.880 -> 30:14.960] see like how are they doing on these compounds?
[30:14.960 -> 30:18.520] That's gonna definitely play critical, critical role,
[30:18.520 -> 30:20.640] especially after seeing the past two races
[30:20.640 -> 30:22.940] and how some of these teams have been struggling.
[30:22.940 -> 30:25.280] Lastly, we did talk about upgrades.
[30:25.920 -> 30:31.680] I am very curious to see what Alpine actually brings this weekend. They are talking about
[30:31.680 -> 30:38.960] upgrades. There's been rumors out there that they are just going to bin it this weekend,
[30:38.960 -> 30:45.000] they're going to suck. However, they are bringing a new floor to compliment the new wing that they brought last week.
[30:45.000 -> 30:53.000] I mean, if you want to gamble and have fun, you might want to look at Alpine.
[30:53.000 -> 30:55.000] I'm not saying they're going to be up there.
[30:55.000 -> 31:05.680] I'm saying that there is potential that you could see something much better than what's being reported. So just take a look at all those upgrades
[31:05.680 -> 31:07.680] because that might play in hand.
[31:07.680 -> 31:10.080] So Aston Martin, Alpine being those two.
[31:11.120 -> 31:14.280] But other than that, I am gonna be focused on Mercedes.
[31:14.280 -> 31:17.160] Mercedes has kind of been my cash cow
[31:17.160 -> 31:19.320] when it comes to head-to-head.
[31:19.320 -> 31:20.640] Hamilton just never fails.
[31:20.640 -> 31:22.000] And actually the past few weeks,
[31:22.000 -> 31:24.760] obviously it's been McLaren, Landon Norris.
[31:24.760 -> 31:29.940] So last week we did have some Landon Norris bets. So I will be paying attention to that.
[31:29.940 -> 31:34.280] But yeah, get into the Discord. We do some live betting. We will be paying attention.
[31:34.280 -> 31:42.400] We have all sorts of stats. So guys, looking forward to it. Last race of the weekend, or
[31:42.400 -> 31:45.040] last race before we go into summer break, I'm sorry.
[31:45.040 -> 31:48.960] And yeah, then we'll have three weeks off, a little break.
[31:48.960 -> 31:53.440] Also, IndyCar, definitely come in if you are into IndyCar.
[31:53.440 -> 31:55.360] We have a lot of bets going on.
[31:55.360 -> 31:58.000] We do have a new tipster, BetIndy.
[31:58.000 -> 31:59.120] He's in our channel.
[31:59.120 -> 32:02.400] He does a lot of IndyCar betting, so get in there.
[32:02.400 -> 32:05.800] And as well as NASCAR, Jinx, Eugene,
[32:05.800 -> 32:10.120] our own one and only actually has a lot of NASCAR plays.
[32:10.120 -> 32:12.880] Actually throw a quick one out.
[32:12.880 -> 32:14.760] Just throw a quick one out, Jinx.
[32:14.760 -> 32:17.240] Let's, we got like one minute.
[32:17.240 -> 32:21.080] All right, I'd go Joey Logano over Chase Elliott.
[32:21.080 -> 32:23.780] It's on Canby Books right now, minus 114.
[32:24.760 -> 32:25.200] Just the average running position the last couple of years at Richmond in the daytime. over chase Elliott. It's on can be books right now. Minus one 14. Um, just the
[32:25.200 -> 32:28.280] average running position the last couple of years at Richmond in the
[32:28.280 -> 32:33.320] daytime, but Gono has done a lot better. Um, he hasn't, he hasn't heard too
[32:33.320 -> 32:35.960] well. I think he's only like two and three. Um, that's just because he's
[32:35.960 -> 32:40.080] faded late in the race. Um, and then the last, you know, Track under a mile
[32:40.080 -> 32:43.680] in New Hampshire, it wasn't even close to Gono finished second and chase
[32:43.680 -> 32:45.840] Elliott was outside the top 10.
[32:49.600 -> 32:56.080] Chase Elliott just struggled since coming back from his leg injury and Joey Lugano was real good on short tracks. Oh you know I love me some Lugano. You heard it there folks. We got our NASCAR
[32:56.080 -> 33:02.880] pick in. All right guys it's been fun. It's been real. So looking forward to this weekend. So we'll
[33:02.880 -> 33:06.880] see you on Friday, early Friday morning.
[33:02.010 -> 33:04.810] So looking forward to this weekend.
[33:04.810 -> 33:07.250] So we'll see you on Friday, early Friday morning.